UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 13, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Manel Kape
Brandon Royval 		66.2%
33.8%
-290
+250
-290
+250
Giga Chikadze
Kevin Vallejos 		39.1%
60.9%
+250
-290
+260
-300
Cesar Almeida
Cezary Oleksiejczuk 		40.3%
59.7%
+178
-205
+190
-200
Morgan Charriere
Melquizael Costa 		59.6%
40.4%
-105
-110
-110
-110
Marcus Buchecha
Kennedy Nzechukwu 		43.4%
56.6%
+106
-126
+115
-130
Amanda Lemos
Gillian Robertson 		42.3%
57.7%
+170
-185
+170
-185
Melsik Baghdasaryan
Joanderson Brito 		25.1%
74.9%
+235
-260
+240
-300
Neil Magny
Yaroslav Amosov 		21.6%
78.4%
+300
-400
+360
-420
Sean Sharaf
Steven Asplund 		25.4%
74.6%
+180
-205
+190
-200
Melissa Croden
Luana Santos 		36.9%
63.1%
+107
-125
+110
-130
Guilherme Pat
Allen Frye 		57.0%
43.0%
-177
+160
-160
+145
Jamey-Lyn Horth
Tereza Bleda 		49.5%
50.5%
+130
-150
+125
-140
Overall Bet Value Active
Fights for Dec 12, 2025
Fights for Dec 14, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Kaan Ofli
Ricardo Ramos		34.0%
66.0%
+210
-210
+225
-230
Win
Loss		-1.13140-1.18332-1.07860
Michael Aswell
Lucas Almeida		55.5%
44.5%
-240
+230
-265
+260
Win
Loss		-0.35718-0.32397-0.58918
Clayton Carpenter
Jafel Filho		50.3%
49.7%
+105
-120
+105
-115
Loss
Win		-0.63885-0.64814-0.69967
Thomas Petersen
Vitor Petrino		28.9%
71.1%
+255
-305
+250
-300
Loss
Win		-0.31776-0.32277-0.34145
Irina Alekseeva
Beatriz Mesquita		25.5%
74.5%
+500
-600
+475
-550
Loss
Win		-0.17768-0.18692-0.29389
Stewart Nicoll
Lucas Rocha		56.5%
43.5%
-120
+111
-115
+100
Loss
Win		-0.76589-0.72743-0.83271
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Julia Polastri		34.5%
65.5%
+450
-575
+450
-510
Loss
Win		-0.19346-0.19677-0.42350
Saimon Oliveira
Luan Lacerda		34.8%
65.2%
+300
-370
+310
-360
Loss
Win		-0.27579-0.27128-0.42765
Alex Pereira
Magomed Ankalaev		38.7%
61.3%
+220
-250
+250
-245
Win
Loss		-1.18958-1.24862-0.94936
Cory Sandhagen
Merab Dvalishvili		28.9%
71.1%
+321
-375
+360
-400
Loss
Win		-0.26304-0.24038-0.34115
Jiri Prochazka
Khalil Rountree Jr.		59.9%
40.1%
-180
+163
-185
+185
Win
Loss		-0.46466-0.43214-0.51301
Josh Emmett
Youssef Zalal		22.1%
77.9%
+370
-435
+360
-420
Loss
Win		-0.23245-0.23835-0.24971
Joe Pyfer
Abus Magomedov		71.9%
28.1%
-205
+181
-210
+195
Win
Loss		-0.42492-0.40573-0.33031
Tre'ston Vines
Ateba Gautier		12.8%
87.2%
+1100
-1400
+1000
-1550
Loss
Win		-0.08551-0.09238-0.13745
Joo Sang Yoo
Daniel Santos		51.0%
49.0%
+115
-130
+125
-130
Loss
Win		-0.60042-0.58016-0.71335
Jakub Wiklacz
Patchy Mix		31.6%
68.4%
+265
-305
+270
-310
Win
Loss		-1.32144-1.33435-1.15050
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks149-4 (0.643)0-0.63132 
Sportsbooks149-4 (0.643)0-0.63348 
DRatings149-4 (0.643)0-0.66198
-0.03066
-0.02850

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.