Malmo at Sirius

Updated

Malmo

59.3%21.7%19.0%
Malmo WinDrawWin
1.94Projected Goals 1.00
1Final Score 5

Sirius

Last 5 Games

Malmo
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Varnamo
L 1-0 vs Djurgarden
T 2-2 at Elfsborg
T 1-1 vs Degerfors
T 0-0 vs Goteborg
Sirius
Money Line
L 2-8 at Djurgarden
L 3-1 vs Degerfors
W 0-3 vs GAIS
L 1-2 at AIK Stockholm
W 1-3 vs Hammarby

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Malmo+118+148+147+145+148+145+148+165.6
Sirius+212+163+163+165+167+165+167+187.3
Draw+255+251+260+235+256+235+260+263.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Malmo-----+165.6
Sirius-----+187.3
Draw-----+263.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Malmo: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sirius: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Malmo: 50.0%
Sirius: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Malmo: 0.0%
Sirius: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Malmo ML moved from +156 to +145
Sirius ML moved from +167 to +161

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-115o3+116o2¾-118o2¾-118o2¾-114o2¾-118o2¾-114o2¾-107
Underu2¾-105u3-136u2¾-102u2¾-102u2¾-106u2¾-102u2¾-102u2¾+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-107
Under-----u2¾+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.2%
 
No45.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.28%
Exactly 222.83%
Exactly 416.47%
Exactly 64.75%
Exactly 80.73%
 
Exactly 115.52%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.69%
Exactly 72.00%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Malmo
Exactly 014.35%
Exactly 127.86%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 317.50%
Exactly 48.49%
Exactly 53.30%
Exactly 61.07%
Exactly 70.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Sirius
Exactly 036.76%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.41%
Exactly 36.14%
Exactly 41.54%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.61%
Exactly 223.76%
Exactly 43.67%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.89%
Exactly 310.79%
Exactly 51.00%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Malmo
Exactly 040.71%
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 216.44%
Exactly 34.93%
Exactly 41.11%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sirius
Exactly 062.92%
Exactly 129.15%
Exactly 26.75%
Exactly 31.04%
Exactly 40.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Malmo
Wins by 2+ goals35.21%
Wins by 3+ goals17.05%
Wins by 4+ goals6.82%
Wins by 5+ goals2.27%
Sirius
Wins by 2+ goals6.57%
Wins by 3+ goals1.74%
Wins by 4+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Malmo
Sirius
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Malmo
Wins by 1 goal23.99%
Wins by 2 goals18.16%
Wins by 3 goals10.23%
Wins by 4 goals4.55%
Wins by 5 goals1.66%
Sirius
Wins by 1 goal12.37%
Wins by 2 goals4.82%
Wins by 3 goals1.39%
Wins by 4 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.72%5.28%
1.579.20%20.80%
2.556.37%43.63%
3.533.98%66.02%
4.517.51%82.49%
5.57.82%92.18%
6.53.07%96.93%
7.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals Malmo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.65%14.35%
1.557.78%42.22%
2.530.74%69.26%
3.513.24%86.76%
4.54.75%95.25%
5.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals Sirius Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.24%36.76%
1.526.45%73.55%
2.58.05%91.95%
3.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.39%25.61%
1.539.50%60.50%
2.515.74%84.26%
3.54.95%95.05%
4.51.28%98.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

Malmo
Sirius
Score01234
0
5.28%
5.28%
2.64%
0.88%
0.22%
1
10.24%
10.25%
5.13%
1.71%
0.43%
2
9.94%
9.95%
4.98%
1.66%
0.42%
3
6.43%
6.44%
3.22%
1.07%
0.27%
4
3.12%
3.12%
1.56%
0.52%
0.13%
5
1.21%
1.21%
0.61%
0.20%
0.05%
Malmo
1-010.24%
2-09.94%
2-19.95%
3-06.43%
3-16.44%
3-23.22%
4-03.12%
4-13.12%
4-21.56%
4-30.52%
5-01.21%
5-11.21%
5-20.61%
5-30.20%
Draw
0-05.28%
1-110.25%
2-24.98%
3-31.07%
4-40.13%
Sirius
0-15.28%
0-22.64%
1-25.13%
0-30.88%
1-31.71%
2-31.66%
0-40.22%
1-40.43%
2-40.42%
3-40.27%

Correct Score - First Half

Malmo
Sirius
Score0123
0
25.61%
11.87%
2.75%
0.42%
1
23.02%
10.67%
2.47%
0.38%
2
10.34%
4.79%
1.11%
0.17%
3
3.10%
1.44%
0.33%
0.05%
4
0.70%
0.32%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Malmo
1-023.02%
2-010.34%
2-14.79%
3-03.10%
3-11.44%
3-20.33%
4-00.70%
4-10.32%
5-00.13%
Draw
0-025.61%
1-110.67%
2-21.11%
Sirius
0-111.87%
0-22.75%
1-22.47%
0-30.42%
1-30.38%
2-30.17%