Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 7, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Girona
Levante 		35.7%
36.7%		27.6%
+158
+184
+155
+180
1.19
1.22		2.41
o2½-125
u2¾-115
o2½-120
u2½+100
Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid 		11.9%
68.4%		19.7%
+400
-133
+395
-135
0.71
2.03		2.74
o2½-127
u2¾-114
o2½-130
u2½+110
Barcelona
Athletic Club 		58.5%
17.1%		24.4%
-148
+390
-155
+370
1.64
0.76		2.40
o3-118
u3+110
o3-120
u3+105
Games for Mar 6, 2026
Games for Mar 8, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Mallorca
Osasuna 		22.6%
50.1%		27.3%
+360
-108
+355
-115
2.25
o2¼-102
u2¼-107
o2½+125
u2½-140
2nd H
75:00		2
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sevilla
Almeria		40.4%
31.2%		28.3%
+120
+252
+125
+245
2
2		-1.26227-1.25180-1.26171
Villarreal
Betis		24.9%
50.6%		24.5%
+256
+116
+260
+113
3
2		-1.28377-1.30567-1.38934
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid		5.3%
83.1%		11.6%
+875
-299
+850
-307
0
4		-0.30695-0.32251-0.18535
Athletic Club
Las Palmas		50.1%
23.1%		26.9%
-115
+400
+100
+370
2
0		-0.63830-0.69409-0.69209
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves		27.3%
44.6%		28.1%
+315
+114
+315
+118
0
1		-0.79118-0.80133-0.80674
Osasuna
Girona		24.5%
49.2%		26.4%
+550
-187
+500
-185
0
2		-0.45092-0.46944-0.71017
Real Sociedad
Granada		43.3%
29.2%		27.5%
-110
+372
-115
+379
3
2		-0.67598-0.66701-0.83681
Atletico Madrid
Cadiz		65.0%
13.2%		21.8%
-125
+390
-125
+385
0
2		-1.61732-1.61049-2.02321
Getafe
Valencia		21.1%
53.1%		25.8%
+382
+100
+350
-105
0
1		-0.70633-0.71961-0.63341
Mallorca
Barcelona		5.1%
82.9%		12.0%
+679
-210
+600
-224
0
1		-0.41192-0.41077-0.18785
Alaves
Osasuna		21.4%
52.7%		25.8%
+255
+138
+240
+135
0
1		-0.89328-0.89578-0.63987
Barcelona
Athletic Club		40.5%
31.2%		28.3%
+126
+230
+130
+215
0
0		-1.29379-1.29000-1.26093
Girona
Mallorca		34.3%
35.9%		29.8%
+120
+270
+115
+260
0
1		-1.33139-1.31729-1.02446
Betis
Atletico Madrid		12.6%
68.1%		19.4%
+552
-188
+525
-180
1
2		-0.45449-0.47406-0.38457
Granada
Villarreal		18.3%
59.8%		21.8%
+375
-130
+400
-150
1
5		-0.59597-0.54713-0.51421
Real Madrid
Valencia		64.5%
14.9%		20.5%
-154
+485
-159
+475
2
2		-1.42445-1.41391-1.58353
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.93433 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.91659 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.67380
0.26053
0.24279

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.