UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for June 6, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Ariane Carnelossi
Ketlen Souza
31.6%
68.4%
+285
-300
+265
-310
Yuneisy Duben
Jeisla Chaves
19.0%
81.0%
+290
-350
+310
-360
Joanderson Brito
Jordan Leavitt
67.3%
32.7%
-165
+155
-180
+160
Chelsea Chandler
Priscila Cachoeira
49.7%
50.3%
-122
+104
-120
+105
Edgar Chairez
Bruno Silva
50.5%
49.5%
+105
-115
+105
-125
John Yannis
Marcus McGhee
20.3%
79.7%
+370
-450
+375
-415
Alessandro Costa
Matt Schnell
84.7%
15.3%
-450
+390
-530
+425
Junior Tafa
Iwo Baraniewski
39.2%
60.8%
+350
-415
+340
-400
Santiago Luna
Bryce Mitchell
39.8%
60.2%
+117
-133
+125
-130
Tom Nolan
Fares Ziam
32.3%
67.7%
+255
-300
+250
-300
Edmen Shahbazyan
Brendan Allen
38.9%
61.1%
+170
-195
+165
-175
Gabriel Bonfim
Belal Muhammad
49.2%
50.8%
-108
-106
-105
-110
Fights for Jun 5, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML
Final
Result
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Ibo Aslan
Iwo Baraniewski
44.3%
55.7%
+180
-185
+190
-200
Loss
Win
-0.43838-0.41690-0.58564
Antonio Trocoli
Mansur Abdul-Malik
17.0%
83.0%
+850
-1200
+1050
-1300
Loss
Win
-0.10799-0.08952-0.18573
Muhammad Naimov
Mairon Santos
37.8%
62.2%
+200
-235
+210
-240
Loss
Win
-0.38877-0.37637-0.47408
Dan Hooker
Arman Tsarukyan
23.1%
76.9%
+625
-800
+600
-800
Loss
Win
-0.14425-0.14903-0.26329
Belal Muhammad
Ian Garry
38.0%
62.0%
+270
-290
+260
-300
Loss
Win
-0.31004-0.31508-0.47833
Alonzo Menifield
Volkan Oezdemir
35.9%
64.1%
+180
-205
+190
-210
Loss
Win
-0.42615-0.41146-0.44462
Jack Hermansson
Myktybek Orolbai
38.5%
61.5%
+173
-190
+175
-190
Loss
Win
-0.44410-0.44150-0.48552
Waldo Cortes-Acosta
Shamil Gaziev
55.2%
44.8%
-150
+150
-160
+160
Win
Loss
-0.51083-0.48552-0.59365
Kyoji Horiguchi
Tagir Ulanbekov
37.0%
63.0%
+195
-230
+200
-230
Win
Loss
-1.11712-1.12846-0.99539
Bogdan Grad
Luke Riley
32.2%
67.8%
+205
-230
+200
-225
Loss
Win
-0.38554-0.39304-0.38864
Nicolas Dalby
Saygid Izagakhmaev
28.7%
71.3%
+275
-335
+290
-330
Win
Loss
-1.35786-1.38454-1.24827
Alex Perez
Asu Almabayev
37.2%
62.8%
+190
-217
+180
-200
Loss
Win
-0.40795-0.42898-0.46486
Rafael Cerqueira
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev
7.4%
92.6%
+1075
-2000
+1150
-2000
Loss
Win
-0.08559-0.08066-0.07659
Bekzat Almakhan
Aleksandre Topuria
50.2%
49.8%
+120
-134
+125
-130
Loss
Win
-0.58431-0.58016-0.69816
Ismail Naurdiev
Ryan Loder
56.2%
43.8%
-128
+115
-125
+115
Win
Loss
-0.60349-0.60825-0.57593
Shem Rock
Nurullo Aliev
32.1%
67.9%
+255
-285
+280
-280
Loss
Win
-0.32247-0.30538-0.38719
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks128-4 (0.667)0-0.50597 
Sportsbooks128-4 (0.667)0-0.50672 
DRatings129-3 (0.750)0-0.53742
-0.03146
-0.03070

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.