UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for January 24, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Paddy Pimblett
Justin Gaethje 		47.7%
52.3%
-209
+179
-195
+170
Amanda Nunes
Kayla Harrison 		38.4%
61.6%
+160
-181
+160
-180
Song Yadong
Sean O'Malley 		51.1%
48.9%
+206
-241
+220
-260
Derrick Lewis
Waldo Cortes-Acosta 		32.4%
67.6%
+250
-285
+250
-300
Jean Silva
Arnold Allen 		63.4%
36.6%
-230
+190
-210
+180
Rose Namajunas
Natalia Silva 		47.4%
52.6%


Deiveson Figueiredo
Umar Nurmagomedov 		17.4%
82.6%


Andrey Pulyaev
Ateba Gautier 		24.7%
75.3%


Alexander Hernandez
Michael Johnson 		64.9%
35.1%


Modestas Bukauskas
Nikita Krylov 		27.3%
72.7%


Charles Johnson
Alex Perez 		59.7%
40.3%


Denzel Freeman
Josh Hokit 		45.5%
54.5%


Cameron Smotherman
Ricky Turcios 		62.7%
37.3%


Fights for Jan 23, 2026
Fights for Jan 25, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Matt Schnell
Su Mudaerji		29.6%
70.4%
+220
-260
+250
-260
Win
Loss		-1.19730-1.26068-1.21817
Charles Jourdain
Shane Burgos		38.6%
61.4%
+157
-175
+160
-170
Loss
Win		-0.47715-0.47678-0.48713
Lauren Murphy
Miesha Tate		49.0%
51.0%
+185
-200
+180
-180
Win
Loss		-1.06470-1.02963-0.71437
Dalcha Lungiambula
Punahele Soriano		27.4%
72.6%
+230
-245
+210
-240
Loss
Win		-0.35538-0.37637-0.32076
Ricky Simon
Jack Shore		43.7%
56.3%
+150
-170
+155
-160
Win
Loss		-0.94549-0.94358-0.82741
Herbert Burns
Bill Algeo		45.6%
54.4%
+185
-220
+195
-210
Loss
Win		-0.41235-0.40573-0.60796
Da-Un Jung
Dustin Jacoby		46.0%
54.0%
-130
+125
-130
+115
Loss
Win		-0.82055-0.79536-0.61704
Dustin Stoltzfus
Dwight Grant		34.3%
65.7%
-135
+120
-130
+125
Win
Loss		-0.58291-0.58016-1.07037
Jessica Penne
Emily Ducote		45.6%
54.4%
+150
-170
+160
-160
Loss
Win		-0.49182-0.48552-0.60956
Rafael Dos Anjos
Rafael Fiziev		39.5%
60.5%
+184
-210
+195
-215
Loss
Win		-0.41857-0.40323-0.50226
Armen Petrosyan
Caio Borralho		37.8%
62.2%
+230
-250
+220
-230
Loss
Win		-0.35364-0.37044-0.47408
Douglas Silva de Andrade
Said Nurmagomedov		30.7%
69.3%
+365
-440
+400
-455
Loss
Win		-0.23422-0.21829-0.36657
Chase Sherman
Jared Vanderaa		45.8%
54.2%
+195
-225
+205
-228
Win
Loss		-1.11261-1.13787-0.78154
Aiemann Zahabi
Ricky Turcios		42.5%
57.5%
+210
-235
+225
-240
Win
Loss		-1.15518-1.19214-0.85602
Michael Johnson
Jamie Mullarkey		35.0%
65.0%
+200
-225
+205
-230
Loss
Win		-0.39304-0.38554-0.43094
Tresean Gore
Cody Brundage		59.3%
40.7%
-150
+140
-145
+140
Loss
Win		-0.89199-0.88394-0.89813
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.