Värnamo at Elfsborg

Updated

Varnamo

24.2%25.1%50.7%
Värnamo WinDrawElfsborg Win
1.02Projected Goals 1.59
1Final Score 4

Elfsborg

Last Games

Varnamo
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Sirius+115
L 1-2 at Goteborg+410
Elfsborg
Money Line
T 1-1 at Malmo+480
L 2-0 vs Mjallby-165
W 3-2 at Orebro-200
L 4-2 vs AIK Stockholm+140
W 1-0 at Halmstad+185

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Värnamo-----+545.0
Elfsborg------169.7
Draw-----+363.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Värnamo+505----+575+575+545.0
Elfsborg-190-----210-210-169.7
Draw+330----+340+340+363.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Värnamo: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Elfsborg: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Värnamo: 40.0%
Elfsborg: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Värnamo: 30.0%
Elfsborg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Värnamo ML
Elfsborg ML moved from -200 to -210

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.8%
 
No49.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.37%
Exactly 225.06%
Exactly 414.21%
Exactly 63.22%
Exactly 80.39%
 
Exactly 119.21%
Exactly 321.78%
Exactly 57.41%
Exactly 71.20%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Varnamo
Exactly 036.13%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.72%
Exactly 36.35%
Exactly 41.62%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Elfsborg
Exactly 020.39%
Exactly 132.42%
Exactly 225.78%
Exactly 313.66%
Exactly 45.43%
Exactly 51.73%
Exactly 60.46%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.89%
Exactly 221.80%
Exactly 42.65%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.10%
Exactly 38.77%
Exactly 50.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Varnamo
Exactly 062.41%
Exactly 129.42%
Exactly 26.93%
Exactly 31.09%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Elfsborg
Exactly 047.89%
Exactly 135.26%
Exactly 212.98%
Exactly 33.19%
Exactly 40.59%

Alternate Props

Spread

Varnamo
Wins by 2+ goals8.75%
Wins by 3+ goals2.41%
Wins by 4+ goals0.50%
Elfsborg
Wins by 2+ goals26.51%
Wins by 3+ goals11.03%
Wins by 4+ goals3.74%
Wins by 5+ goals1.05%
Wins by 6+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Varnamo
Elfsborg
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Varnamo
Wins by 1 goal15.45%
Wins by 2 goals6.34%
Wins by 3 goals1.90%
Wins by 4 goals0.44%
Elfsborg
Wins by 1 goal24.13%
Wins by 2 goals15.47%
Wins by 3 goals7.29%
Wins by 4 goals2.69%
Wins by 5 goals0.81%
Wins by 6 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.63%7.37%
1.573.42%26.58%
2.548.37%51.63%
3.526.58%73.42%
4.512.38%87.62%
5.54.96%95.04%
6.51.74%98.26%

Total Goals Varnamo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.87%36.13%
1.527.09%72.91%
2.58.37%91.63%
3.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals Elfsborg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.61%20.39%
1.547.19%52.81%
2.521.41%78.59%
3.57.75%92.25%
4.52.31%97.69%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.11%29.89%
1.534.01%65.99%
2.512.22%87.78%
3.53.44%96.56%

Score Props

Correct Score

Värnamo
Elfsborg
Score012345
0
7.37%
11.71%
9.31%
4.94%
1.96%
0.62%
1
7.50%
11.93%
9.48%
5.03%
2.00%
0.64%
2
3.82%
6.07%
4.83%
2.56%
1.02%
0.32%
3
1.30%
2.06%
1.64%
0.87%
0.35%
0.11%
4
0.33%
0.52%
0.42%
0.22%
0.09%
0.03%
Varnamo
1-07.50%
2-03.82%
2-16.07%
3-01.30%
3-12.06%
3-21.64%
4-00.33%
4-10.52%
4-20.42%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-07.37%
1-111.93%
2-24.83%
3-30.87%
Elfsborg
0-111.71%
0-29.31%
1-29.48%
0-34.94%
1-35.03%
2-32.56%
0-41.96%
1-42.00%
2-41.02%
3-40.35%
0-50.62%
1-50.64%
2-50.32%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Värnamo
Elfsborg
Score01234
0
29.89%
22.01%
8.10%
1.99%
0.37%
1
14.09%
10.37%
3.82%
0.94%
0.17%
2
3.32%
2.44%
0.90%
0.22%
0.04%
3
0.52%
0.38%
0.14%
0.03%
0.01%
Varnamo
1-014.09%
2-03.32%
2-12.44%
3-00.52%
3-10.38%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-029.89%
1-110.37%
2-20.90%
Elfsborg
0-122.01%
0-28.10%
1-23.82%
0-31.99%
1-30.94%
2-30.22%
0-40.37%
1-40.17%