UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for June 6, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Ariane Carnelossi
Ketlen Souza
31.6%
68.4%
+250
-300
+265
-310
Yuneisy Duben
Jeisla Chaves
19.0%
81.0%
+290
-350
+310
-360
Joanderson Brito
Jordan Leavitt
67.3%
32.7%
-171
+160
-180
+160
Chelsea Chandler
Priscila Cachoeira
49.7%
50.3%
-122
+104
-120
+105
Edgar Chairez
Bruno Silva
50.5%
49.5%
+110
-117
+105
-125
John Yannis
Marcus McGhee
20.3%
79.7%
+370
-450
+375
-415
Alessandro Costa
Matt Schnell
84.7%
15.3%
-600
+475
-550
+455
Junior Tafa
Iwo Baraniewski
39.2%
60.8%
+300
-370
+350
-400
Overall Bet Value Active
Santiago Luna
Bryce Mitchell
39.8%
60.2%
+112
-129
+125
-130
Tom Nolan
Fares Ziam
32.3%
67.7%
+255
-300
+250
-300
Edmen Shahbazyan
Brendan Allen
38.9%
61.1%
+163
-176
+165
-185
Gabriel Bonfim
Belal Muhammad
49.2%
50.8%
-105
-107
-105
-115
Fights for Jun 5, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML
Final
Result
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Mayra Bueno Silva
Holly Holm
39.9%
60.1%
+155
-160
+158
-160
Win
Loss
-0.94358-0.95075-0.91794
Bassil Hafez
Jack Della Maddalena
15.9%
84.1%
+465
-590
+475
-550
Loss
Win
-0.18813-0.18692-0.17312
Ottman Azaitar
Francisco Prado
47.6%
52.4%
-103
+100
+100
-110
Loss
Win
-0.70051-0.67015-0.64630
Junyong Park
Albert Duraev
55.5%
44.5%
-135
+127
-145
+130
Win
Loss
-0.56920-0.55080-0.58918
Chelsea Chandler
Norma Dumont
43.9%
56.1%
+130
-150
+138
-140
Loss
Win
-0.54502-0.54249-0.57798
Nazim Sadykhov
Terrance McKinney
55.3%
44.7%
-145
+153
-150
+150
Win
Loss
-0.51154-0.51083-0.59222
Tucker Lutz
Melsik Baghdasaryan
42.1%
57.9%
+141
-145
+135
-150
Loss
Win
-0.53128-0.53604-0.54590
Istela Nunes
Viktoriya Dudakova
28.0%
72.0%
+170
-186
+175
-185
Loss
Win
-0.45075-0.44482-0.32920
Austin Lingo
Melquizael Costa
37.5%
62.5%
+195
-225
+195
-215
Loss
Win
-0.39854-0.40323-0.46938
Genaro Valdez
Evan Elder
35.8%
64.2%
+250
-290
+250
-270
Loss
Win
-0.32515-0.33041-0.44290
Tyson Nam
Azat Maksum
21.8%
78.2%
+315
-400
+330
-360
Loss
Win
-0.26329-0.26017-0.24632
Carl Deaton
Alex Munoz
33.2%
66.8%
+200
-233
+200
-210
Loss
Win
-0.38960-0.40015-0.40318
Ashlee Evans-Smith
Ailin Perez
42.1%
57.9%
+240
-264
+235
-260
Loss
Win
-0.34042-0.34595-0.54678
Yair Rodriguez
Alexander Volkanovski
28.1%
71.9%
+300
-350
+290
-335
Loss
Win
-0.27871-0.28740-0.32975
Alexandre Pantoja
Brandon Moreno
38.5%
61.5%
+184
-195
+180
-190
Win
Loss
-1.05685-1.04185-0.95441
Dricus Du Plessis
Robert Whittaker
27.3%
72.7%
+290
-340
+295
-320
Win
Loss
-1.38970-1.38870-1.29664
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks128-4 (0.667)0-0.50597 
Sportsbooks128-4 (0.667)0-0.50672 
DRatings129-3 (0.750)0-0.53742
-0.03146
-0.03070

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.