| Rank | Overall | Change | SOS (Rank) | Standard (Rank) | Inference (Rank) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Melbourne Demons (20-4-1) | 1.0820 | - | -0.0067 (14) | 1.0806 (1) | 1.0835 (1) |
| 2. Port Adelaide Power (18-6) | 0.8141 | - | -0.0437 (17) | 0.8065 (2) | 0.8217 (2) |
| 3. Geelong Cats (17-8) | 0.5569 | +1 | 0.0698 (5) | 0.5514 (3) | 0.5624 (3) |
| 4. Western Bulldogs (18-8) | 0.5174 | -1 | 0.0522 (8) | 0.5143 (4) | 0.5205 (4) |
| 5. Brisbane Lions (15-9) | 0.3811 | - | 0.0187 (12) | 0.3793 (5) | 0.3829 (5) |
| 6. Sydney Swans (15-8) | 0.3288 | - | -0.0456 (18) | 0.3294 (6) | 0.3281 (6) |
| 7. Greater Western Sydney (12-11-1) | 0.1654 | - | 0.0614 (6) | 0.1604 (7) | 0.1705 (7) |
| 8. St Kilda Saints (10-12) | -0.0446 | - | 0.0846 (4) | -0.0448 (8) | -0.0444 (8) |
| 9. Essendon Bombers (11-12) | -0.0592 | - | -0.0314 (15) | -0.0588 (9) | -0.0596 (9) |
| 10. Fremantle Dockers (10-12) | -0.1263 | +1 | 0.0038 (13) | -0.1254 (10) | -0.1272 (10) |
| 11. Richmond Tigers (9-12-1) | -0.1368 | -1 | 0.1319 (1) | -0.1373 (11) | -0.1363 (11) |
| 12. West Coast Eagles (10-12) | -0.2122 | - | -0.0377 (16) | -0.2097 (12) | -0.2148 (12) |
| 13. Hawthorn Hawks (7-13-2) | -0.3100 | - | 0.0499 (9) | -0.3083 (13) | -0.3117 (13) |
| 14. Carlton Blues (8-14) | -0.3974 | - | 0.0248 (11) | -0.3983 (14) | -0.3965 (14) |
| 15. Adelaide Crows (7-15) | -0.4230 | - | 0.0585 (7) | -0.4156 (15) | -0.4303 (15) |
| 16. Gold Coast Suns (7-15) | -0.5331 | - | 0.0438 (10) | -0.5308 (16) | -0.5354 (16) |
| 17. Collingwood Magpies (6-16) | -0.6090 | - | 0.0968 (3) | -0.6085 (17) | -0.6094 (17) |
| 18. North Melbourne Kangaroos (4-17-1) | -0.9740 | - | 0.0975 (2) | -0.9639 (18) | -0.9840 (18) |
Ratings Over Time
Ratings Methodology
This table represents the current Australian Football League computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these Australian Football League ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page.
- Overall Rating: This ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating, the Inference Rating and Vegas Rating. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.
- Standard Rating: Looks at game outcome and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.
- Inference Rating: Heavily weights the outcomes of opponents’ games. This system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.
- Vegas Rating: This is our newest rating that only takes into account the Vegas line on each game.
Please see our AFL predictions page to see our projections for each game and outright season predictions.
Related Blog Posts
Conference Rankings in College Football
Ranking all of the conferences in Division 1 college football from best to worst.
How To Calculate the Vigorish
How to calculate the vigorish or theoretical hold with some quick math tricks.
What Is the Most Competitive Sports League?
Figuring out which sports league is the most competitive with data analysis.
Absolute Risk vs. Relative Risk
We explain the difference between the two risk calculations as it pertains to their real world use.
Getting an Edge with No-Vig Lines
What are no-vig lines and how can I use them to gain an edge?