Elfsborg at Varberg

Updated

Elfsborg

46.4%25.5%28.1%
Elfsborg WinDrawVarberg Win
1.52Projected Goals 1.12
3Final Score 0

Varberg

Last 5 Games

Elfsborg
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Degerfors-220
L 2-0 vs Kalmar-130
W 3-1 at Goteborg+130
W 0-3 vs Sirius-205
W 2-0 at Sundsvall-240
Varberg
Money Line
W 3-1 at Helsingborg+230
L 1-5 at Hammarby+1050
T 1-1 vs Hacken+290
L 0-1 at Varnamo+230
W 0-2 vs AIK Stockholm+335

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Elfsborg-110+105+105+108-+108+108+111.5
Varberg+285+257+245+233-+233+257+276.8
Draw+255+266+250+270-+270+270+281.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Elfsborg-115----+120+120+111.5
Varberg+275----+215+215+276.8
Draw+300----+260+260+281.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Elfsborg: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Varberg: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Elfsborg: 0.0%
Varberg: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Elfsborg: 0.0%
Varberg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Elfsborg ML moved from +115 to +105
Varberg ML moved from +217 to +197

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Elfsborg: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Varberg: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Elfsborg: 20.0%
Varberg: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Elfsborg: 60.0%
Varberg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Elfsborg ML moved from +100 to -105
Varberg ML moved from +265 to +220

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112o2½-130o2¾+100o2½-122-o2½-122o2½-122o2½-115
Underu2¾-108u2½+110u2¾-120u2½+102-u2½+102u2¾-120u2½+115
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-115
Under-----u2½+115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.7%
 
No47.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.10%
Exactly 224.84%
Exactly 414.48%
Exactly 63.38%
Exactly 80.42%
 
Exactly 118.79%
Exactly 321.90%
Exactly 57.66%
Exactly 71.28%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Elfsborg
Exactly 021.85%
Exactly 133.23%
Exactly 225.27%
Exactly 312.81%
Exactly 44.87%
Exactly 51.48%
Exactly 60.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Varberg
Exactly 032.51%
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 220.52%
Exactly 37.69%
Exactly 42.16%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.39%
Exactly 222.03%
Exactly 42.75%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.99%
Exactly 38.99%
Exactly 50.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Elfsborg
Exactly 049.45%
Exactly 134.82%
Exactly 212.26%
Exactly 32.88%
Exactly 40.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Varberg
Exactly 059.43%
Exactly 130.92%
Exactly 28.04%
Exactly 31.40%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Elfsborg
Wins by 2+ goals23.24%
Wins by 3+ goals9.22%
Wins by 4+ goals2.94%
Wins by 5+ goals0.74%
Varberg
Wins by 2+ goals10.91%
Wins by 3+ goals3.26%
Wins by 4+ goals0.74%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Elfsborg
Varberg
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Elfsborg
Wins by 1 goal23.07%
Wins by 2 goals14.02%
Wins by 3 goals6.28%
Wins by 4 goals2.20%
Wins by 5 goals0.62%
Varberg
Wins by 1 goal17.05%
Wins by 2 goals7.65%
Wins by 3 goals2.52%
Wins by 4 goals0.63%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.90%7.10%
1.574.11%25.89%
2.549.27%50.73%
3.527.37%72.63%
4.512.90%87.10%
5.55.24%94.76%
6.51.86%98.14%

Total Goals Elfsborg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.15%21.85%
1.544.91%55.09%
2.519.64%80.36%
3.56.83%93.17%
4.51.96%98.04%

Total Goals Varberg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.49%32.51%
1.530.97%69.03%
2.510.44%89.56%
3.52.75%97.25%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.61%29.39%
1.534.62%65.38%
2.512.59%87.41%
3.53.59%96.41%

Score Props

Correct Score

Elfsborg
Varberg
Score012345
0
7.10%
7.98%
4.49%
1.68%
0.47%
0.11%
1
10.80%
12.14%
6.82%
2.56%
0.72%
0.16%
2
8.21%
9.23%
5.19%
1.94%
0.55%
0.12%
3
4.16%
4.68%
2.63%
0.98%
0.28%
0.06%
4
1.58%
1.78%
1.00%
0.37%
0.11%
0.02%
5
0.48%
0.54%
0.30%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Elfsborg
1-010.80%
2-08.21%
2-19.23%
3-04.16%
3-14.68%
3-22.63%
4-01.58%
4-11.78%
4-21.00%
4-30.37%
5-00.48%
5-10.54%
5-20.30%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-07.10%
1-112.14%
2-25.19%
3-30.98%
4-40.11%
Varberg
0-17.98%
0-24.49%
1-26.82%
0-31.68%
1-32.56%
2-31.94%
0-40.47%
1-40.72%
2-40.55%
3-40.28%
0-50.11%
1-50.16%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Elfsborg
Varberg
Score0123
0
29.39%
15.29%
3.98%
0.69%
1
20.70%
10.77%
2.80%
0.49%
2
7.29%
3.79%
0.99%
0.17%
3
1.71%
0.89%
0.23%
0.04%
4
0.30%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Elfsborg
1-020.70%
2-07.29%
2-13.79%
3-01.71%
3-10.89%
3-20.23%
4-00.30%
4-10.16%
Draw
0-029.39%
1-110.77%
2-20.99%
Varberg
0-115.29%
0-23.98%
1-22.80%
0-30.69%
1-30.49%
2-30.17%