France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 12, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Nantes
Angers 		15.7%
63.2%		21.1%
+220
+132

0.86
1.96		2.82
o2¼-105
u2¼-115

Games for Dec 11, 2025
Games for Dec 13, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Lyon
Lorient		47.7%
27.3%		25.0%
+109
+280
+110
+280
0
1		-1.36520-1.36379-1.29803
Metz
Auxerre		21.5%
54.2%		24.2%
+295
+106
+295
-102
1
3		-0.74672-0.72619-0.61229
Paris FC
Le Havre		35.6%
33.6%		30.8%
+166
+192
+165
+177
0
0		-1.19359-1.22584-1.17928
Angers
Nice		20.4%
55.6%		23.9%
+370
-128
+325
-115
1
0		-1.58221-1.49086-1.58733
Rennes
Paris Saint-Germain		4.9%
84.7%		10.5%
+820
-330
+800
-350
0
5		-0.29897-0.29316-0.16643
Strasbourg
Toulouse		31.6%
41.5%		26.9%
+186
+164
+180
+160
0
1		-0.99997-0.99932-0.87996
Lens
Nantes		50.7%
24.0%		25.3%
-142
+430
-140
+415
2
1		-0.55345-0.57428-0.68001
Marseille
Lille		26.4%
47.4%		26.2%
+205
+143
+220
+130
0
1		-0.91270-0.86303-0.74682
Monaco
Brest		48.0%
27.3%		24.7%
+103
+260
+100
+248
0
1		-1.31059-1.28674-1.29894
Nantes
Lyon		13.7%
67.3%		19.0%
+730
-248
+650
-240
0
3		-0.37331-0.39475-0.39583
Nice
Lorient		43.5%
29.4%		27.1%
+201
+141
+200
+140
1
3		-0.91437-0.91454-1.22299
Lille
Le Havre		62.4%
15.1%		22.5%
-123
+365
-125
+350
1
0		-0.62773-0.63264-0.47217
Lens
Angers		36.5%
35.3%		28.2%
-143
+440
-136
+425
2
1		-0.56637-0.58066-1.00778
Brest
Strasbourg		35.2%
37.1%		27.7%
+360
-128
+355
-127
2
1		-1.55941-1.55018-1.04481
Toulouse
Marseille		20.9%
55.7%		23.3%
+455
-157
+430
-155
2
2		-1.44906-1.42221-1.45624
Auxerre
Paris FC		30.9%
41.1%		28.0%
+342
-115
+310
-110
1
1		-1.32720-1.32543-1.27465
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks41-2-1 (0.375)0-1.22193 
Sportsbooks41-2-1 (0.375)0-1.20167 
DRatings41-2-1 (0.375)0-1.16923
0.05270
0.03244

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.