Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 16, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Levante
Rayo Vallecano 		18.2%
60.2%		21.6%
+450
-141
+419
-145
0.97
1.95		2.92
o2¼-122
u2½-115
o2½+105
u2½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Mar 15, 2026
Games for Mar 20, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Villarreal
Betis		34.6%
38.8%		26.6%
+210
+151
+200
+135
2
0		-1.14053-1.14621-1.06085
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona		28.7%
44.5%		26.7%
+245
+138
+240
+130
2
4		-0.86698-0.87822-0.80867
Real Sociedad
Valencia		42.0%
31.9%		26.2%
+116
+293
+135
+260
0
0		-1.21416-1.18961-1.34052
Sevilla
Osasuna		45.7%
28.2%		26.1%
+133
+295
+130
+260
0
0		-1.14721-1.13206-1.34289
Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo		28.1%
47.0%		24.9%
+345
+100
+320
+100
0
2		-0.70763-0.73791-0.75513
Cadiz
Mallorca		27.5%
44.1%		28.4%
+401
-110
+380
-115
1
2		-0.67094-0.67537-0.81794
Alaves
Elche		29.4%
43.0%		27.6%
+255
+148
+240
+135
1
3		-0.92634-0.90604-0.84490
Levante
Getafe		26.8%
47.4%		25.8%
+350
+113
+330
+105
0
3		-0.76031-0.77016-0.74598
Barcelona
Alaves		62.5%
19.9%		17.5%
-148
+483
-140
+400
1
0		-0.53746-0.58780-0.46952
Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano		34.0%
36.8%		29.2%
+204
+178
+205
+170
1
0		-1.13038-1.16309-1.07899
Getafe
Real Sociedad		19.0%
62.1%		18.9%
+521
-130
+550
-140
0
0		-1.24396-1.22254-1.66543
Elche
Real Madrid		8.3%
84.2%		7.5%
+1840
-550
+1450
-600
2
2		-2.15736-2.09720-2.58867
Osasuna
Granada		29.9%
44.6%		25.5%
+210
+163
+190
+160
2
0		-1.15148-1.11541-1.20842
Valencia
Atletico Madrid		14.9%
70.7%		14.3%
+845
-237
+800
-250
2
3		-0.37101-0.38299-0.34613
Celta Vigo
Sevilla		17.5%
66.8%		15.7%
+390
-105
+400
-110
2
2		-1.21942-1.26224-1.85240
Mallorca
Villarreal		15.7%
70.6%		13.7%
+616
-180
+600
-190
0
3		-0.46224-0.45300-0.34798
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.72795 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.69643 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.67107
0.05688
0.02536

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.