UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for January 24, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Paddy Pimblett
Justin Gaethje 		47.7%
52.3%
-210
+175

Amanda Nunes
Kayla Harrison 		38.4%
61.6%
+160
-185

Song Yadong
Sean O'Malley 		51.1%
48.9%


Derrick Lewis
Waldo Cortes-Acosta 		32.4%
67.6%
+235
-285

Jean Silva
Arnold Allen 		63.4%
36.6%
-230
+190

Rose Namajunas
Natalia Silva 		47.4%
52.6%


Deiveson Figueiredo
Umar Nurmagomedov 		17.4%
82.6%


Andrey Pulyaev
Ateba Gautier 		24.7%
75.3%


Alexander Hernandez
Michael Johnson 		64.9%
35.1%


Modestas Bukauskas
Nikita Krylov 		27.3%
72.7%


Charles Johnson
Alex Perez 		59.7%
40.3%


Denzel Freeman
Josh Hokit 		45.5%
54.5%


Cameron Smotherman
Ricky Turcios 		62.7%
37.3%


Fights for Jan 23, 2026
Fights for Jan 25, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Dustin Stoltzfus
Gerald Meerschaert		28.1%
71.9%
+225
-245
+200
-235
Loss
Win		-0.35997-0.38877-0.32984
Harry Hunsucker
Justin Tafa		16.6%
83.4%
+260
-305
+260
-280
Loss
Win		-0.31397-0.31990-0.18119
Sijara Eubanks
Melissa Gatto		43.0%
57.0%
-160
+142
-155
+145
Loss
Win		-0.91198-0.91198-0.56196
Andre Ewell
Charles Jourdain		30.8%
69.2%
+197
-230
+200
-220
Loss
Win		-0.39412-0.39531-0.36804
Macy Chiasson
Raquel Pennington		60.9%
39.1%
+118
-127
+120
-130
Loss
Win		-0.59878-0.59012-0.93782
Josh Parisian
Don'Tale Mayes		35.3%
64.7%
+156
-165
+160
-165
Loss
Win		-0.48696-0.48102-0.43555
Matt Sayles
Jordan Leavitt		46.5%
53.5%
+130
-145
+125
-140
Loss
Win		-0.55080-0.56639-0.62467
Charles Oliveira
Dustin Poirier		36.5%
63.5%
+122
-133
+125
-130
Win
Loss		-0.81855-0.82055-1.00734
Julianna Pena
Amanda Nunes		18.7%
81.3%
+700
-1010
+775
-900
Win
Loss		-2.11378-2.18320-1.67403
Geoff Neal
Santiago Ponzinibbio		59.0%
41.0%
+105
-120
+110
-125
Win
Loss		-0.75056-0.77319-0.52701
Kai Kara-France
Cody Garbrandt		43.1%
56.9%
+130
-141
+125
-135
Win
Loss		-0.85257-0.82968-0.84109
Raulian Paiva
Sean O'Malley		16.1%
83.9%
+270
-290
+280
-295
Loss
Win		-0.31004-0.30185-0.17556
Dan Ige
Josh Emmett		41.5%
58.5%
+115
-127
+115
-125
Loss
Win		-0.60506-0.60825-0.53587
Pedro Munhoz
Dominick Cruz		46.2%
53.8%
-110
-103
-105
-115
Loss
Win		-0.70920-0.67172-0.61953
Augusto Sakai
Tai Tuivasa		51.8%
48.2%
+115
-125
+115
-122
Loss
Win		-0.60825-0.61323-0.72933
Jordan Wright
Bruno Silva		32.0%
68.0%
+256
-290
+260
-310
Loss
Win		-0.32047-0.31290-0.38632
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.