Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atletico Madrid
Girona 		56.9%
19.1%		24.0%
-142
+390
-150
+390
1.69
0.86		2.55
o2¾+100
u2¾-112
o2½-130
u2½+110
Barcelona
Villarreal 		58.5%
19.4%		22.1%
-122
+260
-128
+270
1.90
0.99		2.89
o3¾-105
u3¾-105
o3½-135
u3½+115
Rayo Vallecano
Elche 		40.3%
31.0%		28.7%
+235
+140
+235
+140
1.21
1.02		2.23
o2-123
u2+109
o2-125
u2+105
Getafe
Betis 		12.3%
68.0%		19.8%
+461
-137
+460
-145
0.73
2.03		2.76
o2-119
u2+107
o2-120
u2+105
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Games for Dec 22, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Sevilla
Real Madrid 		6.2%
80.8%		13.0%
+1350
-475
+1200
-515
3.25
o3¼-120
u3½-122
o3½+100
u3½-110
2nd H
65:00		0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Atletico Madrid
Elche		62.9%
14.6%		22.5%
-175
+643
-185
+575
2
0		-0.46850-0.48133-0.46405
Mallorca
Sevilla		10.3%
70.6%		19.1%
+549
-155
+560
-180
0
0		-1.37141-1.41055-1.65522
Getafe
Osasuna		19.7%
54.6%		25.7%
+243
+166
+225
+160
1
1		-1.06552-1.08960-1.35907
Espanyol
Alaves		32.4%
38.5%		29.1%
+277
+115
+265
+110
1
2		-0.78548-0.78946-0.95467
Celta Vigo
Barcelona		6.8%
80.0%		13.1%
+684
-225
+625
-260
1
3		-0.37448-0.37481-0.22257
Athletic Club
Granada		38.9%
32.7%		28.4%
+123
+280
+125
+230
0
1		-1.33477-1.24320-1.11740
Betis
Valencia		37.7%
35.4%		26.9%
+127
+247
+120
+235
3
0		-0.83817-0.83873-0.97466
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid		32.5%
38.0%		29.5%
+365
-119
+380
-130
0
1		-0.62796-0.62060-0.96793
Osasuna
Espanyol		31.3%
40.1%		28.6%
+222
+145
+215
+135
1
1		-1.23234-1.22809-1.25309
Sevilla
Villarreal		24.2%
50.2%		25.7%
+282
+115
+255
+110
1
1		-1.24455-1.27447-1.35957
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe		28.5%
42.1%		29.4%
+296
+128
+305
+110
0
0		-1.12726-1.16488-1.22418
Barcelona
Betis		52.3%
23.9%		23.8%
+131
+210
+125
+210
2
1		-0.85915-0.85477-0.64905
Alaves
Celta Vigo		14.8%
64.0%		21.1%
+410
-121
+390
-130
0
4		-0.62427-0.62027-0.44587
Valencia
Athletic Club		20.6%
55.0%		24.4%
+797
-225
+730
-215
0
0		-1.55381-1.48452-1.41260
Granada
Mallorca		27.3%
45.9%		26.8%
+337
-103
+315
-105
6
2		-1.49888-1.47351-1.29946
Real Sociedad
Levante		44.7%
29.3%		26.0%
+125
+249
+110
+240
1
2		-1.26330-1.27447-1.22830
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.08369 
Sportsbooks31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.11071 
DRatings31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.13975
-0.05606
-0.02904

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.