Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 8, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Elche
Villarreal 		14.1%
65.9%		20.0%
+545
-196
+535
-210
0.83
2.06		2.89
o3-104
u3-108
o3-105
u3-115
Betis
Getafe 		36.8%
34.8%		28.4%
+182
+196
+185
+190
1.17
1.13		2.30
o2+108
u2-120
o2+105
u2-125
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla 		32.3%
38.6%		29.1%
+206
+156
+200
+150
1.03
1.16		2.19
o2¼+101
u2¼-114
o2-145
u2+125
Alaves
Valencia 		28.8%
43.1%		28.1%
+320
+112
+315
+105
1.00
1.29		2.29
o2-118
u2+105
o2-120
u2+105
Games for Mar 7, 2026
Games for Mar 9, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Real Madrid
Betis		53.5%
22.4%		24.1%
-138
+386
-140
+360
1
1		-1.44745-1.45462-1.42354
Las Palmas
Alaves		24.7%
47.5%		27.8%
+340
+108
+330
+105
1
0		-1.50193-1.49571-1.39719
Valencia
Getafe		33.1%
37.0%		29.8%
+220
+168
+205
+165
0
1		-1.01013-1.02340-0.99355
Cadiz
Celta Vigo		18.3%
57.8%		23.9%
+563
-180
+575
-190
1
1		-1.47911-1.48479-1.43138
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona		19.5%
56.5%		24.0%
+298
-105
+275
-105
0
1		-0.68742-0.71494-0.57024
Villarreal
Sevilla		29.6%
43.2%		27.2%
+300
-105
+275
-105
1
1		-1.38705-1.37615-1.30350
Betis
Almeria		48.0%
26.3%		25.6%
+104
+257
+100
+250
0
0		-1.37769-1.38270-1.36109
Alaves
Mallorca		27.6%
43.4%		29.1%
+221
+167
+228
+165
0
0		-1.11783-1.09826-1.23567
Real Sociedad
Osasuna		33.6%
37.1%		29.3%
+120
+298
+115
+280
1
1		-1.18777-1.19214-1.22878
Granada
Real Madrid		4.9%
84.1%		11.0%
+1550
-546
+1400
-560
0
2		-0.19852-0.19659-0.17358
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Club		17.4%
59.2%		23.5%
+630
-211
+545
-200
0
4		-0.40934-0.45577-0.52474
Valencia
Girona		41.1%
31.0%		27.9%
+450
-147
+430
-150
1
2		-0.53902-0.54003-1.16983
Getafe
Las Palmas		32.9%
35.8%		31.2%
+262
+144
+244
+145
0
2		-0.91120-0.93323-1.02658
Cadiz
Mallorca		27.3%
43.6%		29.1%
+405
-110
+405
-115
1
1		-1.23121-1.21848-1.23416
Athletic Club
Girona		47.6%
25.2%		27.2%
+225
+124
+225
+115
1
1		-1.33640-1.34450-1.30228
Las Palmas
Betis		11.2%
70.6%		18.2%
+460
-143
+437
-145
0
1		-0.55998-0.56828-0.34864
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.89824 
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.90618 
DRatings42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.87616
0.02208
0.03002

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.