Australian Football League Ratings


Below are listed the current Australian Football League computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. The AFL ratings will be updated roughly about every two weeks during the season.
More information on how these AFL computer rankings can be found on the Methodology page.

DII Rating– This is a Aussie Rules football rankings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating and the Aegis Rating. The Inference Rating is weighted more highly in the beginning of the season whereas the Standard Rating is weighted more highly at the end of the season. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.

Standard Rating– Looks at game outcome, date and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.

Aegis Rating– Replacing the Inference Rating, this uses mostly the same the same criteria as the Standard Rating, but heavily weighs the margin of victory of the game. Data from previous seasons weighs into this algorithm (especially, early in the season). This is system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.

To see our predictions on every AFL game this season, see: AFL Predictions.

Australian Football League Computer Rankings

Updated through all the games played on or before 8/13/2018.
Previous update: 7/23/2018

Rank Team W-L-T Rating Chg SOS (Rank) Standard (Rank) Aegis (Rank)
1
Richmond Tigers
16-4-0
1.1330
1
-0.22 (16)
0.876 (1)
0.854 (1)
2
West Coast Eagles
15-5-0
0.9132
-1
-0.02 (9)
0.714 (2)
0.662 (2)
3
Greater Western Sydney
13-6-1
0.7630
1
0.084 (8)
0.632 (3)
0.433 (4)
4
Collingwood Magpies
13-7-0
0.5979
-1
-0.06 (12)
0.443 (5)
0.516 (3)
5
Sydney Swans
13-7-0
0.5691
0
-0.08 (14)
0.453 (4)
0.386 (6)
6
Hawthorn Hawks
13-7-0
0.5606
2
-0.07 (13)
0.443 (5)
0.391 (5)
7
Essendon Bombers
11-9-0
0.3266
2
-0.09 (15)
0.259 (7)
0.223 (10)
8
Port Adelaide Power
12-8-0
0.2782
-2
-0.04 (11)
0.200 (8)
0.258 (9)
9
Geelong Cats
11-9-0
0.2311
-2
0.285 (2)
0.146 (9)
0.281 (8)
10
Melbourne Demons
12-8-0
0.2233
0
-0.34 (18)
0.134 (10)
0.295 (7)
11
Adelaide Crows
10-10-0
0.1546
0
0.272 (3)
0.124 (11)
0.101 (12)
12
North Melbourne Kangaroos
11-9-0
0.1469
0
-0.29 (17)
0.106 (12)
0.133 (11)
13
Fremantle Dockers
8-12-0
-0.359
0
0.136 (5)
-0.25 (13)
-0.36 (13)
14
Western Bulldogs
7-13-0
-0.487
0
0.133 (6)
-0.34 (14)
-0.47 (14)
15
Brisbane Lions
4-16-0
-0.892
0
0.129 (7)
-0.73 (15)
-0.54 (15)
16
St Kilda Saints
4-15-1
-1.132
0
0.375 (1)
-0.87 (16)
-0.86 (16)
17
Gold Coast Suns
4-16-0
-1.353
0
-0.03 (10)
-1.04 (17)
-1.01 (17)
18
Carlton Blues
2-18-0
-1.792
0
0.156 (4)
-1.37 (18)
-1.39 (18)