Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 7, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Mallorca
Osasuna 		22.6%
50.1%		27.3%
+395
-116
+400
-130
0.84
1.41		2.25
o2¼-104
u2¼-102
o2-140
u2½-140
Volatility Bet Value Active
Girona
Levante 		35.7%
36.7%		27.6%
+167
+176
+150
+182
1.19
1.22		2.41
o2½-118
u2¾-122
o2½-105
u2½+100
Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid 		11.9%
68.4%		19.7%
+420
-137
+440
-160
0.71
2.03		2.74
o2½-118
u2¾-118
o2½-120
u2½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Barcelona
Athletic Club 		58.5%
17.1%		24.4%
-147
+380
-155
+380
1.64
0.76		2.40
o3-118
u3+107
o3-115
u3+110
Games for Mar 6, 2026
Games for Mar 8, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal		17.7%
60.4%		21.9%
+362
-120
+346
-125
0
3		-0.62755-0.62982-0.50428
Osasuna
Granada		28.7%
43.9%		27.4%
+249
+142
+240
+150
0
3		-0.90587-0.93805-0.82260
Mallorca
Cadiz		28.7%
41.6%		29.7%
+214
+186
+218
+170
1
1		-1.06613-1.08240-1.21396
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid		18.6%
56.7%		24.7%
+321
-102
+315
-110
1
3		-0.70336-0.69433-0.56697
Celta Vigo
Alaves		32.7%
38.1%		29.2%
+200
+170
+190
+170
0
3		-1.01418-1.03541-0.96469
Getafe
Almeria		32.6%
37.5%		29.9%
+196
+160
+187
+170
3
1		-1.11398-1.07590-1.12061
Girona
Las Palmas		32.8%
37.8%		29.4%
-143
+423
-130
+390
2
0		-0.55236-0.58783-1.11474
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad		55.0%
20.7%		24.3%
+233
+144
+222
+140
1
0		-1.21878-1.20835-0.59796
Mallorca
Sevilla		14.9%
62.7%		22.4%
+325
+112
+325
+110
1
2		-0.77072-0.77542-0.46695
Barcelona
Real Madrid		19.2%
57.9%		22.9%
+335
-134
+340
-138
2
3		-0.58438-0.57882-0.54626
Atletico Madrid
Alaves		59.5%
16.7%		23.8%
-124
+440
-120
+410
0
2		-1.70898-1.66850-1.78988
Villarreal
Almeria		40.7%
32.3%		27.0%
-102
+258
-105
+250
2
1		-0.71109-0.71584-0.89948
Real Sociedad
Getafe		38.5%
31.4%		30.1%
+125
+291
+115
+301
1
1		-1.14728-1.14536-1.20071
Cadiz
Girona		16.0%
61.0%		23.0%
+770
-242
+700
-250
1
4		-0.36856-0.38094-0.49376
Betis
Valencia		28.4%
45.3%		26.3%
+191
+177
+200
+173
2
1		-1.09201-1.12575-1.25984
Osasuna
Rayo Vallecano		29.3%
42.6%		28.1%
+319
+115
+320
+115
1
2		-0.79149-0.79505-0.85418
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.93433 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.91659 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.67380
0.26053
0.24279

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.