UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 18, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 17, 2025
Fights for Dec 19, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
JJ Aldrich
Erin Blanchfield		20.7%
79.3%
+350
-430
+400
-400
Loss
Win		-0.24208-0.22314-0.23193
Ketlen Vieira
Holly Holm		34.1%
65.9%
+210
-220
+205
-220
Win
Loss		-1.14144-1.13038-1.07664
Michel Pereira
Santiago Ponzinibbio		46.4%
53.6%
-130
+125
-135
+125
Win
Loss		-0.58016-0.57304-0.76710
Dusko Todorovic
Chidi Njokuani		44.1%
55.9%
+260
-300
+265
-315
Loss
Win		-0.31508-0.30818-0.58143
Polyana Viana
Tabatha Ricci		44.7%
55.3%
+110
-128
+115
-130
Loss
Win		-0.61423-0.60042-0.59162
Junyong Park
Eryk Anders		61.5%
38.5%
-185
+165
-180
+180
Win
Loss		-0.45828-0.44183-0.48643
Alen Amedovski
Joseph Holmes		38.1%
61.9%
+185
-190
+175
-190
Loss
Win		-0.42889-0.44150-0.48018
Parker Porter
Jailton Almeida		25.0%
75.0%
+450
-450
+425
-450
Loss
Win		-0.20067-0.20929-0.28734
Uros Medic
Omar Morales		36.0%
64.0%
+125
-140
+115
-120
Win
Loss		-0.83833-0.77596-1.02071
Vince Morales
Jonathan Martinez		36.2%
63.8%
+240
-250
+240
-275
Loss
Win		-0.34485-0.33724-0.44997
Felipe Colares
Chase Hooper		57.6%
42.4%
-172
+160
-175
+160
Loss
Win		-0.97233-0.97625-0.85717
Sam Hughes
Elise Reed		40.1%
59.9%
+125
-119
+125
-115
Win
Loss		-0.79869-0.79003-0.91472
Jan Blachowicz
Aleksandar Rakic		43.6%
56.4%
+175
-200
+190
-210
Win
Loss		-1.04146-1.08672-0.83055
Ion Cutelaba
Ryan Spann		59.2%
40.8%
-235
+215
-240
+215
Loss
Win		-1.16616-1.17047-0.89759
Louis Smolka
Davey Grant		37.4%
62.6%
+265
-275
+255
-280
Loss
Win		-0.31743-0.32375-0.46802
Amanda Ribas
Katlyn Chookagian		49.3%
50.7%
+165
-185
+165
-180
Loss
Win		-0.45828-0.46185-0.68019
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.