UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for June 6, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Ariane Carnelossi
Ketlen Souza
31.6%
68.4%
+250
-300
+265
-310
Yuneisy Duben
Jeisla Chaves
19.0%
81.0%
+290
-350
+310
-360
Joanderson Brito
Jordan Leavitt
67.3%
32.7%
-171
+158
-180
+160
Chelsea Chandler
Priscila Cachoeira
49.7%
50.3%
-122
+104
-120
+105
Edgar Chairez
Bruno Silva
50.5%
49.5%
+110
-117
+105
-125
John Yannis
Marcus McGhee
20.3%
79.7%
+370
-450
+375
-415
Alessandro Costa
Matt Schnell
84.7%
15.3%
-600
+450
-550
+455
Junior Tafa
Iwo Baraniewski
39.2%
60.8%
+330
-400
+340
-400
Santiago Luna
Bryce Mitchell
39.8%
60.2%
+115
-133
+125
-130
Tom Nolan
Fares Ziam
32.3%
67.7%
+255
-300
+250
-300
Edmen Shahbazyan
Brendan Allen
38.9%
61.1%
+170
-198
+165
-175
Gabriel Bonfim
Belal Muhammad
49.2%
50.8%
-105
-106
-105
-110
Fights for Jun 5, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML
Final
Result
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Macy Chiasson
Ailin Perez
42.6%
57.4%
+165
-182
+165
-180
Loss
Win
-0.46040-0.46185-0.55542
Kris Moutinho
Cristian Quinonez
16.4%
83.6%
+500
-625
+475
-600
Loss
Win
-0.17675-0.18473-0.17892
Javier Reyez
Douglas Silva de Andrade
63.2%
36.8%
-260
+225
-230
+225
Win
Loss
-0.35489-0.36566-0.45842
Regina Tarin
Ernesta Kareckaite
40.1%
59.9%
+125
-145
+115
-127
Win
Loss
-0.84658-0.78975-0.91494
Francis Marshall
Erik Silva
82.9%
17.1%
-1100
+750
-800
+700
Win
Loss
-0.12076-0.13158-0.18811
Wes Schultz
Damian Pinas
35.2%
64.8%
+195
-225
+210
-225
Loss
Win
-0.39854-0.38251-0.43325
Sean Strickland
Anthony Hernandez
32.1%
67.9%
+222
-255
+230
-255
Win
Loss
-1.19783-1.21503-1.13482
Uros Medic
Geoff Neal
41.4%
58.6%
+182
-200
+180
-200
Win
Loss
-1.05780-1.05317-0.88068
Dan Ige
Melquizael Costa
39.1%
60.9%
+205
-240
+210
-240
Loss
Win
-0.38151-0.37637-0.49610
Serghei Spivac
Ante Delija
42.6%
57.4%
+105
-120
+100
-110
Win
Loss
-0.75056-0.71668-0.85435
Josiah Harrell
Jacobe Smith
18.2%
81.8%
+240
-275
+255
-280
Loss
Win
-0.33724-0.32375-0.20072
Michel Pereira
Zach Reese
60.8%
39.2%
-148
+135
-155
+145
Win
Loss
-0.53828-0.51371-0.49794
Carlos Leal
Chidi Njokuani
58.6%
41.4%
-130
+125
-135
+125
Win
Loss
-0.58016-0.57304-0.53483
Ode Osbourne
Alibi Idiris
46.0%
54.0%
+125
-140
+135
-130
Loss
Win
-0.56639-0.56124-0.61611
Luis Gurule
Alden Coria
34.7%
65.3%
+285
-342
+330
-380
Loss
Win
-0.28944-0.25755-0.42564
Nora Cornolle
Joselyne Edwards
35.4%
64.6%
+250
-300
+270
-300
Loss
Win
-0.32277-0.30775-0.43748
Load More Fights

Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks128-4 (0.667)0-0.50597 
Sportsbooks128-4 (0.667)0-0.50672 
DRatings129-3 (0.750)0-0.53742
-0.03146
-0.03070

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.