NCAA Football Predictions


Welcome to our page on college football computer predictions. Our predictions listed on this page will be updated on the Monday afternoon that precedes the week’s games. This projection system was designed to use past data to predict college football games in the future. The predictions that you will see here do not account for weather and have a slight lag effect for significant injuries. There is always some element of error in the predictions. I encourage you to read my disclaimer page for more information.

While we list our weekly game projections here, you can find our NCAA college football bowl projections at 2019-2020 College Football Bowl Projections. Also, this year, we are doing FCS Playoff Projections. This will be updated before the beginning of the season and will be updated much more often as we get closer to bowl season. One can also refer to our FBS ratings and FCS ratings for more information. Both of our college football rating systems are updated weekly on Sunday morning.

The predictions on these college football games are to be used for informational purposes only.

All upcoming college football predictions are listed below. Enjoy the information!

Week 4 FBS College Football Score Predictions

Time Matchup Teams Lines – Updated 9/19 @ 8:41 am Odds to Win Score Prediction Total Points
9/19 Houston at Tulane Houston
+165
+175
+165
45%
31.15
64.21
Tulane
-190
-190
-190
55%
33.05
9/20 Air Force at Boise St Air Force
+235
+255
+250
24.7%
25.13
57.98
Boise St
-280
-280
-300
75.3%
32.84
9/20 Florida Intl at Louisiana Tech Florida Intl
+235
+260
+240
43.5%
24.55
51.50
Louisiana Tech
-280
-290
-290
56.5%
26.95
9/20 Utah at USC Utah
-171
-173
-170
30.5%
22.99
51.50
USC
+151
+163
+150
69.5%
28.50
9/21 Troy at Akron Troy
-900
-900
-1000
89.6%
34.72
48.26
Akron
+675
+600
+600
10.4%
13.53
9/21 Southern Miss at Alabama Southern Miss
No Odds
+18000
No Odds
0.80%
11.47
55.76
Alabama
No Odds
-54000
No Odds
99.2%
44.28
9/21 Appalachian St at North Carolina Appalachian St
+120
+130
+120
42.4%
26.07
54.85
North Carolina
-140
-140
-140
57.6%
28.77
9/21 Colorado at Arizona St Colorado
+245
+255
+250
25.5%
23.89
55.18
Arizona St
-290
-280
-300
74.5%
31.29
9/21 Auburn at Texas A&M Auburn
+147
+155
+145
22.1%
21.95
53.31
Texas A&M
-167
-165
-165
77.9%
31.36
9/21 Baylor at Rice Baylor
-2500
-2725
No Odds
89.7%
39.94
58.20
Rice
+1350
+2025
No Odds
10.3%
18.25
9/21 Boston College at Rutgers Boston College
-325
-320
-340
66.8%
26.55
48.41
Rutgers
+270
+290
+270
33.2%
21.86
9/21 Bowling Green at Kent Bowling Green
+330
+345
+310
52.8%
30.72
60.16
Kent
-400
-385
-420
47.2%
29.43
9/21 Temple at Buffalo Temple
-550
-550
-600
81.8%
35.68
58.17
Buffalo
+445
+425
+400
18.2%
22.49
9/21 California at Mississippi California
+115
+125
+115
44.1%
26.40
55.01
Mississippi
-135
-135
-135
55.9%
28.60
9/21 C Michigan at Miami FL C Michigan
No Odds
+3250
No Odds
3.7%
11.36
47.54
Miami FL
No Odds
-7500
No Odds
96.3%
36.17
9/21 Coastal Car at Massachusetts Coastal Car
-725
-750
-800
89.5%
43.26
66.33
Massachusetts
+560
+600
+500
10.5%
23.06
9/21 Toledo at Colorado St Toledo
-350
-320
-350
69.2%
35.85
66.20
Colorado St
+290
+290
+275
30.8%
30.35
9/21 Connecticut at Indiana Connecticut
+1650
+2325
No Odds
12.1%
22.61
62.03
Indiana
-2800
-3150
No Odds
87.9%
39.42
