Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Real Sociedad
Levante 		39.6%
32.4%		28.0%
+142
+220
+140
+225
1.25
1.09		2.34
o2¼-111
u2¼+102
o2½+110
u2½-120
Alaves
Osasuna 		29.0%
42.0%		29.0%
+270
+133
+275
+125
0.96
1.22		2.18
o1¾-118
u1¾+107
o2+115
u2-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Sevilla
Real Madrid 		6.2%
80.8%		13.0%
+1350
-500
+1250
-540
0.60
2.65		3.25
o3½-112
u3½+100
o3½-110
u3½+100
Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Celta Vigo
Oviedo 		44.1%
28.0%		27.8%
+128
+270
+115
+260
2.31
o2-118
u2+107
o2-130
u2½-145
2nd H
64:00		0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Getafe
Valencia		20.0%
55.2%		24.8%
+380
-104
+365
-110
1
5		-0.69923-0.69671-0.59379
Elche
Villarreal		8.4%
76.5%		15.2%
+760
-252
+750
-265
0
4		-0.36396-0.36883-0.26843
Espanyol
Athletic Club		16.6%
60.4%		23.0%
+610
-190
+620
-205
1
0		-1.98566-2.02473-1.79709
Rayo Vallecano
Osasuna		22.4%
52.1%		25.5%
+320
+115
+300
+115
1
2		-0.78992-0.81276-0.65153
Barcelona
Sevilla		45.3%
27.5%		27.2%
-135
+392
-145
+400
3
0		-0.58472-0.57164-0.79235
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad		41.3%
30.1%		28.6%
+170
+197
+165
+185
1
1		-1.15617-1.18097-1.25117
Betis
Real Madrid		10.8%
72.4%		16.8%
+715
-261
+670
-280
1
2		-0.34990-0.35599-0.32353
Girona
Mallorca		23.0%
50.4%		26.6%
+312
+117
+285
+110
1
1		-1.16379-1.19942-1.32339
Cadiz
Celta Vigo		18.7%
57.0%		24.3%
+580
-155
+500
-160
0
3		-0.52270-0.53652-0.56207
Atletico Madrid
Valencia		53.5%
21.6%		24.9%
+100
+325
-110
+335
1
0		-0.72212-0.69752-0.62614
Athletic Club
Cadiz		38.1%
31.6%		30.3%
+110
+300
+105
+310
4
0		-0.77525-0.76585-0.96564
Real Madrid
Espanyol		67.6%
12.8%		19.7%
-195
+550
-210
+515
3
1		-0.42874-0.44091-0.39212
Valladolid
Barcelona		3.9%
86.5%		9.5%
+1800
-669
+1700
-750
0
4		-0.16954-0.17605-0.14497
Villarreal
Getafe		52.8%
21.9%		25.3%
-136
+445
-135
+425
0
0		-1.34389-1.30221-1.37563
Sevilla
Almeria		52.8%
21.4%		25.8%
+118
+265
+120
+250
1
2		-1.32118-1.29960-1.54314
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano		22.5%
51.2%		26.3%
+314
+105
+310
+100
2
0		-1.44817-1.46132-1.49068
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.19069 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.19660 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.30368
-0.11299
-0.10708

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.