Turkey Super Lig Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 4, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Adana Demirspor
Istanbulspor 		40.4%
33.9%		25.7%
-169
+423
-185
+440
1.42
1.28		2.70
o3¼-111
u3½-133

Trabzonspor
Samsunspor 		33.5%
38.5%		28.0%
+162
+175
+165
+175
1.12
1.23		2.35
o2½-115
u2½+100

Karagumruk
Kayserispor 		28.5%
47.0%		24.4%
+205
+133
+195
+135
1.22
1.63		2.85
o2¾-132
u3-118

Games for May 3, 2024
Games for May 5, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Besiktas
Trabzonspor		31.6%
42.6%		25.8%
+160
+175
+150
+180
1
1		-1.26528-1.27379-1.35650
Pendikspor
Samsunspor		17.4%
59.3%		23.2%
+262
+119
+275
+100
0
0		-1.25037-1.30383-1.45921
Trabzonspor
Konyaspor		34.6%
37.9%		27.5%
+127
+236
+125
+230
3
1		-0.85407-0.86022-1.06100
Adana Demirspor
Fenerbahce		6.4%
82.1%		11.4%
+913
-343
+950
-390
2
4		-0.28325-0.27938-0.19677
Kasımpaşa
Kayserispor		22.4%
54.9%		22.7%
+257
+105
+265
-105
2
0		-1.29660-1.34289-1.49696
Karagumruk
Sivasspor		30.0%
44.6%		25.3%
+195
+151
+195
+145
0
1		-0.97083-0.94505-0.80638
Hatayspor
Galatasaray		6.9%
80.3%		12.7%
+1272
-515
+1475
-625
0
1		-0.21666-0.19924-0.21929
Alanyaspor
Gaziantep FK		30.7%
44.0%		25.3%
+220
+125
+240
+120
3
0		-1.21797-1.27418-1.18087
Ankaragucu
Antalyaspor		15.6%
63.6%		20.8%
+276
+100
+325
-110
1
1		-1.30313-1.28616-1.57079
Rizespor
Istanbulspor		43.3%
31.0%		25.7%
-131
+355
-145
+380
4
0		-0.60647-0.57346-0.83750
Fenerbahce
Trabzonspor		53.8%
22.9%		23.2%
+105
+260
-105
+270
3
2		-0.75307-0.71701-0.61992
Galatasaray
Kasımpaşa		64.3%
15.8%		19.8%
-185
+490
-215
+500
4
3		-0.46215-0.43385-0.44094
Samsunspor
Hatayspor		29.8%
43.5%		26.6%
+132
+237
+135
+225
0
3		-1.25439-1.22809-0.83188
Gaziantep FK
Rizespor		20.5%
57.3%		22.2%
+320
-108
+370
-125
1
3		-0.70152-0.63660-0.55759
Sivasspor
Adana Demirspor		25.3%
50.6%		24.1%
+450
-136
+410
-135
1
4		-0.58273-0.60523-0.68211
Antalyaspor
Besiktas		23.6%
52.8%		23.6%
+324
-106
+335
-115
2
1		-1.47924-1.51941-1.44325
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.95013 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.95995 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.91247
0.03766
0.04748

Predictions Methodology

There are eighteen teams in Turkey’s Super Lig. For the current season, the top finisher in the Super Lig qualifies for the Champions League Group stage and the second place finisher makes it to the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth place teams will advance to the Europa league, while the last three teams of the Super Lig (16th through 18th) get relegated.