Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Rayo Vallecano
Elche 		40.3%
31.0%		28.7%
+227
+152
+221
+145
1.21
1.02		2.23
o2-116
u2+106
o2-120
u2+105
Getafe
Betis 		12.3%
68.0%		19.8%
+470
-127
+443
-125
0.73
2.03		2.76
o2+101
u2-112
o2-105
u2+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Barcelona
Villarreal 		58.5%
19.4%		22.1%
-125
+323
-130
+325
2.89
o3½-108
u3½-103
o3½-110
u3½-105
1st H
20:00		1
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sevilla
Alaves		60.1%
16.8%		23.1%
-104
+380
-115
+380
0
0		-1.21056-1.22830-1.46599
Real Sociedad
Mallorca		52.9%
21.8%		25.4%
+153
+235
+145
+215
2
0		-0.93938-0.94819-0.63749
Athletic Club
Barcelona		10.0%
73.2%		16.8%
+622
-188
+560
-200
0
4		-0.44490-0.45497-0.31217
Osasuna
Real Sociedad		13.7%
66.6%		19.7%
+288
+130
+340
+125
0
1		-0.84788-0.80004-0.40698
Betis
Sevilla		17.1%
60.8%		22.1%
+263
+128
+230
+130
1
2		-0.84478-0.88201-0.49796
Espanyol
Villarreal		12.8%
68.4%		18.9%
+589
-180
+575
-200
1
5		-0.45199-0.45435-0.38038
Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid		8.2%
75.5%		16.3%
+500
-130
+505
-155
0
2		-0.58960-0.54751-0.28136
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano		69.0%
12.0%		19.0%
-171
+550
-180
+550
1
0		-0.48149-0.47068-0.37141
Alaves
Getafe		20.0%
53.7%		26.3%
+432
-103
+390
-110
2
2		-1.13809-1.18061-1.33503
Valencia
Mallorca		33.6%
37.3%		29.1%
+241
+138
+215
+145
1
0		-1.24667-1.19952-1.09145
Levante
Celta Vigo		21.2%
55.6%		23.2%
+490
-150
+430
-150
1
1		-1.40936-1.38553-1.46210
Real Sociedad
Athletic Club		37.3%
33.9%		28.8%
+281
+133
+295
+120
0
4		-0.85099-0.81828-1.08069
Mallorca
Betis		11.9%
69.1%		18.9%
+650
-173
+525
-180
1
2		-0.45047-0.49335-0.36891
Barcelona
Valencia		59.1%
18.9%		22.0%
+103
+302
-105
+275
4
1		-0.71605-0.72054-0.52553
Sevilla
Espanyol		48.5%
24.5%		27.0%
+126
+280
+115
+270
1
1		-1.17461-1.19889-1.30937
Alaves
Real Madrid		4.0%
85.8%		10.2%
+1762
-457
+1400
-500
0
3		-0.20125-0.23256-0.15333
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.54181 
Sportsbooks33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.54425 
DRatings33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.54810
-0.00629
-0.00385

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.