Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 8, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Elche
Villarreal 		14.1%
65.9%		20.0%
+580
-205
+535
-210
0.83
2.06		2.89
o3+102
u3-112
o3-105
u3-110
Betis
Getafe 		36.8%
34.8%		28.4%
+185
+197
+185
+192
1.17
1.13		2.30
o2+108
u2-120
o2+105
u2-125
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla 		32.3%
38.6%		29.1%
+192
+171
+200
+168
1.03
1.16		2.19
o2¼+100
u2¼-111
o2-145
u2+125
Alaves
Valencia 		28.8%
43.1%		28.1%
+292
+120
+315
+116
1.00
1.29		2.29
o2-118
u2+107
o2-120
u2+105
Games for Mar 7, 2026
Games for Mar 9, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Villarreal
Getafe		44.2%
28.0%		27.7%
+182
+178
+175
+175
0
0		-1.17869-1.18228-1.28219
Sevilla
Barcelona		13.0%
67.2%		19.7%
+726
-275
+825
-293
0
1		-0.33662-0.32083-0.39712
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna		44.7%
27.2%		28.1%
-101
+335
-103
+310
2
0		-0.70138-0.71480-0.80500
Alaves
Celta Vigo		18.4%
57.8%		23.7%
+580
-162
+505
-160
1
1		-1.37290-1.37397-1.43957
Betis
Granada		42.4%
30.6%		26.9%
+160
+187
+161
+185
1
1		-1.26104-1.25152-1.31171
Rayo Vallecano
Cadiz		35.9%
33.9%		30.2%
+200
+167
+195
+162
0
0		-1.16139-1.17154-1.19859
Real Sociedad
Valencia		29.5%
43.0%		27.5%
+225
+158
+220
+145
1
0		-1.20051-1.21053-1.22105
Girona
Villarreal		9.5%
74.4%		16.0%
+232
+120
+230
+114
2
1		-1.22567-1.23371-2.35188
Getafe
Athletic Club		15.1%
61.3%		23.5%
+675
-190
+700
-205
2
2		-1.43868-1.44185-1.44762
Las Palmas
Real Madrid		3.7%
86.7%		9.6%
+1500
-538
+1500
-575
0
2		-0.20077-0.19894-0.14228
Barcelona
Mallorca		70.2%
11.2%		18.6%
-199
+675
-225
+675
2
2		-1.52938-1.56408-1.68217
Almeria
Sevilla		10.9%
70.9%		18.2%
+440
-145
+425
-152
1
5		-0.54523-0.54829-0.34348
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid		42.2%
29.6%		28.2%
+160
+188
+155
+180
1
3		-1.08512-1.08063-1.21746
Granada
Las Palmas		31.0%
40.6%		28.4%
+315
-102
+285
-105
0
1		-0.69579-0.70899-0.90162
Cadiz
Betis		11.7%
69.4%		18.9%
+405
-122
+390
-125
1
1		-1.31602-1.30331-1.66664
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano		41.1%
31.7%		27.2%
+180
+160
+175
+150
1
1		-1.29015-1.30096-1.30239
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.89824 
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.90618 
DRatings42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.87616
0.02208
0.03002

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.