Värnamo at Norrkoping

Updated

Varnamo

32.8%28.4%38.8%
Värnamo WinDrawNorrkoping Win
1.08Projected Goals 1.20
1Final Score 3

Norrkoping

Last 5 Games

Varnamo
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Djurgarden
L 0-1 at Hammarby
T 0-0 vs Elfsborg
L 0-2 at Mjallby
T 1-1 vs Oster
Norrkoping
Money Line
L 1-3 at Malmo
L 1-0 vs Brommapojkarna
T 1-1 at Djurgarden
L 3-0 vs GAIS
T 1-1 vs Mjallby

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Värnamo+205+189+190+200+194+200+200+226.7
Norrkoping+112+125+127+103+125+103+127+121.1
Draw+280+264+255+280+263+280+280+313.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Värnamo-----+226.7
Norrkoping-----+121.1
Draw-----+313.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Värnamo: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Norrkoping: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Värnamo: 20.0%
Norrkoping: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Värnamo: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Värnamo: 0.0%
Norrkoping: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Värnamo ML moved from +193 to +185
Norrkoping ML moved from +129 to +103

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-120o3+109o2¾-122o2¾-125o2¾-124o2¾-125o2¾-122o2¾-114
Underu2¾+100u3-129u2¾+102u2¾+105u2¾+102u2¾+105u2¾+105u2¾+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-114
Under-----u2¾+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-112 to u2¾+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.2%
 
No53.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.22%
Exactly 226.58%
Exactly 411.52%
Exactly 62.00%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.31%
Exactly 320.21%
Exactly 55.26%
Exactly 70.65%
Exact Goals Scored - Varnamo
Exactly 033.98%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.79%
Exactly 37.12%
Exactly 41.92%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Norrkoping
Exactly 030.08%
Exactly 136.13%
Exactly 221.71%
Exactly 38.69%
Exactly 42.61%
Exactly 50.63%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.79%
Exactly 219.39%
Exactly 41.80%
 
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 36.83%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Varnamo
Exactly 060.67%
Exactly 130.32%
Exactly 27.57%
Exactly 31.26%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Norrkoping
Exactly 057.33%
Exactly 131.89%
Exactly 28.87%
Exactly 31.64%
Exactly 40.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Varnamo
Wins by 2+ goals12.76%
Wins by 3+ goals3.78%
Wins by 4+ goals0.85%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Norrkoping
Wins by 2+ goals16.62%
Wins by 3+ goals5.49%
Wins by 4+ goals1.44%
Wins by 5+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Varnamo
Norrkoping
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Varnamo
Wins by 1 goal19.91%
Wins by 2 goals8.98%
Wins by 3 goals2.93%
Wins by 4 goals0.73%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Norrkoping
Wins by 1 goal22.16%
Wins by 2 goals11.13%
Wins by 3 goals4.05%
Wins by 4 goals1.14%
Wins by 5 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.78%10.22%
1.566.47%33.53%
2.539.88%60.12%
3.519.67%80.33%
4.58.15%91.85%
5.52.90%97.10%

Total Goals Varnamo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.02%33.98%
1.529.34%70.66%
2.59.54%90.46%
3.52.42%97.58%

Total Goals Norrkoping Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.92%30.08%
1.533.79%66.21%
2.512.08%87.92%
3.53.39%96.61%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.21%34.79%
1.528.48%71.52%
2.59.09%90.91%
3.52.26%97.74%

Score Props

Correct Score

Värnamo
Norrkoping
Score012345
0
10.22%
12.28%
7.38%
2.95%
0.89%
0.21%
1
11.03%
13.25%
7.96%
3.19%
0.96%
0.23%
2
5.95%
7.15%
4.30%
1.72%
0.52%
0.12%
3
2.14%
2.57%
1.55%
0.62%
0.19%
0.04%
4
0.58%
0.69%
0.42%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.15%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Varnamo
1-011.03%
2-05.95%
2-17.15%
3-02.14%
3-12.57%
3-21.55%
4-00.58%
4-10.69%
4-20.42%
4-30.17%
5-00.12%
5-10.15%
Draw
0-010.22%
1-113.25%
2-24.30%
3-30.62%
Norrkoping
0-112.28%
0-27.38%
1-27.96%
0-32.95%
1-33.19%
2-31.72%
0-40.89%
1-40.96%
2-40.52%
3-40.19%
0-50.21%
1-50.23%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Värnamo
Norrkoping
Score01234
0
34.79%
19.35%
5.38%
1.00%
0.14%
1
17.38%
9.67%
2.69%
0.50%
0.07%
2
4.34%
2.42%
0.67%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.72%
0.40%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Varnamo
1-017.38%
2-04.34%
2-12.42%
3-00.72%
3-10.40%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-034.79%
1-19.67%
2-20.67%
Norrkoping
0-119.35%
0-25.38%
1-22.69%
0-31.00%
1-30.50%
2-30.12%
0-40.14%
Hacken at Halmstad
Halmstad at GAIS