Sevilla at Villarreal

Updated

Sevilla

38.8%27.6%33.6%
Sevilla WinDrawVillarreal Win
1.28Projected Goals 1.11
0Final Score 4

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Sevilla
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Valencia-160
T 2-2 at Real Madrid+310
L 1-0 vs Athletic Club-180
W 1-2 vs Granada-225
W 1-0 at Levante-200
Villarreal
Money Line
W 2-0 at Valladolid-120
L 4-2 vs Celta Vigo-145
W 0-1 vs Getafe+100
L 2-1 vs Barcelona+360
L 1-2 at Alaves-160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sevilla+160+206+215+225+198+220+220-
Villarreal+175+125+120+118+119+120+125-
Draw+240+259+270+275+272+275+275-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sevilla+145---+190+220+220-
Villarreal+155---+110+120+120-
Draw+205---+220+255+255-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sevilla: 40.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sevilla: 0.0%
Villarreal: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sevilla ML moved from +207 to +198
Villarreal ML moved from +135 to +120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sevilla: 40.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sevilla: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sevilla ML moved from +195 to +185
Villarreal ML moved from +140 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+105o2¾-120o2½-145o2¾-116-o2¾-116o2½-145-
Underu2½-125u2¾-101u2½+120u2¾-104-u2¾-104u2¾-101-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-135--o2½-120o2½-135o2½-120-
Underu2½-115u2½+115--u2½-110u2½+115u2½+115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-123 to o2½-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.4%
 
No51.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.17%
Exactly 226.17%
Exactly 412.45%
Exactly 62.37%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 121.91%
Exactly 320.85%
Exactly 55.95%
Exactly 70.81%
Exact Goals Scored - Sevilla
Exactly 027.79%
Exactly 135.58%
Exactly 222.78%
Exactly 39.73%
Exactly 43.11%
Exactly 50.80%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 033.00%
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 220.28%
Exactly 37.50%
Exactly 42.08%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.08%
Exactly 220.24%
Exactly 42.06%
 
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 37.46%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sevilla
Exactly 055.27%
Exactly 132.77%
Exactly 29.71%
Exactly 31.92%
Exactly 40.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 059.85%
Exactly 130.72%
Exactly 27.89%
Exactly 31.35%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sevilla
Wins by 2+ goals18.03%
Wins by 3+ goals6.26%
Wins by 4+ goals1.74%
Wins by 5+ goals0.38%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals12.62%
Wins by 3+ goals3.80%
Wins by 4+ goals0.87%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Sevilla
Villarreal
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sevilla
Wins by 1 goal22.30%
Wins by 2 goals11.77%
Wins by 3 goals4.52%
Wins by 4 goals1.35%
Wins by 5 goals0.33%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal19.31%
Wins by 2 goals8.82%
Wins by 3 goals2.93%
Wins by 4 goals0.74%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.83%9.17%
1.568.92%31.08%
2.542.75%57.25%
3.521.91%78.09%
4.59.45%90.55%
5.53.50%96.50%
6.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals Sevilla Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.21%27.79%
1.536.63%63.37%
2.513.84%86.16%
3.54.12%95.88%
4.51.00%99.00%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.00%33.00%
1.530.42%69.58%
2.510.14%89.86%
3.52.64%97.36%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.92%33.08%
1.530.33%69.67%
2.510.08%89.92%
3.52.62%97.38%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sevilla
Villarreal
Score012345
0
9.17%
10.17%
5.64%
2.08%
0.58%
0.13%
1
11.74%
13.02%
7.22%
2.67%
0.74%
0.16%
2
7.52%
8.34%
4.62%
1.71%
0.47%
0.10%
3
3.21%
3.56%
1.97%
0.73%
0.20%
0.04%
4
1.03%
1.14%
0.63%
0.23%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.26%
0.29%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Sevilla
1-011.74%
2-07.52%
2-18.34%
3-03.21%
3-13.56%
3-21.97%
4-01.03%
4-11.14%
4-20.63%
4-30.23%
5-00.26%
5-10.29%
5-20.16%
Draw
0-09.17%
1-113.02%
2-24.62%
3-30.73%
Villarreal
0-110.17%
0-25.64%
1-27.22%
0-32.08%
1-32.67%
2-31.71%
0-40.58%
1-40.74%
2-40.47%
3-40.20%
0-50.13%
1-50.16%
2-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Sevilla
Villarreal
Score0123
0
33.08%
16.98%
4.36%
0.75%
1
19.61%
10.07%
2.58%
0.44%
2
5.81%
2.98%
0.77%
0.13%
3
1.15%
0.59%
0.15%
0.03%
4
0.17%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Sevilla
1-019.61%
2-05.81%
2-12.98%
3-01.15%
3-10.59%
3-20.15%
4-00.17%
Draw
0-033.08%
1-110.07%
2-20.77%
Villarreal
0-116.98%
0-24.36%
1-22.58%
0-30.75%
1-30.44%
2-30.13%