Sweden Allsvenskan Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 23, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
Line
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Kalmar
Djurgarden
16.4%
67.6%
16.1%
+450
-160

0.55
2.27
2.82
o2½-121
u2¾-115

Volatility Bet Value Active
Halmstad
Hacken
26.8%
44.3%
28.9%
+255
+110

0.78
1.29
2.07
o2½-102
u2½-118

Games for Oct 22, 2021

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Orig.
Draw %
Closing
Line
Orig. Total
Goals
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Norrkoping
Hacken
32.5%
40.4%
27.1%
+205
+140
+195
+140
2.44
o2¾-106
u2¾-102

1st H
40:00
0
0
Elfsborg
Djurgarden
26.5%
49.9%
23.5%
+265
+104
+250
+100
2.67
o2¾-118
u2¾+105

1st H
29:00
1
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
Line
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Orebro
Goteborg
24.8%
53.1%
22.1%
+450
-140
+390
-140
0
2
-0.56033-0.58834-0.63235
AIK Stockholm
Hammarby
29.6%
46.5%
24.0%
+181
+167
+175
+150
0
1
-1.00378-0.96840-0.76593
Kalmar
Mjallby
24.0%
53.9%
22.1%
+235
+150
+200
+160
0
4
-0.92437-1.00550-0.61873
Varberg
Sirius
34.3%
40.0%
25.7%
+191
+190
+180
+175
1
2
-1.06566-1.05909-0.91724
Malmo
Ostersund
63.2%
19.6%
17.2%
-303
+1113
-360
+850
3
0
-0.27595-0.29823-0.45836
Halmstad
Degerfors
33.1%
35.4%
31.5%
+145
+201
+135
+210
1
2
-1.13010-1.18127-1.03764
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 10/03/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffRelegation
1Djurgarden (13-4-5, 44 pts)16.76.17.257.435.7%35.7%50.4%0.0%0.0%
2AIK Stockholm (13-4-5, 44 pts)16.36.47.356.221.3%21.3%50.5%0.0%0.0%
3Malmo (12-5-5, 41 pts)16.76.56.857.038.2%38.2%49.5%0.0%0.0%
4Norrkoping (12-7-3, 39 pts)15.39.45.351.12.2%2.2%23.0%0.0%0.0%
5Elfsborg (12-7-3, 39 pts)15.49.25.451.62.6%2.6%22.3%0.0%0.0%
6Kalmar (10-5-7, 37 pts)12.28.69.245.70.0%0.0%1.2%0.0%0.0%
7Hammarby (9-6-7, 34 pts)12.78.19.247.30.0%0.0%3.1%0.0%0.0%
8Hacken (7-8-7, 28 pts)9.910.89.339.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%0.0%
9Varberg (7-8-7, 28 pts)9.511.39.237.60.0%0.0%0.0%2.0%0.0%
10Sirius (7-9-6, 27 pts)8.813.08.234.70.0%0.0%0.0%9.5%0.4%
11Mjallby (5-8-9, 24 pts)8.010.711.435.30.0%0.0%0.0%5.6%0.6%
12Halmstad (4-7-11, 23 pts)6.710.013.333.40.0%0.0%0.0%15.2%1.9%
13Goteborg (5-10-7, 22 pts)7.613.19.332.10.0%0.0%0.0%24.8%5.2%
14Degerfors (6-12-4, 22 pts)8.515.36.231.60.0%0.0%0.0%31.4%7.6%
15Orebro (4-14-4, 16 pts)6.117.76.324.50.0%0.0%0.0%8.2%88.2%
16Ostersund (3-15-4, 13 pts)4.919.06.020.90.0%0.0%0.0%2.7%96.1%

Predictions Methodology

The Swedish Allsvenskan season typically runs from the beginning to April to the beginning of November. Each of the sixteen teams play a home-and-home with every other team in the Allsvenskan to play thirty games total for the season. The bottom two teams get relegated and the third to the bottom placed team plays in a two leg match against the 3rd placed Superettan team to see who qualifies for the Allsvenskan.