Sweden Allsvenskan Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 28, 2022

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sundsvall
Goteborg
22.2%
53.3%
24.5%
+575
-195
+540
-195
0.97
1.65
2.62
o2½-118
u2¾-122

Kalmar
Mjallby
16.5%
61.5%
22.0%
+150
+227
+140
+220
0.84
1.87
2.71
o2-114
u2-101

Sirius
Hacken
18.1%
60.4%
21.5%
+625
-210
+615
-220
0.97
1.96
2.93
o3-102
u3-110

Games for May 27, 2022

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Mjallby
Sundsvall
36.8%
34.9%
28.3%
+119
+275
+125
+225
0
2
-1.34331-1.22806-1.05182
Djurgarden
Kalmar
42.9%
29.0%
28.1%
+154
+218
+130
+230
0
1
-1.17260-1.24303-1.23818
Hacken
Malmo
10.7%
72.0%
17.3%
+363
-123
+360
-130
2
1
-1.55561-1.57417-2.23905
Norrkoping
Hammarby
20.2%
58.9%
20.9%
+316
-103
+335
-130
0
3
-0.69925-0.62077-0.52938
Goteborg
Elfsborg
18.1%
60.0%
21.8%
+560
-190
+495
-185
1
3
-0.44852-0.48329-0.51034
Degerfors
Varberg
19.6%
57.7%
22.6%
+309
-103
+320
-120
1
2
-0.70255-0.65857-0.54979
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/23/22
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffRelegation
1Hammarby (6-1-2, 20 pts)14.57.48.151.728.8%28.8%32.6%0.2%0.0%
2Hacken (6-1-2, 20 pts)12.99.18.046.86.7%6.7%20.7%0.4%0.1%
3AIK Stockholm (6-2-2, 20 pts)15.07.57.552.427.2%27.2%39.1%0.0%0.1%
4Djurgarden (4-3-3, 15 pts)12.69.08.546.16.4%6.4%21.6%1.1%0.7%
5Kalmar (5-4-0, 15 pts)11.512.56.040.51.2%1.2%3.8%4.3%3.2%
6Malmo (4-3-3, 15 pts)14.17.78.250.517.2%17.2%36.7%0.1%0.0%
7Elfsborg (4-3-2, 14 pts)12.79.38.046.06.9%6.9%19.6%0.7%0.4%
8Mjallby (4-3-2, 14 pts)12.010.08.044.03.3%3.3%11.4%1.2%1.1%
9Sirius (4-3-2, 14 pts)9.812.37.837.40.0%0.0%1.1%11.0%9.8%
10Norrkoping (4-4-1, 13 pts)11.411.57.141.31.4%1.4%5.2%3.6%2.8%
11Goteborg (3-4-2, 11 pts)10.311.87.938.80.5%0.5%3.4%6.3%5.7%
12Varberg (3-4-2, 11 pts)9.512.67.936.40.1%0.1%1.3%12.4%12.7%
13Varnamo (2-4-3, 9 pts)10.110.99.039.20.2%0.2%3.3%6.0%3.9%
14Sundsvall (2-7-0, 6 pts)8.615.36.131.80.1%0.1%0.2%21.3%36.1%
15Degerfors (2-7-0, 6 pts)7.616.65.828.50.0%0.0%0.0%16.5%61.8%
16Helsingborg (1-7-2, 5 pts)6.715.77.627.80.0%0.0%0.0%14.9%61.6%

Predictions Methodology

The Swedish Allsvenskan season typically runs from the beginning to April to the beginning of November. Each of the sixteen teams play a home-and-home with every other team in the Allsvenskan to play thirty games total for the season. The bottom two teams get relegated and the third to the bottom placed team plays in a two leg match against the 3rd placed Superettan team to see who qualifies for the Allsvenskan.