9/21 Tennessee at Florida Tennessee
+485
+510
+425
10.4%
14.38
49.07
Florida
-610
-615
-650
89.6%
34.69
9/21 Notre Dame at Georgia Notre Dame
+485
+480
+400
10.7%
18.07
54.45
Georgia
-610
-570
-600
89.3%
36.38
9/21 Georgia St at Texas St Georgia St
+130
+138
+130
53.3%
27.53
53.57
Texas St
-150
-148
-150
46.7%
26.04
9/21 Nebraska at Illinois Nebraska
-500
-500
-550
65.9%
32.23
60.06
Illinois
+405
+435
+375
34.1%
27.83
9/21 West Virginia at Kansas West Virginia
-190
-185
-180
58.4%
32.47
61.84
Kansas
+165
+170
+160
41.6%
29.37
9/21 Kentucky at Mississippi St Kentucky
+195
+205
+185
22%
18.78
47.07
Mississippi St
-225
-225
-225
78%
28.29
9/21 Louisiana at Ohio Louisiana
+130
+145
+135
48.1%
32.61
65.93
Ohio
-150
-155
-155
51.9%
33.32
9/21 LSU at Vanderbilt LSU
-1600
-1900
No Odds
79.6%
32.61
53.53
Vanderbilt
+1025
+1450
No Odds
20.4%
20.92
9/21 Michigan at Wisconsin Michigan
+135
+150
+140
30.4%
20.56
47.13
Wisconsin
-155
-160
-160
69.6%
26.56
9/21 Michigan St at Northwestern Michigan St
-365
-350
-380
48.3%
18.37
37.36
Northwestern
+305
+318
+290
51.7%
18.98
9/21 South Carolina at Missouri South Carolina
+275
+290
+265
20.5%
24.70
60.21
Missouri
-330
-320
-330
79.5%
35.51
9/21 Nevada at UTEP Nevada
-600
-570
-660
89.5%
37.09
53.50
UTEP
+475
+480
+430
10.5%
16.40
9/21 New Mexico St at New Mexico New Mexico St
+150
+167
+155
52.4%
32.52
63.95
New Mexico
-170
-178
-175
47.6%
31.42
9/21 UT San Antonio at North Texas UT San Antonio
+825
+850
+750
30.4%
23.19
52.48
North Texas
-1200
-1050
-1400
69.6%
29.29
9/21 Oklahoma St at Texas Oklahoma St
+175
+190
+190
16.6%
27.13
67.77
Texas
-205
-210
-230
83.4%
40.63
9/21 Old Dominion at Virginia Old Dominion
No Odds
+3000
No Odds
2.5%
14.09
53.99
Virginia
No Odds
-7000
No Odds
97.5%
39.90
9/21 Oregon at Stanford Oregon
-370
-365
-400
48.8%
27.25
54.90
Stanford
+310
+328
+300
51.2%
27.65
9/21 UCF at Pittsburgh UCF
-425
-410
-500
53.3%
29.40
57.31
Pittsburgh
+355
+365
+350
46.7%
27.90
9/21 Utah St at San Diego St Utah St
-180
-178
-180
52.4%
26.34
51.60
San Diego St
+160
+167
+160
47.6%
25.25
9/21 SMU at TCU SMU
+285
+305
+275
18.8%
22.93
57.86
TCU
-340
-335
-350
81.2%
34.93
9/21 South Alabama at UAB South Alabama
+325
+328
+310
30.5%
22.22
49.94
UAB
-385
-365
-420
69.5%
27.72
9/21 W Michigan at Syracuse W Michigan
+180
+190
+180
21.9%
27.70
65.01
Syracuse
-210
-210
-220
78.1%
37.31
9/21 Wyoming at Tulsa Wyoming
+150
+155
+150
51.9%
23.13
45.37
Tulsa
-170
-165
-170
48.1%
22.23
9/21 UCLA at Washington St UCLA
+700
+750
+650
14%
22.50
60.11
Washington St
-950
-950
-1100
86%
37.61
9/21 Charlotte at Clemson Charlotte
No Odds
+27500
No Odds
0.3%
7.010
51.32
Clemson
No Odds
-82500
No Odds
99.7%
44.31
9/21 Louisville at Florida St Louisville
+195
+220
+200
25.9%
25.32
57.95
Florida St
-225
-240
-240
74.1%
32.63
9/21 Ball St at NC State Ball St
+775
+950
+725
10.7%
19.63
57.57
NC State
-1100
-1150
-1300
89.3%
37.93
9/21 Miami OH at Ohio St Miami OH
No Odds
+18000
No Odds
2.1%
15.73
58.77
Ohio St
No Odds
-54000
No Odds
97.9%
43.04
9/21 San Jose St at Arkansas San Jose St
+825
+1050
No Odds
21.9%
24.49
58.60
Arkansas
-1200
-1300
No Odds
78.1%
34.10
9/21 ULM at Iowa St ULM
+700
+700
+650
10.5%
17.67
55.16
Iowa St
-950
-1100
-1100
89.5%
37.48
9/21 Washington at BYU Washington
-210
-230
-230
57.3%
23.32
43.86
BYU
+180
+210
+190
42.7%
20.53

