Gremio at Chapecoense

Updated

Gremio

45.7%26.9%27.4%
Gremio WinDrawChapecoense Win
1.44Projected Goals 0.86
3Final Score 1

Chapecoense

Last 5 Games

Gremio
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Bragantino-185
L 1-3 at America (MG)+280
W 0-1 vs Fluminense+145
L 0-1 at Internacional+260
L 1-2 at Atletico Mineiro+720
Chapecoense
Money Line
L 0-2 at Santos+950
L 2-0 vs Juventude+245
T 2-2 vs Flamengo+780
T 0-0 at Cuiaba+500
L 0-1 at Corinthians+820

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio-124-175-189-178-181-189-175-162.7
Chapecoense+282+500+530+524+499+530+530+536.3
Draw+229+310+275+324+301+275+324+347.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio-165-----190-190-162.7
Chapecoense+430----+525+525+536.3
Draw+315----+330+330+347.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chapecoense: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Gremio: 0.0%
Chapecoense: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Gremio: 0.0%
Chapecoense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Gremio ML
No Steam Moves On Chapecoense ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chapecoense: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Gremio: 0.0%
Chapecoense: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Gremio: 0.0%
Chapecoense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Gremio ML
No Steam Moves On Chapecoense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-102o2½-105o2½+100o2½+101-o2½+100o2½+101o2½+107
Underu2½-118u2½-115u2½-120u2½-116-u2½-120u2½-115u2½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+107
Under-----u2½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.1%
 
No55.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.00%
Exactly 226.51%
Exactly 411.71%
Exactly 62.07%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 123.03%
Exactly 320.35%
Exactly 55.39%
Exactly 70.68%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 023.71%
Exactly 134.13%
Exactly 224.56%
Exactly 311.78%
Exactly 44.24%
Exactly 51.22%
Exactly 60.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Chapecoense
Exactly 042.17%
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 215.72%
Exactly 34.52%
Exactly 40.98%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.44%
Exactly 219.57%
Exactly 41.85%
 
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 36.95%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 051.36%
Exactly 134.22%
Exactly 211.40%
Exactly 32.53%
Exactly 40.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chapecoense
Exactly 067.05%
Exactly 126.80%
Exactly 25.36%
Exactly 30.71%

Alternate Props

Spread

Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals25.11%
Wins by 3+ goals9.74%
Wins by 4+ goals3.02%
Wins by 5+ goals0.74%
Chapecoense
Wins by 2+ goals7.31%
Wins by 3+ goals1.78%
Wins by 4+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Gremio
Chapecoense
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal25.39%
Wins by 2 goals15.37%
Wins by 3 goals6.72%
Wins by 4 goals2.28%
Wins by 5 goals0.62%
Chapecoense
Wins by 1 goal15.23%
Wins by 2 goals5.53%
Wins by 3 goals1.45%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.00%10.00%
1.566.97%33.03%
2.540.46%59.54%
3.520.12%79.88%
4.58.40%91.60%
5.53.01%96.99%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.29%23.71%
1.542.16%57.84%
2.517.60%82.40%
3.55.82%94.18%
4.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals Chapecoense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.83%42.17%
1.521.41%78.59%
2.55.70%94.30%
3.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.56%34.44%
1.528.85%71.15%
2.59.28%90.72%
3.52.33%97.67%

Score Props

Correct Score

Gremio
Chapecoense
Score01234
0
10.00%
8.63%
3.73%
1.07%
0.23%
1
14.39%
12.43%
5.36%
1.54%
0.33%
2
10.36%
8.94%
3.86%
1.11%
0.24%
3
4.97%
4.29%
1.85%
0.53%
0.12%
4
1.79%
1.54%
0.67%
0.19%
0.04%
5
0.51%
0.44%
0.19%
0.06%
0.01%
Gremio
1-014.39%
2-010.36%
2-18.94%
3-04.97%
3-14.29%
3-21.85%
4-01.79%
4-11.54%
4-20.67%
4-30.19%
5-00.51%
5-10.44%
5-20.19%
Draw
0-010.00%
1-112.43%
2-23.86%
3-30.53%
Chapecoense
0-18.63%
0-23.73%
1-25.36%
0-31.07%
1-31.54%
2-31.11%
0-40.23%
1-40.33%
2-40.24%
3-40.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Gremio
Chapecoense
Score0123
0
34.44%
13.77%
2.75%
0.37%
1
22.95%
9.17%
1.83%
0.24%
2
7.64%
3.06%
0.61%
0.08%
3
1.70%
0.68%
0.14%
0.02%
4
0.28%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Gremio
1-022.95%
2-07.64%
2-13.06%
3-01.70%
3-10.68%
3-20.14%
4-00.28%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-034.44%
1-19.17%
2-20.61%
Chapecoense
0-113.77%
0-22.75%
1-21.83%
0-30.37%
1-30.24%