Atlético Madrid at Valencia

Updated

Atletico Madrid

52.5%23.4%24.1%
Atlético Madrid WinDrawValencia Win
1.73Projected Goals 0.79
3Final Score 3

Valencia

Last 5 Games

Atletico Madrid
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Betis-200
T 2-2 at Levante-180
T 2-2 vs Real Sociedad-150
W 0-2 vs Barcelona-115
L 0-1 at Alaves-190
Valencia
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Villarreal+210
L 1-4 at Betis+330
T 2-2 vs Mallorca-135
L 1-3 at Barcelona+560
T 0-0 at Cadiz+125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid-110-105-105+100-106-105+100+104.7
Valencia+330+340+359+370+350+359+370+381.0
Draw+240+220+225+222+210+225+225+229.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid-105----145-115-115+104.7
Valencia+345---+350+375+375+381.0
Draw+220---+220+230+230+229.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atlético Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%
Valencia: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%
Valencia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atlético Madrid ML moved from -111 to -119
Valencia ML moved from +368 to +350

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atlético Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%
Valencia: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%
Valencia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atlético Madrid ML moved from -125 to -145
No Steam Moves On Valencia ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+102o2-118o2-120o2-112-o2-120o2-112o2-107
Underu2¼-122u2-102u2+100u2+102-u2+100u2+102u2+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-145o2½+120--o2-140o2-110o2-140o2-107
Underu2+125u2½-140--u2+110u2-110u2½-140u2+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-150 to o2½+110
The Under moved from u2½-145 to u2-110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.0%
 
No55.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.03%
Exactly 225.54%
Exactly 413.53%
Exactly 62.87%
Exactly 80.33%
 
Exactly 120.25%
Exactly 321.47%
Exactly 56.83%
Exactly 71.03%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 017.73%
Exactly 130.67%
Exactly 226.53%
Exactly 315.30%
Exactly 46.61%
Exactly 52.29%
Exactly 60.66%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 045.29%
Exactly 135.87%
Exactly 214.21%
Exactly 33.75%
Exactly 40.74%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.11%
Exactly 221.21%
Exactly 42.41%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 38.25%
Exactly 50.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 044.90%
Exactly 135.95%
Exactly 214.40%
Exactly 33.84%
Exactly 40.77%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 069.30%
Exactly 125.41%
Exactly 24.66%
Exactly 30.57%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals33.83%
Wins by 3+ goals15.29%
Wins by 4+ goals5.64%
Wins by 5+ goals1.73%
Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals5.00%
Wins by 3+ goals1.11%
Wins by 4+ goals0.19%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Madrid
Valencia
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal25.85%
Wins by 2 goals18.53%
Wins by 3 goals9.65%
Wins by 4 goals3.92%
Wins by 5 goals1.30%
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal11.84%
Wins by 2 goals3.89%
Wins by 3 goals0.92%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.97%8.03%
1.571.71%28.29%
2.546.18%53.82%
3.524.71%75.29%
4.511.18%88.82%
5.54.35%95.65%
6.51.48%98.52%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.27%17.73%
1.551.59%48.41%
2.525.06%74.94%
3.59.77%90.23%
4.53.15%96.85%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.71%45.29%
1.518.84%81.16%
2.54.63%95.37%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.89%31.11%
1.532.56%67.44%
2.511.36%88.64%
3.53.10%96.90%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atlético Madrid
Valencia
Score01234
0
8.03%
6.36%
2.52%
0.67%
0.13%
1
13.89%
11.00%
4.36%
1.15%
0.23%
2
12.01%
9.52%
3.77%
1.00%
0.20%
3
6.93%
5.49%
2.17%
0.57%
0.11%
4
3.00%
2.37%
0.94%
0.25%
0.05%
5
1.04%
0.82%
0.33%
0.09%
0.02%
Atletico Madrid
1-013.89%
2-012.01%
2-19.52%
3-06.93%
3-15.49%
3-22.17%
4-03.00%
4-12.37%
4-20.94%
4-30.25%
5-01.04%
5-10.82%
5-20.33%
Draw
0-08.03%
1-111.00%
2-23.77%
3-30.57%
Valencia
0-16.36%
0-22.52%
1-24.36%
0-30.67%
1-31.15%
2-31.00%
0-40.13%
1-40.23%
2-40.20%
3-40.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Atlético Madrid
Valencia
Score0123
0
31.11%
11.41%
2.09%
0.26%
1
24.92%
9.14%
1.68%
0.20%
2
9.98%
3.66%
0.67%
0.08%
3
2.66%
0.98%
0.18%
0.02%
4
0.53%
0.20%
0.04%
0.00%
Atletico Madrid
1-024.92%
2-09.98%
2-13.66%
3-02.66%
3-10.98%
3-20.18%
4-00.53%
4-10.20%
Draw
0-031.11%
1-19.14%
2-20.67%
Valencia
0-111.41%
0-22.09%
1-21.68%
0-30.26%
1-30.20%