FCS College Football Score Predictions

Date Matchup Prediction Teams Odds to Win Score Prediction Total Points
9/21 McNeese St at Abilene Chr Abilene Chr wins by 5 McNeese St
32.3%
24.50
53.82
Abilene Chr
67.7%
29.31
9/21 Alabama A&M at Samford Samford wins by 7 Alabama A&M
30.3%
24.86
56.13
Samford
69.7%
31.27
9/21 Grambling at Alabama St Grambling wins by 5 Grambling
65.3%
28.49
52.79
Alabama St
34.7%
24.30
9/21 Lafayette at Albany NY Albany NY wins by 10 Lafayette
21.9%
18.50
46.62
Albany NY
78.1%
28.11
9/21 Prairie View at Alcorn St Alcorn St wins by 6 Prairie View
31.4%
27.82
60.75
Alcorn St
68.6%
32.93
9/21 Tennessee St vs Ark Pine Bluff Tennessee St wins by 4 Tennessee St
60.2%
29.18
55.27
Ark Pine Bluff
39.8%
26.08
9/21 Austin Peay at ETSU Austin Peay wins by 2 Austin Peay
52.4%
25.76
50.43
ETSU
47.6%
24.67
9/21 Bethune-Cookman at MS Valley St Bethune-Cookman wins by 5 Bethune-Cookman
67.4%
29.22
53.55
MS Valley St
32.6%
24.33
9/21 Brown at Bryant Brown wins by 1 Brown
50.7%
24.87
49.35
Bryant
49.3%
24.48
9/21 Davidson at Campbell Campbell wins by 6 Davidson
30.4%
24.03
53.76
Campbell
69.6%
29.73
9/21 Charleston So at Citadel Citadel wins by 13 Charleston So
18.5%
19.44
51.10
Citadel
81.5%
31.65
9/21 James Madison at Chattanooga James Madison wins by 14 James Madison
82.5%
34.60
55.51
Chattanooga
17.5%
20.91
9/21 Maine at Colgate Maine wins by 1 Maine
51.9%
21.93
42.96
Colgate
48.1%
21.03
9/21 Duquesne at Dayton Dayton wins by 5 Duquesne
34.1%
22.71
49.63
Dayton
65.9%
26.92
9/21 E Illinois at Indiana St Indiana St wins by 10 E Illinois
21.9%
22.78
55.17
Indiana St
78.1%
32.39
9/21 E Washington at Idaho E Washington wins by 6 E Washington
69.5%
35.28
64.87
Idaho
30.5%
29.59
9/21 Mercer at Furman Furman wins by 7 Mercer
28.2%
23.12
53.06
Furman
71.8%
29.93
9/21 Gardner Webb at Wofford Wofford wins by 16 Gardner Webb
13.4%
16.66
49.13
Wofford
86.6%
32.47
9/21 Harvard at San Diego Harvard wins by 3 Harvard
57.6%
26.04
49.19
San Diego
42.4%
23.14
9/21 Northwestern LA at Houston Bap Northwestern LA wins by 2 Northwestern LA
52.6%
29.18
57.16
Houston Bap
47.4%
27.98
9/21 Idaho St at Northern Iowa Northern Iowa wins by 7 Idaho St
29.8%
24.89
56.30
Northern Iowa
70.2%
31.40
9/21 Northern Arizona at Illinois St Illinois St wins by 8 Northern Arizona
25.2%
23.97
55.45
Illinois St
74.8%
31.47
9/21 Incarnate Word at Sam Houston St Sam Houston St wins by 4 Incarnate Word
39.6%
29.71
62.53
Sam Houston St
60.4%
32.82
9/21 North Alabama at Jacksonville St Jacksonville St wins by 10 North Alabama
21.5%
21.93
53.77
Jacksonville St
78.5%
31.84
9/21 Lamar at SE Louisiana SE Louisiana wins by 6 Lamar
30.4%
26.16
58.04
SE Louisiana
69.6%
31.87
9/21 Monmouth NJ at Montana Montana wins by 12 Monmouth NJ
19.5%
22.94
57.39
Montana
80.5%
34.44
9/21 Norfolk St at Montana St Montana St wins by 20 Norfolk St
10.5%
17.26
53.84
Montana St
89.5%
36.57
9/21 Morehead St at Murray St Murray St wins by 16 Morehead St
