UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 16, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 15, 2025
Fights for Dec 17, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML
Final
Result
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Daniel Marcos
Miles Johns
63.2%
36.8%
-175
+160
-170
+160
Win
Loss
-0.47276-0.47678-0.45917
Jackson McVey
Zach Reese
23.7%
76.3%
+215
-240
+220
-245
Loss
Win
-0.37138-0.36468-0.27079
David Onama
Steve Garcia
48.1%
51.9%
+115
-130
+115
-130
Loss
Win
-0.60042-0.60042-0.65587
Ante Delija
Waldo Cortes-Acosta
44.9%
55.1%
-120
+103
-120
+120
Loss
Win
-0.74539-0.78845-0.59535
Themba Gorimbo
Jeremiah Wells
57.5%
42.5%
-155
+135
-145
+140
Loss
Win
-0.88724-0.88394-0.85665
Yadier Del Valle
Isaac Dulgarian
33.0%
67.0%
+127
-135
+120
-130
Win
Loss
-0.83466-0.80802-1.10988
Daniel Frunza
Charlie Radtke
43.0%
57.0%
+155
-175
+160
-170
Loss
Win
-0.48012-0.47678-0.56205
Cody Durden
Allan Nascimento
42.6%
57.4%
+260
-310
+265
-320
Loss
Win
-0.31290-0.30718-0.55436
Kevin Christian
Billy Elekana
29.9%
70.1%
+225
-250
+220
-260
Loss
Win
-0.35820-0.35955-0.35556
ChangHo Lee
Timothy Cuamba
55.0%
45.0%
-110
-105
-105
-105
Loss
Win
-0.70441-0.69315-0.79924
Donte Johnson
Sedriques Dumas
70.4%
29.6%
-340
+290
-350
+300
Win
Loss
-0.28655-0.27871-0.35081
Norma Dumont
Ketlen Vieira
49.8%
50.2%
-160
+145
-160
+145
Win
Loss
-0.50878-0.50878-0.69816
Montserrat Conejo
Alice Ardelean
15.9%
84.1%
+295
-350
+300
-350
Loss
Win
-0.28178-0.27871-0.17312
Seok Hyeon Ko
Philip Rowe
59.1%
40.9%
-183
+165
-170
+160
Win
Loss
-0.45969-0.47678-0.52516
Ariane Carnelossi
Talita Alencar
25.4%
74.6%
+173
-200
+175
-200
Loss
Win
-0.43790-0.43532-0.29237
Mackenzie Dern
Virna Jandiroba
46.0%
54.0%
-145
+127
-140
+125
Win
Loss
-0.55638-0.56639-0.77633
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.50201 
Sportsbooks1210-1 (0.833)0-0.49403 
DRatings129-2 (0.750)0-0.52836
-0.02635
-0.03433

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.