Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Elche
Real Madrid 		7.5%
78.3%		14.1%
+900
-345
+900
-370
0.68
2.58		3.26
o3¼-105
u3¼-108
o3½+115
u3½-130
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Valencia
Oviedo 		36.7%
33.9%		29.4%
+165
+192
+165
+185
2.16
o2¼-103
u2¼-106
o2-150
u2½-142
2nd H
66:00		0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Real Madrid
Cadiz		67.9%
12.1%		20.0%
+168
+188
+145
+185
1
1		-1.27906-1.28609-1.60829
Barcelona
Getafe		69.8%
11.3%		18.9%
+116
+273
+115
+265
0
0		-1.25906-1.21345-1.66405
Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca		29.4%
41.9%		28.7%
+440
-129
+400
-135
1
2		-0.59615-0.60525-0.86974
Elche
Celta Vigo		16.6%
60.8%		22.6%
+841
-265
+825
-300
0
1		-0.34339-0.33687-0.49799
Granada
Betis		12.7%
69.6%		17.7%
+501
-179
+510
-195
0
2		-0.46794-0.46488-0.36284
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid		18.0%
57.0%		25.0%
+400
+100
+365
-105
1
1		-1.16251-1.18003-1.38589
Osasuna
Athletic Club		20.8%
53.9%		25.3%
+620
-203
+610
-220
0
2		-0.42875-0.42402-0.61789
Valencia
Espanyol		31.4%
41.1%		27.5%
+162
+186
+160
+180
1
1		-1.23836-1.22693-1.29138
Levante
Real Madrid		4.9%
84.6%		10.5%
+560
-223
+530
-240
0
6		-0.38384-0.39692-0.16740
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano		49.8%
24.9%		25.3%
-109
+340
-115
+330
5
1		-0.66916-0.67749-0.69750
Cadiz
Real Sociedad		13.6%
65.5%		20.9%
+575
-156
+575
-175
0
3		-0.51512-0.49855-0.42239
Atletico Madrid
Elche		62.9%
14.6%		22.5%
-175
+643
-185
+575
2
0		-0.46850-0.48133-0.46405
Mallorca
Sevilla		10.3%
70.6%		19.1%
+549
-155
+560
-180
0
0		-1.37141-1.41055-1.65522
Getafe
Osasuna		19.7%
54.6%		25.7%
+243
+166
+225
+160
1
1		-1.06552-1.08960-1.35907
Espanyol
Alaves		32.4%
38.5%		29.1%
+277
+115
+265
+110
1
2		-0.78548-0.78946-0.95467
Celta Vigo
Barcelona		6.8%
80.0%		13.1%
+684
-225
+625
-260
1
3		-0.37448-0.37481-0.22257
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks31-1-1 (0.500)0-0.96820 
Sportsbooks31-1-1 (0.500)0-0.97268 
DRatings31-1-1 (0.500)0-0.89113
0.07708
0.08156

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.