Sweden Allsvenskan Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 3, 2022

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Hammarby
Djurgarden
25.0%
51.0%
24.0%
+214
+133
+200
+130
1.12
1.70
2.82
o2½-109
u2½-106

Varnamo
Varberg
40.5%
31.6%
27.9%

+180
+165
1.26
1.08
2.34


Elfsborg
Hacken
40.4%
32.6%
27.0%
+187
+138
+185
+130
1.33
1.16
2.49
o3-110
u3-104

Sirius
Norrkoping
15.9%
64.7%
19.4%
+545
-190
+560
-220
0.99
2.19
3.18
o2¾-118
u3-129

Games for Jul 2, 2022

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Kalmar
Helsingborg
34.8%
36.2%
29.0%
-101
+325
-115
+340
1
1
-1.29233-1.28906-1.23787
Mjallby
AIK Stockholm
16.2%
61.5%
22.4%
+755
-205
+700
-220
1
0
-2.16213-2.12880-1.82164
Malmo
Sundsvall
81.9%
5.8%
12.3%
-245
+701
-300
+800
1
2
-2.10908-2.24583-2.84335
Varberg
Elfsborg
15.0%
65.5%
19.5%
+800
-258
+730
-290
1
4
-0.34959-0.34767-0.42312
Goteborg
Sirius
38.0%
34.7%
27.3%
+187
+160
+185
+150
2
1
-1.07863-1.09551-0.96832
Varnamo
Kalmar
38.7%
32.4%
28.9%

+370
-120
0
1
-0.65716-1.12846
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.72723 
Sportsbooks20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.70893 
DRatings20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.52976
0.19748
0.17918

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/27/22
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffRelegation
1Hacken (7-1-3, 24 pts)14.37.48.351.212.8%12.8%25.1%0.0%0.0%
2AIK Stockholm (7-2-3, 24 pts)15.36.87.953.721.8%21.8%36.6%0.0%0.0%
3Djurgarden (6-3-3, 21 pts)14.57.77.851.314.9%14.9%29.9%0.0%0.0%
4Hammarby (6-2-3, 21 pts)14.77.28.252.117.1%17.1%32.9%0.0%0.0%
5Malmo (6-3-3, 21 pts)15.47.17.553.822.9%22.9%37.3%0.0%0.0%
6Kalmar (6-4-1, 19 pts)12.810.96.344.61.8%1.8%9.1%0.5%0.0%
7Elfsborg (5-3-3, 18 pts)13.28.58.347.96.8%6.8%15.2%0.0%0.0%
8Goteborg (5-4-2, 17 pts)12.110.67.343.70.8%0.8%5.2%0.4%0.1%
9Mjallby (4-3-4, 16 pts)10.99.89.342.00.5%0.5%3.9%1.0%0.3%
10Norrkoping (4-4-3, 15 pts)11.410.38.342.50.4%0.4%3.7%0.9%0.5%
11Sirius (4-5-2, 14 pts)9.713.17.236.40.1%0.1%0.2%8.1%2.7%
12Varnamo (3-5-3, 12 pts)9.711.98.437.60.1%0.1%0.7%4.3%1.8%
13Varberg (3-6-2, 11 pts)9.014.07.034.00.0%0.0%0.2%14.0%5.7%
14Degerfors (2-8-1, 7 pts)7.016.86.227.20.0%0.0%0.0%39.4%34.6%
15Sundsvall (2-9-0, 6 pts)5.021.33.718.60.0%0.0%0.0%6.4%92.4%
16Helsingborg (1-9-2, 5 pts)5.817.56.824.00.0%0.0%0.0%25.0%61.9%

Predictions Methodology

The Swedish Allsvenskan season typically runs from the beginning to April to the beginning of November. Each of the sixteen teams play a home-and-home with every other team in the Allsvenskan to play thirty games total for the season. The bottom two teams get relegated and the third to the bottom placed team plays in a two leg match against the 3rd placed Superettan team to see who qualifies for the Allsvenskan.