UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 20, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 19, 2025
Fights for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML
Final
Result
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
JJ Aldrich
Gillian Robertson
41.6%
58.4%
+115
-125
+100
-110
Win
Loss
-0.78592-0.71668-0.87666
Trevin Jones
Javid Basharat
26.9%
73.1%
+170
-185
+180
-165
Loss
Win
-0.45144-0.45336-0.31326
Kamuela Kirk
Damon Jackson
52.5%
47.5%
+110
-121
+115
-120
Loss
Win
-0.62581-0.61667-0.74440
Sabina Mazo
Miranda Maverick
36.9%
63.1%
+280
-340
+300
-330
Loss
Win
-0.29308-0.28198-0.46004
Cody Brundage
Dalcha Lungiambula
56.6%
43.4%
+127
-138
+130
-140
Win
Loss
-0.83993-0.85085-0.56966
Kris Moutinho
Guido Cannetti
56.4%
43.6%
-160
+140
-155
+145
Loss
Win
-0.90701-0.91198-0.82899
Azamat Murzakanov
Tafon Nchukwi
51.2%
48.8%
-180
+170
-190
+190
Win
Loss
-0.45497-0.42286-0.66845
Jorge Masvidal
Colby Covington
35.3%
64.7%
+269
-300
+280
-290
Loss
Win
-0.30847-0.30300-0.43522
Renato Moicano
Rafael Dos Anjos
43.0%
57.0%
+170
-178
+170
-180
Loss
Win
-0.45643-0.45497-0.56189
Edson Barboza
Bryce Mitchell
42.7%
57.3%
+153
-172
+160
-165
Loss
Win
-0.48555-0.48102-0.55764
Alex Oliveira
Kevin Holland
36.4%
63.6%
+485
-450
+400
-410
Loss
Win
-0.18973-0.22217-0.45268
Serghei Spivac
Greg Hardy
56.4%
43.6%
-167
+147
-167
+160
Win
Loss
-0.49913-0.47929-0.57318
Jalin Turner
Jamie Mullarkey
57.3%
42.7%
-157
+140
-150
+140
Win
Loss
-0.52002-0.52736-0.55764
Yan Xiaonan
Marina Rodriguez
38.1%
61.9%
+260
-300
+270
-290
Loss
Win
-0.31508-0.31004-0.48038
Nicolae Negumereanu
Kennedy Nzechukwu
43.5%
56.5%
+112
-130
+115
-125
Win
Loss
-0.78768-0.78592-0.83344
Maryna Moroz
Mariya Agapova
38.9%
61.1%
+160
-163
+155
-170
Win
Loss
-0.95988-0.95763-0.94443
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.