Vasco da Gama at Gremio

Updated

Vasco da Gama

17.7%23.8%58.5%
WinDrawGremio Win
0.81Projected Goals 1.70
0Final Score 1

Gremio

Last 5 Games

Vasco da Gama
Money Line
L 4-2 vs Corinthians
T 0-0 at Athletico Paranaense
T 2-2 at Cruzeiro
W 1-2 vs America (MG)
W 0-1 vs Botafogo RJ
Gremio
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Goias
L 0-3 at Atletico Mineiro
L 1-0 vs Corinthians
W 4-3 at Botafogo RJ
W 0-1 vs Bahia

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vasco da Gama+374+343+330+330+333+330+343+351.1
Gremio-127-117-120-115-121-115-115-104.0
Draw+272+262+260+255+265+255+265+272.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vasco da Gama-----+351.1
Gremio------104.0
Draw-----+272.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vasco da Gama: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vasco da Gama: 0.0%
Gremio: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vasco da Gama: 0.0%
Gremio: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Vasco da Gama ML
No Steam Moves On Gremio ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-119o2½-112o2½-115o2½-113o2½-111o2½-113o2½-111o2½-103
Underu2½+101u2½-104u2½-105u2½-107u2½-109u2½-107u2½-104u2½+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-103
Under-----u2½+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.4%
 
No54.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.14%
Exactly 225.61%
Exactly 413.43%
Exactly 62.82%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.42%
Exactly 321.41%
Exactly 56.73%
Exactly 71.01%
Exact Goals Scored - Vasco da Gama
Exactly 044.46%
Exactly 136.04%
Exactly 214.60%
Exactly 33.95%
Exactly 40.80%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 018.31%
Exactly 131.09%
Exactly 226.39%
Exactly 314.93%
Exactly 46.34%
Exactly 52.15%
Exactly 60.61%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.31%
Exactly 221.11%
Exactly 42.37%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.36%
Exactly 38.17%
Exactly 50.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vasco da Gama
Exactly 068.71%
Exactly 125.78%
Exactly 24.84%
Exactly 30.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 045.57%
Exactly 135.82%
Exactly 214.08%
Exactly 33.69%
Exactly 40.72%
Exactly 50.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Vasco da Gama
Wins by 2+ goals5.35%
Wins by 3+ goals1.22%
Wins by 4+ goals0.21%
Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals32.67%
Wins by 3+ goals14.54%
Wins by 4+ goals5.27%
Wins by 5+ goals1.59%
Wins by 6+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Vasco da Gama
Gremio
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Vasco da Gama
Wins by 1 goal12.31%
Wins by 2 goals4.13%
Wins by 3 goals1.01%
Wins by 4 goals0.19%
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal25.78%
Wins by 2 goals18.13%
Wins by 3 goals9.26%
Wins by 4 goals3.69%
Wins by 5 goals1.20%
Wins by 6 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.86%8.14%
1.571.44%28.56%
2.545.83%54.17%
3.524.42%75.58%
4.510.99%89.01%
5.54.26%95.74%
6.51.44%98.56%

Total Goals Vasco da Gama Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.54%44.46%
1.519.50%80.50%
2.54.89%95.11%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.69%18.31%
1.550.60%49.40%
2.524.21%75.79%
3.59.28%90.72%
4.52.95%97.05%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.69%31.31%
1.532.33%67.67%
2.511.22%88.78%
3.53.05%96.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Vasco da Gama
Gremio
Score012345
0
8.14%
13.82%
11.73%
6.64%
2.82%
0.96%
1
6.60%
11.20%
9.51%
5.38%
2.28%
0.78%
2
2.67%
4.54%
3.85%
2.18%
0.93%
0.31%
3
0.72%
1.23%
1.04%
0.59%
0.25%
0.08%
4
0.15%
0.25%
0.21%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
Vasco da Gama
1-06.60%
2-02.67%
2-14.54%
3-00.72%
3-11.23%
3-21.04%
4-00.15%
4-10.25%
4-20.21%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-08.14%
1-111.20%
2-23.85%
3-30.59%
Gremio
0-113.82%
0-211.73%
1-29.51%
0-36.64%
1-35.38%
2-32.18%
0-42.82%
1-42.28%
2-40.93%
3-40.25%
0-50.96%
1-50.78%
2-50.31%

Correct Score - First Half

Vasco da Gama
Gremio
Score01234
0
31.31%
24.61%
9.67%
2.53%
0.50%
1
11.75%
9.23%
3.63%
0.95%
0.19%
2
2.20%
1.73%
0.68%
0.18%
0.04%
3
0.28%
0.22%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Vasco da Gama
1-011.75%
2-02.20%
2-11.73%
3-00.28%
3-10.22%
Draw
0-031.31%
1-19.23%
2-20.68%
Gremio
0-124.61%
0-29.67%
1-23.63%
0-32.53%
1-30.95%
2-30.18%
0-40.50%
1-40.19%