UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 18, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 17, 2025
Fights for Dec 19, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Julio Arce
Song Yadong		36.1%
63.9%
+125
-131
+125
-138
Loss
Win		-0.57869-0.56900-0.44815
Joel Alvarez
Thiago Moises		41.0%
59.0%
+230
-270
+225
-250
Win
Loss		-1.22615-1.20041-0.89162
Andrea Lee
Cynthia Calvillo		46.8%
53.2%
+110
-101
+105
-115
Win
Loss		-0.72040-0.74028-0.75971
Collin Anglin
Sean Woodson		30.7%
69.3%
+305
-340
+330
-350
Loss
Win		-0.27727-0.26160-0.36706
Cortney Casey
Liana Jojua		61.4%
38.6%
-350
+290
-330
+320
Win
Loss		-0.28493-0.27022-0.48778
Rafael Alves
Marc Diakiese		36.3%
63.7%
+244
-245
+240
-260
Win
Loss		-1.23629-1.23998-1.01261
Kennedy Nzechukwu
Da-Un Jung		40.4%
59.6%
+106
-117
+110
-120
Loss
Win		-0.64204-0.62755-0.51780
Colby Covington
Kamaru Usman		37.6%
62.4%
+240
-285
+255
-280
Loss
Win		-0.33455-0.32375-0.47173
Zhang Weili
Rose Namajunas		54.3%
45.7%
-110
-110
-115
+105
Loss
Win		-0.69315-0.74028-0.78244
Frankie Edgar
Marlon Vera		45.2%
54.8%
+135
-146
+135
-145
Loss
Win		-0.54056-0.54173-0.60124
Billy Quarantillo
Shane Burgos		35.2%
64.8%
+160
-164
+155
-150
Loss
Win		-0.48190-0.50296-0.43388
Michael Chandler
Justin Gaethje		27.5%
72.5%
+180
-205
+190
-210
Loss
Win		-0.42615-0.41146-0.32225
Andreas Michailidis
Alex Pereira		36.2%
63.8%
+220
-250
+215
-230
Loss
Win		-0.36291-0.37533-0.44920
Al Iaquinta
Bobby Green		47.3%
52.7%
+170
-190
+170
-180
Loss
Win		-0.44809-0.45497-0.63985
Chris Curtis
Phillip Hawes		29.9%
70.1%
+285
-290
+255
-290
Win
Loss		-1.35139-1.29193-1.20587
Nassourdine Imavov
Edmen Shahbazyan		49.6%
50.4%
-110
+105
-120
+105
Win
Loss		-0.65817-0.63885-0.70209
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.