UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for December 21, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Dec 20, 2025
Fights for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Jan Blachowicz
Magomed Ankalaev		37.4%
62.6%
+290
-335
+300
-345
Draw
Draw		-0.83727-0.84537-0.72613
Paddy Pimblett
Jared Gordon		64.4%
35.6%
-240
+220
-230
+220
Win
Loss		-0.36652-0.37044-0.43979
Alex Morono
Santiago Ponzinibbio		42.5%
57.5%
+135
-135
+143
-130
Loss
Win		-0.55431-0.54701-0.55398
Darren Till
Dricus Du Plessis		37.7%
62.3%
+170
-190
+185
-190
Loss
Win		-0.44809-0.42889-0.47279
Bryce Mitchell
Ilia Topuria		31.2%
68.8%
+145
-155
+155
-155
Loss
Win		-0.51371-0.49784-0.37378
Jay Perrin
Raul Rosas Jr.		28.4%
71.6%
+240
-250
+245
-278
Loss
Win		-0.34485-0.33226-0.33427
Chris Daukaus
Jairzinho Rozenstruik		40.8%
59.2%
+155
-175
+155
-170
Loss
Win		-0.48012-0.48418-0.52349
Dalcha Lungiambula
Edmen Shahbazyan		22.6%
77.4%
+260
-310
+280
-320
Loss
Win		-0.31290-0.29670-0.25593
Joaquin Buckley
Chris Curtis		51.6%
48.4%
-165
+150
-165
+150
Loss
Win		-0.93869-0.93869-0.72668
Alexander Hernandez
Billy Quarantillo		45.9%
54.1%
+161
-165
+165
-170
Loss
Win		-0.47955-0.46959-0.61496
TJ Brown
Erik Silva		49.0%
51.0%
-105
+100
-110
+100
Win
Loss		-0.68116-0.67015-0.71406
Steven Koslow
Cameron Saaiman		41.5%
58.5%
+242
-278
+265
-295
Loss
Win		-0.33475-0.31249-0.53587
Kevin Holland
Stephen Thompson		45.3%
54.7%
-190
+170
-180
+170
Loss
Win		-1.01846-1.00641-0.60314
Bryan Barberena
Rafael Dos Anjos		32.6%
67.4%
+381
-410
+375
-425
Loss
Win		-0.23000-0.23116-0.39381
Matt Schnell
Matheus Nicolau		35.6%
64.4%
+325
-400
+330
-380
Loss
Win		-0.25783-0.25755-0.44009
Tai Tuivasa
Sergei Pavlovich		43.7%
56.3%
+160
-175
+175
-175
Loss
Win		-0.47276-0.45199-0.57389
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.