UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for June 1, 2024

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Dustin Poirier
Islam Makhachev 		22.8%
77.2%
+375
-450
+400
-500
Paulo Costa
Sean Strickland 		43.8%
56.2%
+176
-190
+180
-210
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Randy Brown 		49.2%
50.8%
+130
-138
+140
-145
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
Roman Kopylov
Cesar Almeida 		60.6%
39.4%
-126
+115
-130
+120
Alex Morono
Niko Price 		60.1%
39.9%
-250
+215
-250
+200
Alexandr Romanov
Jailton Almeida 		29.9%
70.1%
+245
-280
+240
-300
Bassil Hafez
Mickey Gall 		69.3%
30.7%
-251
+225
-280
+230
Jake Matthews
Philip Rowe 		56.5%
43.5%
-150
+135
-145
+140
Joe Solecki
Grant Dawson 		26.4%
73.6%
+250
-300
+260
-330
Joselyne Edwards
Ailin Perez 		36.2%
63.8%
+220
-260
+210
-260
Michal Oleksiejczuk
Kevin Holland 		37.0%
63.0%
+190
-240

Fights for May 31, 2024
Fights for Jun 29, 2024

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Damon Jackson
Alexander Hernandez		43.2%
56.8%
+160
-170
+165
-170
Win
Loss		-0.96964-0.98152-0.83836
Chepe Mariscal
Morgan Charriere		48.9%
51.1%
+125
-143
+130
-135
Win
Loss		-0.84332-0.84211-0.71502
Christos Giagos
Ignacio Bahamondes		19.7%
80.3%
+275
-300
+265
-290
Loss
Win		-0.30422-0.31367-0.21924
Charlie Campbell
Trevor Peek		60.1%
39.9%
-160
+140
-155
+150
Win
Loss		-0.51706-0.50566-0.50981
Alex Morono
Court McGee		67.6%
32.4%
-335
+295
-340
+280
Win
Loss		-0.28422-0.29308-0.39196
Lukasz Brzeski
Valter Walker		21.1%
78.9%
+220
-240
+220
-230
Win
Loss		-1.18136-1.17257-1.55675
Germaine de Randamie
Norma Dumont		46.9%
53.1%
+100
-105
+100
-105
Loss
Win		-0.68116-0.68116-0.63354
Victor Hugo
Pedro Falcao		53.2%
46.8%
-150
+130
-140
+130
Win
Loss		-0.54502-0.55696-0.63072
Jean Matsumoto
Dan Argueta		58.6%
41.4%
-152
+135
-160
+145
Win
Loss		-0.53386-0.50878-0.53503
Dylan Budka
Cesar Almeida		51.4%
48.6%
-160
+145
-150
+145
Loss
Win		-0.91937-0.90421-0.72155
Mellisa Dixon
Nora Cornolle		67.7%
32.3%
-400
+330
-350
+320
Loss
Win		-1.49063-1.45081-1.13144
Manon Fiorot
Erin Blanchfield		47.5%
52.5%
+170
-190
+190
-200
Win
Loss		-1.01846-1.07614-0.74440
Joaquin Buckley
Vicente Luque		51.7%
48.3%
+120
-125
+120
-125
Win
Loss		-0.79851-0.79851-0.66022
Bruno Silva
Chris Weidman		64.7%
35.3%
-160
+148
-180
+160
Loss
Win		-0.92669-0.98262-1.04202
Sedriques Dumas
Nursulton Ruziboev		40.7%
59.3%
+220
-250
+210
-220
Loss
Win		-0.36291-0.38472-0.52222
Kyle Nelson
Bill Algeo		26.1%
73.9%
+252
-290
+240
-260
Win
Loss		-1.28576-1.23998-1.34266
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.58634 
Sportsbooks129-3 (0.750)0-0.58382 
DRatings128-4 (0.667)0-0.61611
-0.02978
-0.03229

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.