UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 18, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 17, 2025
Fights for Dec 19, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Neil Magny
Shavkat Rakhmonov		17.7%
82.3%
+400
-450
+435
-500
Loss
Win		-0.21869-0.20237-0.19530
Josh Parisian
Alan Baudot		52.5%
47.5%
-130
+116
-130
+120
Win
Loss		-0.59833-0.59012-0.64440
Christos Giagos
Thiago Moises		22.2%
77.8%
+225
-242
+220
-240
Loss
Win		-0.36106-0.36652-0.25102
Nate Maness
Umar Nurmagomedov		11.4%
88.6%
+675
-900
+660
-850
Loss
Win		-0.13398-0.13721-0.12109
Rodolfo Vieira
Chris Curtis		45.0%
55.0%
-102
-108
+105
-110
Loss
Win		-0.67930-0.65817-0.59738
Tafon Nchukwi
Carlos Ulberg		46.3%
53.7%
-150
+130
-145
+140
Loss
Win		-0.86710-0.88394-0.62142
Nuerdanbieke Shayilan
TJ Brown		35.6%
64.4%
+185
-200
+180
-190
Win
Loss		-1.06470-1.04185-1.03142
Sergey Morozov
Raulian Paiva		72.0%
28.0%
-155
+145
-155
+145
Win
Loss		-0.51371-0.51371-0.32855
JP Buys
Cody Durden		47.5%
52.5%
-110
-103
-100
-110
Loss
Win		-0.70920-0.67015-0.64440
Brian Kelleher
Mario Bautista		48.6%
51.4%
+170
-185
+180
-190
Loss
Win		-0.45144-0.43510-0.66462
Vanessa Demopoulos
Jinh Yu Frey		38.5%
61.5%
+193
-225
+200
-215
Win
Loss		-1.10806-1.11438-0.95524
Josh Emmett
Calvin Kattar		34.6%
65.4%
+210
-240
+225
-250
Win
Loss		-1.15948-1.20041-1.06250
Tim Means
Kevin Holland		33.4%
66.6%
+300
-340
+300
-330
Loss
Win		-0.28030-0.28198-0.40645
Joaquin Buckley
Albert Duraev		35.4%
64.6%
+185
-220
+195
-210
Win
Loss		-1.08498-1.09808-1.03750
Guram Kutateladze
Damir Ismagulov		37.1%
62.9%
+185
-208
+195
-220
Loss
Win		-0.41843-0.40084-0.46292
Julian Marquez
Gregory Rodrigues		34.3%
65.7%
+147
-155
+135
-150
Loss
Win		-0.51046-0.53604-0.42006
Load More Fights

Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.