UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for January 24, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Paddy Pimblett
Justin Gaethje 		47.7%
52.3%


Amanda Nunes
Kayla Harrison 		38.4%
61.6%


Song Yadong
Sean O'Malley 		51.1%
48.9%


Derrick Lewis
Waldo Cortes-Acosta 		32.4%
67.6%


Jean Silva
Arnold Allen 		63.4%
36.6%


Rose Namajunas
Natalia Silva 		47.4%
52.6%


Deiveson Figueiredo
Umar Nurmagomedov 		17.4%
82.6%


Andrey Pulyaev
Ateba Gautier 		24.7%
75.3%


Alexander Hernandez
Michael Johnson 		64.9%
35.1%


Modestas Bukauskas
Nikita Krylov 		27.3%
72.7%


Charles Johnson
Alex Perez 		59.7%
40.3%


Denzel Freeman
Josh Hokit 		45.5%
54.5%


Cameron Smotherman
Ricky Turcios 		62.7%
37.3%


Fights for Jan 23, 2026
Fights for Jan 25, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Viacheslav Borshchev
Marc-Andre Barriault		54.7%
45.3%
-110
-110
+100
-108
Win
Loss		-0.69315-0.71219-0.60393
Julija Stoliarenko
Alexis Davis		34.6%
65.4%
+240
-260
+230
-260
Loss
Win		-0.34163-0.35037-0.42491
Danilo Marques
Joseph Holmes		31.0%
69.0%
+315
-370
+320
-380
Loss
Win		-0.26703-0.26295-0.37111
Jason Witt
Philip Rowe		41.4%
58.6%
+118
-127
+125
-130
Loss
Win		-0.59878-0.58016-0.53479
Malcolm Gordon
Victor Henry		29.3%
70.7%
+270
-300
+255
-280
Win
Loss		-1.32840-1.28529-1.22762
Ciryl Gane
Francis Ngannou		39.3%
60.7%
-140
+130
-145
+135
Loss
Win		-0.85085-0.87165-0.49900
Deiveson Figueiredo
Brandon Moreno		55.7%
44.3%
+161
-180
+175
-190
Win
Loss		-0.98502-1.03022-0.58589
Natan Levy
Michel Pereira		34.2%
65.8%
+250
-290
+250
-275
Loss
Win		-0.32515-0.32902-0.41817
Cody Stamann
Said Nurmagomedov		41.4%
58.6%
+165
-180
+165
-170
Loss
Win		-0.46185-0.46959-0.53471
Trevin Giles
CJ Vergara		44.4%
55.6%
-110
+104
+100
+105
Loss
Win		-0.72685-0.70558-0.58722
Victor Henry
Raoni Barcelos		21.4%
78.6%
+390
-460
+435
-440
Win
Loss		-1.61445-1.67879-1.54173
Jeremiah Wells
Azamat Murzakanov		31.0%
69.0%
+335
-400
+349
-370
Loss
Win		-0.25260-0.24914-0.37111
Ian Garry
Tony Gravely		34.2%
65.8%
+225
-250
+220
-240
Loss
Win		-0.35820-0.36652-0.41907
Matt Frevola
Alex Pereira		65.2%
34.8%
-200
+175
-190
+175
Win
Loss		-0.43532-0.44150-0.42748
Vanessa Demopoulos
Silvana Gomez Juarez		45.0%
55.0%
-148
+152
-140
+140
Win
Loss		-0.50981-0.53900-0.79813
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Kay Hansen		31.4%
68.6%
+159
-175
+155
-165
Win
Loss		-0.97387-0.95078-1.15741
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.