Sao Paulo at America (MG)

Updated

Sao Paulo

32.2%30.8%37.0%
Sao Paulo WinDrawAmerica (MG) Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.05
2Final Score 1

America (MG)

Last 5 Games

Sao Paulo
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Avaí
W 2-0 at Ceara
T 1-1 vs Corinthians
T 1-1 at Cuiaba
L 1-0 vs Fortaleza
America (MG)
Money Line
W 2-1 at Ceara
L 1-2 at Cuiaba
W 0-1 vs Corinthians
T 0-0 at Botafogo RJ
W 0-2 vs Coritiba

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+200+178+190+190-+190+190+194.3
America (MG)+150+175+155+160-+158+175+182.0
Draw+226+217+225+215-+215+225+227.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo-----+194.3
America (MG)-----+182.0
Draw-----+227.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
America (MG): 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
America (MG): 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sao Paulo: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 10.0%
America (MG): 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On America (MG) ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-136o2½+121o2¼-109o2¼-108-o2¼-108o2¼-108o2-130
Underu2+116u2½-143u2¼-105u2¼-112-u2¼-112u2½-143u2+130
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-130
Under-----u2+130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.0%
 
No60.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 013.48%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 49.06%
Exactly 61.21%
 
Exactly 127.01%
Exactly 318.08%
Exactly 53.63%
Exactly 70.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 038.41%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.59%
Exactly 35.61%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - America (MG)
Exactly 035.09%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 219.24%
Exactly 36.72%
Exactly 41.76%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 039.54%
Exactly 217.02%
Exactly 41.22%
 
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 35.27%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 064.21%
Exactly 128.45%
Exactly 26.30%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - America (MG)
Exactly 061.58%
Exactly 129.86%
Exactly 27.24%
Exactly 31.17%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals11.67%
Wins by 3+ goals3.17%
Wins by 4+ goals0.66%
America (MG)
Wins by 2+ goals14.43%
Wins by 3+ goals4.24%
Wins by 4+ goals0.95%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Sao Paulo
America (MG)
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal20.53%
Wins by 2 goals8.51%
Wins by 3 goals2.51%
Wins by 4 goals0.57%
America (MG)
Wins by 1 goal22.47%
Wins by 2 goals10.19%
Wins by 3 goals3.29%
Wins by 4 goals0.81%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.52%13.48%
1.559.51%40.49%
2.532.45%67.55%
3.514.36%85.64%
4.55.30%94.70%
5.51.67%98.33%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.59%38.41%
1.524.84%75.16%
2.57.26%92.74%
3.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals America (MG) Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.91%35.09%
1.528.16%71.84%
2.58.92%91.08%
3.52.20%97.80%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.46%39.54%
1.523.78%76.22%
2.56.75%93.25%
3.51.49%98.51%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sao Paulo
America (MG)
Score01234
0
13.48%
14.11%
7.39%
2.58%
0.68%
1
12.90%
13.51%
7.07%
2.47%
0.65%
2
6.17%
6.46%
3.38%
1.18%
0.31%
3
1.97%
2.06%
1.08%
0.38%
0.10%
4
0.47%
0.49%
0.26%
0.09%
0.02%
Sao Paulo
1-012.90%
2-06.17%
2-16.46%
3-01.97%
3-12.06%
3-21.08%
4-00.47%
4-10.49%
4-20.26%
Draw
0-013.48%
1-113.51%
2-23.38%
3-30.38%
America (MG)
0-114.11%
0-27.39%
1-27.07%
0-32.58%
1-32.47%
2-31.18%
0-40.68%
1-40.65%
2-40.31%

Correct Score - First Half

Sao Paulo
America (MG)
Score0123
0
39.54%
19.17%
4.65%
0.75%
1
17.52%
8.49%
2.06%
0.33%
2
3.88%
1.88%
0.46%
0.07%
3
0.57%
0.28%
0.07%
0.01%
Sao Paulo
1-017.52%
2-03.88%
2-11.88%
3-00.57%
3-10.28%
Draw
0-039.54%
1-18.49%
2-20.46%
America (MG)
0-119.17%
0-24.65%
1-22.06%
0-30.75%
1-30.33%
Coritiba at Palmeiras
Botafogo RJ at Avaí