Sweden Allsvenskan Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 25, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Elfsborg
Norrkoping 		44.8%
29.8%		25.4%
+107
+244
+105
+255
1.51
1.18		2.69
o2½-130
u2¾-115

Malmo
Djurgarden 		36.7%
34.7%		28.5%
+115
+248
+115
+240
1.15
1.12		2.27
o2½-115
u2½-101

Hammarby
Halmstad 		39.7%
32.2%		28.1%
-109
+304
-110
+290
1.24
1.09		2.33
o2½-105
u2½-105

Games for Apr 24, 2024
Games for Apr 28, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Kalmar
Elfsborg		12.6%
68.9%		18.5%
+455
-150
+415
-150
2
1		-1.74847-1.68837-2.07203
Brommapojkarna
Halmstad		28.1%
41.8%		30.2%
+100
+283
-105
+280
2
0		-0.72054-0.72081-1.27090
Hammarby
Hacken		29.3%
45.8%		24.8%
+295
-110
+290
-120
1
2		-0.67325-0.65670-0.78027
Djurgarden
AIK Stockholm		24.2%
49.0%		26.7%
+167
+195
+155
+195
0
2		-1.11231-1.13414-0.71253
Norrkoping
Goteborg		21.0%
55.7%		23.3%
+444
-155
+400
-150
1
1		-1.44779-1.42549-1.45702
Elfsborg
Hammarby		31.6%
43.4%		25.0%
+182
+151
+180
+150
0
3		-0.95829-0.96627-0.83386
Brommapojkarna
Hacken		19.6%
56.9%		23.4%
+360
-135
+310
-135
3
4		-0.56683-0.60398-0.56317
Sirius
Djurgarden		12.5%
69.2%		18.3%
+367
-138
+310
-125
0
2		-0.58218-0.63605-0.36872
Goteborg
Kalmar		33.0%
38.3%		28.8%
+191
+154
+185
+150
1
0		-1.10685-1.09982-1.10948
Hacken
Djurgarden		20.9%
55.1%		24.0%
+313
-119
+325
-130
3
3		-1.42122-1.43557-1.42649
Sirius
Kalmar		24.8%
50.3%		24.9%
+192
+149
+170
+165
2
1		-1.11073-1.04276-1.39412
Hammarby
Malmo		14.8%
66.5%		18.7%
+700
-244
+640
-255
0
2		-0.37720-0.38293-0.40792
Goteborg
Halmstad		32.3%
36.8%		30.9%
+166
+186
+145
+195
0
1		-1.07904-1.13519-1.00060
Halmstad
Sirius		27.1%
45.1%		27.8%
+373
-134
+330
-125
0
3		-0.59039-0.63779-0.79678
Djurgarden
Goteborg		34.6%
36.5%		28.9%
+132
+236
+130
+220
4
1		-0.87455-0.88201-1.06103
Malmo
Norrkoping		56.1%
20.9%		23.0%
-170
+480
-195
+495
5
1		-0.48903-0.46401-0.57878
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.74847 
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.68837 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-2.07203
-0.32356
-0.38366

Predictions Methodology

The Swedish Allsvenskan season typically runs from the beginning to April to the beginning of November. Each of the sixteen teams play a home-and-home with every other team in the Allsvenskan to play thirty games total for the season. The bottom two teams get relegated and the third to the bottom placed team plays in a two leg match against the 3rd placed Superettan team to see who qualifies for the Allsvenskan.