Australian Football League Ratings


Below are listed the current Australian Football League computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. The AFL ratings will be updated roughly about every two weeks during the season.
More information on how these AFL computer rankings can be found on the Methodology page.

DII Rating– This is a Aussie Rules football rankings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating and the Aegis Rating. The Inference Rating is weighted more highly in the beginning of the season whereas the Standard Rating is weighted more highly at the end of the season. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.

Standard Rating– Looks at game outcome, date and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.

Aegis Rating– Replacing the Inference Rating, this uses mostly the same the same criteria as the Standard Rating, but heavily weighs the margin of victory of the game. Data from previous seasons weighs into this algorithm (especially, early in the season). This is system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.

To see our predictions on every AFL game this season, see: AFL Predictions.

Australian Football League Computer Rankings

Updated through all the games played on or before 10/1/2017.
Previous update: 8/28/2017

Rank Team W-L-T Rating Chg SOS (Rank) Standard (Rank) Aegis (Rank)
1
Richmond Tigers
18-7-0
0.9471
4
-0.02 (13)
0.742 (1)
0.683 (2)
2
Adelaide Crows
17-7-1
0.9389
0
0.104 (2)
0.704 (2)
0.782 (1)
3
Geelong Cats
16-8-1
0.7438
-2
0.104 (3)
0.584 (3)
0.531 (3)
4
Sydney Swans
15-9-0
0.6859
-1
-0.00 (11)
0.541 (4)
0.480 (4)
5
Greater Western Sydney
15-8-2
0.5355
-1
0.166 (1)
0.402 (5)
0.443 (5)
6
Port Adelaide Power
14-9-0
0.3461
0
-0.05 (18)
0.258 (6)
0.292 (6)
7
West Coast Eagles
13-11-0
0.0941
1
0.040 (9)
0.071 (7)
0.076 (8)
8
Melbourne Demons
12-10-0
0.0789
1
-0.04 (15)
0.040 (9)
0.128 (7)
9
Essendon Bombers
12-11-0
0.0564
-2
-0.04 (16)
0.035 (11)
0.068 (9)
10
St Kilda Saints
11-11-0
0.0555
0
0.039 (10)
0.036 (10)
0.064 (10)
11
Hawthorn Hawks
10-11-1
0.0141
0
0.055 (7)
0.047 (8)
-0.10 (12)
12
Western Bulldogs
11-11-0
-0.067
0
-0.02 (12)
-0.06 (12)
-0.02 (11)
13
Collingwood Magpies
9-12-1
-0.131
0
0.064 (6)
-0.09 (13)
-0.12 (13)
14
Fremantle Dockers
8-14-0
-0.658
0
0.073 (4)
-0.49 (14)
-0.53 (14)
15
Carlton Blues
6-16-0
-0.789
0
0.068 (5)
-0.59 (15)
-0.66 (16)
16
North Melbourne Kangaroos
6-16-0
-0.870
0
-0.03 (14)
-0.69 (16)
-0.59 (15)
17
Brisbane Lions
5-17-0
-0.953
0
0.053 (8)
-0.72 (17)
-0.74 (17)
18
Gold Coast Suns
6-16-0
-1.040
0
-0.05 (17)
-0.80 (18)
-0.76 (18)