UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 13, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Manel Kape
Brandon Royval 		66.2%
33.8%
-290
+250
-290
+250
Giga Chikadze
Kevin Vallejos 		39.1%
60.9%
+250
-290
+260
-300
Cesar Almeida
Cezary Oleksiejczuk 		40.3%
59.7%
+178
-205
+190
-200
Morgan Charriere
Melquizael Costa 		59.6%
40.4%
-105
-108
-110
-110
Marcus Buchecha
Kennedy Nzechukwu 		43.4%
56.6%
+106
-126
+115
-130
Amanda Lemos
Gillian Robertson 		42.3%
57.7%
+170
-185
+170
-185
Melsik Baghdasaryan
Joanderson Brito 		25.1%
74.9%
+235
-260
+240
-300
Neil Magny
Yaroslav Amosov 		21.6%
78.4%
+300
-400
+360
-420
Sean Sharaf
Steven Asplund 		25.4%
74.6%
+180
-205
+190
-200
Melissa Croden
Luana Santos 		36.9%
63.1%
+107
-125
+110
-130
Guilherme Pat
Allen Frye 		57.0%
43.0%
-177
+160
-160
+145
Jamey-Lyn Horth
Tereza Bleda 		49.5%
50.5%
+130
-150
+125
-140
Overall Bet Value Active
Fights for Dec 12, 2025
Fights for Dec 14, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Montserrat Conejo
Alice Ardelean		15.9%
84.1%
+295
-350
+300
-350
Loss
Win		-0.28178-0.27871-0.17312
Seok Hyeon Ko
Philip Rowe		59.1%
40.9%
-183
+165
-170
+160
Win
Loss		-0.45969-0.47678-0.52516
Ariane Carnelossi
Talita Alencar		25.4%
74.6%
+173
-200
+175
-200
Loss
Win		-0.43790-0.43532-0.29237
Mackenzie Dern
Virna Jandiroba		46.0%
54.0%
-145
+127
-140
+125
Win
Loss		-0.55638-0.56639-0.77633
Mario Bautista
Umar Nurmagomedov		18.8%
81.2%
+500
-650
+525
-600
Loss
Win		-0.17589-0.17114-0.20883
Alexander Volkov
Jailton Almeida		38.3%
61.7%
+167
-182
+175
-185
Win
Loss		-1.00179-1.02427-0.95909
Azamat Murzakanov
Aleksandar Rakic		42.2%
57.8%
+105
-119
+100
-115
Win
Loss		-0.74855-0.72743-0.86242
Quillan Salkilld
Nasrat Haqparast		44.2%
55.8%
-125
+110
-125
+115
Win
Loss		-0.61904-0.60825-0.81559
Junyong Park
Ikram Aliskerov		33.3%
66.7%
+190
-205
+180
-205
Loss
Win		-0.41412-0.42615-0.40552
Ludovit Klein
Mateusz Rebecki		56.5%
43.5%
-155
+135
-150
+140
Win
Loss		-0.53067-0.52736-0.57070
Valter Walker
Louie Southerland		75.0%
25.0%
-400
+330
-420
+355
Win
Loss		-0.25519-0.24067-0.28734
Jose Delgado
Nathaniel Wood		55.2%
44.8%
-147
+130
-150
+135
Loss
Win		-0.86239-0.87962-0.80365
Chris Barnett
Hamdy Abdelwahab		23.9%
76.1%
+375
-430
+400
-405
Loss
Win		-0.23071-0.22264-0.27363
Mitch Raposo
Azat Maksum		24.8%
75.2%
+405
-490
+425
-470
Win
Loss		-1.64750-1.67312-1.39562
Inoue Mizuki
Jaqualine Amorim		30.0%
70.0%
+370
-450
+375
-400
Win
Loss		-1.57804-1.56858-1.20517
Brendan Allen
Reinier de Ridder		38.2%
61.8%
+198
-225
+200
-220
Win
Loss		-1.11942-1.11923-0.96168
Load More Fights

Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks149-4 (0.643)0-0.63132 
Sportsbooks149-4 (0.643)0-0.63348 
DRatings149-4 (0.643)0-0.66198
-0.03066
-0.02850

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.