Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 7, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Mallorca
Osasuna 		22.6%
50.1%		27.3%
+395
-122
+400
-130
0.84
1.41		2.25
o2¼-105
u2¼-102
o2-140
u2½-140
Volatility Bet Value Active
Girona
Levante 		35.7%
36.7%		27.6%
+164
+173
+150
+182
1.19
1.22		2.41
o2½-121
u2½+102
o2½-105
u2½+100
Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid 		11.9%
68.4%		19.7%
+441
-139
+440
-160
0.71
2.03		2.74
o2½-114
u2½+102
o2½-120
u2½+100
Barcelona
Athletic Club 		58.5%
17.1%		24.4%
-147
+368
-155
+380
1.64
0.76		2.40
o3-110
u3-102
o3-115
u3+110
Games for Mar 6, 2026
Games for Mar 8, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Valencia
Real Sociedad		19.4%
57.1%		23.5%
+730
-206
+670
-200
0
1		-0.41644-0.43951-0.56091
Barcelona
Almeria		69.6%
12.0%		18.3%
-256
+635
-270
+640
2
0		-0.36048-0.36071-0.36193
Betis
Las Palmas		40.1%
31.8%		28.2%
+140
+223
+140
+215
2
2		-1.22496-1.21963-1.26677
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo		41.3%
30.3%		28.4%
+245
+133
+226
+140
1
2		-0.86771-0.89715-1.19452
Atletico Madrid
Getafe		52.5%
20.6%		26.9%
-133
+423
-140
+410
3
0		-0.58555-0.58749-0.64420
Granada
Rayo Vallecano		26.9%
46.5%		26.6%
+579
-182
+575
-190
1
2		-0.46711-0.47188-0.76516
Cadiz
Sevilla		12.9%
65.9%		21.2%
+260
+115
+270
+115
1
0		-1.31316-1.32920-2.05019
Villarreal
Girona		30.8%
42.1%		27.1%
+365
-149
+360
-145
1
0		-1.56633-1.55946-1.17866
Alaves
Real Madrid		4.1%
85.4%		10.5%
+1285
-439
+1250
-470
0
5		-0.22679-0.23163-0.15771
Mallorca
Osasuna		19.7%
55.2%		25.1%
+210
+177
+195
+180
1
1		-1.09503-1.12763-1.38346
Real Sociedad
Barcelona		12.7%
68.1%		19.2%
+409
-138
+405
-135
0
2		-0.57220-0.58152-0.38443
Almeria
Betis		14.2%
66.2%		19.6%
+677
-244
+700
-269
2
3		-0.37050-0.35961-0.41189
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia		18.2%
58.9%		22.9%
+272
+128
+265
+125
0
0		-1.17196-1.16488-1.47403
Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid		9.7%
72.9%		17.3%
+741
-241
+740
-260
0
1		-0.37241-0.36586-0.31552
Getafe
Cadiz		35.3%
32.9%		31.8%
+295
+113
+278
+120
0
1		-0.78148-0.81862-1.11121
Osasuna
Athletic Club		13.2%
66.0%		20.8%
+845
-238
+830
-240
2
2		-1.55647-1.54778-1.56820
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.93433 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.91659 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.67380
0.26053
0.24279

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.