| Rank | Overall | Change | SOS (Rank) | Standard (Rank) | Inference (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Collingwood Magpies (21-5) | 0.9900 | - | 0.0328 (8) | 0.9667 (1) | 1.0134 (1) |
| 2. Brisbane Lions (19-7) | 0.6948 | - | 0.0805 (1) | 0.6818 (2) | 0.7078 (2) |
| 3. Carlton Blues (15-10-1) | 0.4704 | +1 | 0.0631 (5) | 0.4619 (3) | 0.4790 (3) |
| 4. Port Adelaide Power (17-8) | 0.4662 | -1 | 0.0337 (7) | 0.4558 (4) | 0.4767 (4) |
| 5. Melbourne Demons (16-9) | 0.4516 | - | 0.0687 (4) | 0.4377 (5) | 0.4655 (5) |
| 6. Greater Western Sydney (15-11) | 0.3349 | - | 0.0714 (2) | 0.3300 (6) | 0.3398 (6) |
| 7. Sydney Swans (12-11-1) | 0.1202 | - | 0.0267 (9) | 0.1186 (7) | 0.1218 (7) |
| 8. St Kilda Saints (13-11) | 0.0200 | - | -0.0216 (16) | 0.0202 (8) | 0.0199 (8) |
| 9. Adelaide Crows (11-12) | -0.0010 | - | 0.0168 (11) | -0.0044 (9) | 0.0025 (9) |
| 10. Western Bulldogs (12-11) | -0.0261 | +1 | 0.0166 (12) | -0.0303 (11) | -0.0219 (10) |
| 11. Geelong Cats (10-12-1) | -0.0263 | -1 | 0.0468 (6) | -0.0285 (10) | -0.0241 (11) |
| 12. Essendon Bombers (11-12) | -0.1198 | - | 0.0688 (3) | -0.1167 (12) | -0.1229 (12) |
| 13. Richmond Tigers (10-12-1) | -0.1326 | - | -0.0002 (15) | -0.1310 (13) | -0.1343 (13) |
| 14. Fremantle Dockers (10-13) | -0.1569 | - | 0.0219 (10) | -0.1538 (14) | -0.1600 (14) |
| 15. Gold Coast Suns (9-14) | -0.3082 | - | -0.0274 (17) | -0.2999 (15) | -0.3164 (15) |
| 16. Hawthorn Hawks (7-16) | -0.3834 | - | -0.0761 (18) | -0.3757 (16) | -0.3911 (16) |
| 17. West Coast Eagles (3-20) | -1.1591 | - | 0.0153 (14) | -1.1261 (17) | -1.1921 (17) |
| 18. North Melbourne Kangaroos (3-20) | -1.2908 | - | 0.0162 (13) | -1.2574 (18) | -1.3241 (18) |
Ratings Over Time
Ratings Methodology
This table represents the current Australian Football League computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these Australian Football League ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page.
- Overall Rating: This ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating, the Inference Rating and Vegas Rating. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.
- Standard Rating: Looks at game outcome and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.
- Inference Rating: Heavily weights the outcomes of opponents’ games. This system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.
- Vegas Rating: This is our newest rating that only takes into account the Vegas line on each game.
Please see our AFL predictions page to see our projections for each game and outright season predictions.
Related Blog Posts
The Distribution of Totals for Betting Basketball
This post delves into the nuances of totals betting in basketball.
MLB Strikeout Distribution Analysis
Modeling the distribution of strikeouts for pitchers
Partnership with GamedayMath
A little about our partnership with GamedayMath.
2023 Preseason CFB Conference Predictions
Our preseason 2023 conference projections for every FBS team.
2023 CFB Conference Realignment
Conference realignment changes in 2023.