Australian Football League Ratings

Updated
RankOverallChangeSOS
(Rank)
Standard
(Rank)
Inference
(Rank)
1. Melbourne Demons (10-0)1.5631--0.2354 (16)1.5380 (1)1.5882 (1)
2. St Kilda Saints (7-3)0.4967+10.1074 (6)0.4889 (2)0.5045 (2)
3. Brisbane Lions (8-2)0.4204-1-0.3060 (18)0.4191 (3)0.4217 (3)
4. Carlton Blues (8-2)0.3982+2-0.1386 (14)0.3971 (4)0.3992 (4)
5. Geelong Cats (6-4)0.2917+2-0.0665 (13)0.2879 (5)0.2955 (5)
6. Fremantle Dockers (7-3)0.1940-2-0.2546 (17)0.1886 (6)0.1995 (6)
7. Sydney Swans (6-4)0.1722-2-0.1873 (15)0.1722 (7)0.1722 (7)
8. Western Bulldogs (5-5)0.1202+1-0.0196 (11)0.1200 (8)0.1205 (8)
9. Richmond Tigers (6-4)0.0776+10.0161 (10)0.0777 (9)0.0776 (9)
10. Port Adelaide Power (4-6)0.0548-20.0616 (9)0.0538 (10)0.0557 (10)
11. Hawthorn Hawks (4-6)-0.0311+20.1905 (3)-0.0252 (11)-0.0370 (11)
12. Greater Western Sydney (3-7)-0.1852-0.1433 (5)-0.1859 (12)-0.1845 (12)
13. Collingwood Magpies (5-5)-0.2168+1-0.0615 (12)-0.2130 (13)-0.2207 (13)
14. Gold Coast Suns (4-6)-0.2315-30.1877 (4)-0.2276 (14)-0.2354 (14)
15. Adelaide Crows (3-7)-0.4430+10.0904 (7)-0.4381 (15)-0.4478 (15)
16. Essendon Bombers (2-8)-0.4554-10.2148 (1)-0.4518 (16)-0.4590 (16)
17. West Coast Eagles (1-9)-1.0860-0.0734 (8)-1.0752 (17)-1.0969 (17)
18. North Melbourne Kangaroos (1-9)-1.1146-0.2098 (2)-1.1033 (18)-1.1259 (18)

Ratings Over Time

Ratings Methodology

This table represents the current Australian Football League computer ratings as computed by the Donchess Inference Index. More information on how these Australian Football League ratings are computed can be found on the Methodology page.

  • Overall Rating: This ratings system that is a combination of the Standard Rating, the Inference Rating and Vegas Rating. This is the final rating that is used to rank the teams.
  • Standard Rating: Looks at game outcome and score differential only. Record is the most important factor in this rating system.
  • Inference Rating: Heavily weights the outcomes of opponents’ games. This system is a much better predictor of future game outcomes.
  • Vegas Rating: This is our newest rating that only takes into account the Vegas line on each game.

Please see our AFL predictions page to see our projections for each game and outright season predictions.