Varberg at Sirius

Updated

Varberg

22.7%23.4%53.9%
Varberg WinDrawSirius Win
1.07Projected Goals 1.77
0Final Score 7

Sirius

Last 5 Games

Varberg
Money Line
W 3-4 vs Brommapojkarna+225
L 0-3 at AIK Stockholm+850
L 3-0 vs Varnamo+190
L 0-2 at Hacken+635
L 3-0 vs Mjallby+190
Sirius
Money Line
L 1-2 at Halmstad+135
L 3-1 vs Malmo+390
L 2-3 at Hacken+465
W 0-3 vs Kalmar+110
L 0-1 at Elfsborg+715

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Varberg+487+658+600+675+629+675+675+714.6
Sirius-182-254-275-285-276-285-254-238.1
Draw+346+426+400+450+430+450+450+478.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Varberg+525----+535+535+714.6
Sirius-200-----230-230-238.1
Draw+350----+405+405+478.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Varberg: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sirius: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Varberg: 50.0%
Sirius: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Varberg: 0.0%
Sirius: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Varberg ML moved from +534 to +521
Sirius ML moved from -265 to -285

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Varberg: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sirius: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Varberg: 40.0%
Sirius: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Varberg: 0.0%
Sirius: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Varberg ML
Sirius ML moved from -200 to -225

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+103o3-142o3¼-108o3¼-105o3¼-103o3¼-105o3¼-103o3¼+104
Underu3-121u3+120u3¼-112u3¼-115u3¼-117u3¼-115u3¼-112u3¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+104
Under-----u3¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.4%
 
No45.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.87%
Exactly 223.59%
Exactly 415.81%
Exactly 64.24%
Exactly 80.61%
 
Exactly 116.63%
Exactly 322.30%
Exactly 58.97%
Exactly 71.72%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Varberg
Exactly 034.45%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.56%
Exactly 36.95%
Exactly 41.85%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Sirius
Exactly 017.03%
Exactly 130.14%
Exactly 226.68%
Exactly 315.75%
Exactly 46.97%
Exactly 52.47%
Exactly 60.73%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.90%
Exactly 223.19%
Exactly 43.33%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.32%
Exactly 310.15%
Exactly 50.88%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Varberg
Exactly 061.05%
Exactly 130.12%
Exactly 27.43%
Exactly 31.22%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sirius
Exactly 044.06%
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 214.80%
Exactly 34.04%
Exactly 40.83%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Varberg
Wins by 2+ goals8.33%
Wins by 3+ goals2.35%
Wins by 4+ goals0.50%
Sirius
Wins by 2+ goals30.04%
Wins by 3+ goals13.52%
Wins by 4+ goals5.00%
Wins by 5+ goals1.54%
Wins by 6+ goals0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

Varberg
Sirius
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Varberg
Wins by 1 goal14.32%
Wins by 2 goals5.98%
Wins by 3 goals1.85%
Wins by 4 goals0.43%
Sirius
Wins by 1 goal23.79%
Wins by 2 goals16.52%
Wins by 3 goals8.52%
Wins by 4 goals3.46%
Wins by 5 goals1.15%
Wins by 6 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.13%5.87%
1.577.50%22.50%
2.553.91%46.09%
3.531.61%68.39%
4.515.80%84.20%
5.56.83%93.17%
6.52.59%97.41%

Total Goals Varberg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.55%34.45%
1.528.84%71.16%
2.59.28%90.72%
3.52.33%97.67%

Total Goals Sirius Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.97%17.03%
1.552.83%47.17%
2.526.15%73.85%
3.510.40%89.60%
4.53.43%96.57%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.10%26.90%
1.537.78%62.22%
2.514.59%85.41%
3.54.44%95.56%
4.51.11%98.89%

Score Props

Correct Score

Varberg
Sirius
Score012345
0
5.86%
10.38%
9.19%
5.42%
2.40%
0.85%
1
6.25%
11.07%
9.80%
5.78%
2.56%
0.91%
2
3.33%
5.90%
5.22%
3.08%
1.36%
0.48%
3
1.18%
2.09%
1.85%
1.09%
0.48%
0.17%
4
0.32%
0.56%
0.49%
0.29%
0.13%
0.05%
Varberg
1-06.25%
2-03.33%
2-15.90%
3-01.18%
3-12.09%
3-21.85%
4-00.32%
4-10.56%
4-20.49%
4-30.29%
Draw
0-05.86%
1-111.07%
2-25.22%
3-31.09%
4-40.13%
Sirius
0-110.38%
0-29.19%
1-29.80%
0-35.42%
1-35.78%
2-33.08%
0-42.40%
1-42.56%
2-41.36%
3-40.48%
0-50.85%
1-50.91%
2-50.48%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Varberg
Sirius
Score01234
0
26.90%
22.05%
9.04%
2.47%
0.51%
1
13.27%
10.88%
4.46%
1.22%
0.25%
2
3.27%
2.68%
1.10%
0.30%
0.06%
3
0.54%
0.44%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
Varberg
1-013.27%
2-03.27%
2-12.68%
3-00.54%
3-10.44%
3-20.18%
Draw
0-026.90%
1-110.88%
2-21.10%
Sirius
0-122.05%
0-29.04%
1-24.46%
0-32.47%
1-31.22%
2-30.30%
0-40.51%
1-40.25%