Australian Football League Ratings

Updated
RankOverallChangeSOS
(Rank)
Standard
(Rank)
Inference
(Rank)
1. Geelong Cats (21-4)1.1673--0.0728 (15)1.1572 (1)1.1774 (1)
2. Melbourne Demons (16-7)0.6868+10.0749 (7)0.6834 (2)0.6902 (2)
3. Sydney Swans (18-7)0.6747-1-0.0114 (12)0.6705 (3)0.6789 (3)
4. Fremantle Dockers (16-7-1)0.5354--0.0404 (14)0.5321 (4)0.5386 (4)
5. Collingwood Magpies (16-8)0.5126-0.0316 (10)0.5115 (5)0.5137 (5)
6. Brisbane Lions (17-8)0.5094-0.0400 (9)0.5060 (6)0.5129 (6)
7. Western Bulldogs (12-11)0.2252-0.0806 (6)0.2246 (7)0.2259 (7)
8. Richmond Tigers (13-9-1)0.1192--0.0794 (17)0.1199 (8)0.1186 (8)
9. St Kilda Saints (11-11)0.1010-0.1070 (3)0.0980 (9)0.1041 (9)
10. Carlton Blues (12-10)0.0468-0.0023 (11)0.0449 (10)0.0487 (10)
11. Port Adelaide Power (10-12)0.0151-0.0468 (8)0.0185 (11)0.0117 (11)
12. Gold Coast Suns (10-12)-0.2246--0.0825 (18)-0.2249 (12)-0.2243 (12)
13. Hawthorn Hawks (8-14)-0.3721--0.0338 (13)-0.3682 (13)-0.3760 (13)
14. Essendon Bombers (7-15)-0.4140-0.0994 (4)-0.4134 (14)-0.4147 (14)
15. Adelaide Crows (8-14)-0.4568--0.0754 (16)-0.4565 (15)-0.4570 (15)
16. Greater Western Sydney (6-16)-0.5534-0.1130 (1)-0.5481 (16)-0.5588 (16)
17. North Melbourne Kangaroos (2-20)-1.2774-0.0912 (5)-1.2654 (17)-1.2893 (17)
18. West Coast Eagles (2-20)-1.3542-0.1107 (2)-1.3480 (18)-1.3604 (18)

Ratings Over Time

Ratings Methodology

This table represents the current Australian Football League computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these Australian Football League ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page.

  • Overall Rating: This ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating, the Inference Rating and Vegas Rating. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.
  • Standard Rating: Looks at game outcome and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.
  • Inference Rating: Heavily weights the outcomes of opponents’ games. This system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.
  • Vegas Rating: This is our newest rating that only takes into account the Vegas line on each game.

Please see our AFL predictions page to see our projections for each game and outright season predictions.