14%
25.79
67.00
Murray St
86%
41.20
9/21 South Dakota at N Colorado South Dakota wins by 3 South Dakota
58%
29.89
56.79
N Colorado
42%
26.90
9/21 UC Davis at N Dakota St N Dakota St wins by 15 UC Davis
14.7%
21.51
57.74
N Dakota St
85.3%
36.22
9/21 Rhode Island at New Hampshire New Hampshire wins by 2 Rhode Island
46.2%
22.40
46.30
New Hampshire
53.8%
23.90
9/21 Nicholls St at SF Austin Nicholls St wins by 12 Nicholls St
79%
35.35
59.51
SF Austin
21%
24.15
9/21 Southern Utah at S Dakota St S Dakota St wins by 25 Southern Utah
3.7%
19.04
62.90
S Dakota St
96.3%
43.85
9/21 Tennessee Tech at W Illinois W Illinois wins by 18 Tennessee Tech
11.4%
19.87
57.05
W Illinois
88.6%
37.17
9/21 Villanova at Towson Towson wins by 6 Villanova
30.4%
20.15
46.02
Towson
69.6%
25.86
9/21 Cornell at Marist Cornell wins by 7 Cornell
69.6%
26.53
46.87
Marist
30.4%
20.34
9/21 Howard at Delaware St Howard wins by 2 Howard
52.6%
26.03
50.87
Delaware St
47.4%
24.84
9/21 Kennesaw at Missouri St Kennesaw wins by 9 Kennesaw
76.9%
31.71
54.74
Missouri St
23.1%
23.02
9/21 Dartmouth at Jacksonville Dartmouth wins by 23 Dartmouth
90%
39.91
57.14
Jacksonville
10%
17.22
9/21 Fordham at Stony Brook Stony Brook wins by 22 Fordham
10%
16.24
54.30
Stony Brook
90%
38.05
9/21 Robert Morris at VMI VMI wins by 7 Robert Morris
28.7%
21.55
49.81
VMI
71.3%
28.26
9/21 Penn at Delaware Delaware wins by 8 Penn
24.9%
20.16
47.93
Delaware
75.1%
27.77
9/21 Southern Univ at Florida A&M Southern Univ wins by 2 Southern Univ
54.4%
27.39
52.89
Florida A&M
45.6%
25.50
9/21 E Kentucky at Presbyterian E Kentucky wins by 16 E Kentucky
84.6%
31.94
48.69
Presbyterian
15.4%
16.75
9/21 Butler at Princeton Princeton wins by 28 Butler
2%
17.03
61.88
Princeton
98%
44.84
9/21 Columbia at St Francis PA Columbia wins by 5 Columbia
65.6%
23.69
43.08
St Francis PA
34.4%
19.39
9/21 Holy Cross at Yale Yale wins by 10 Holy Cross
22.4%
21.79
52.69
Yale
77.6%
30.89

Donchess Inference Predictor Results – NCAA FBS Football

Last Week (Week 15): Straight Up: 1-0 (100%), Against The Spread: 0-1 (0.0%)
2018-2019 Season: Straight Up: 541-174 (75.7%), Against The Spread: 370-331 (52.8%)
2017-2018 Season: Straight Up: 563-215 (72.4%), Against The Spread: 376-382 (49.6%)
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 547-214 (71.9%), Against The Spread: 376-362 (50.9%)
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 604-177 (77.3%), Against The Spread: 382-363 (51.2%)
2014-2015 Season: Straight Up: 507-211 (70.6%), Against The Spread: 351-346 (50.4%)
2013-2014 Season: Straight Up: 547-186 (74.6%), Against The Spread: 368-326 (53.0%)
*Historical results can be found at The Prediction Tracker.

The results for The Prediction Tracker may be different than the results shown in our Log Loss. The Prediction Tracker takes the first projections it finds and does not include any updates that we may make to the projection as the week progresses.