Ceara at Coritiba

Updated

Ceara

30.5%30.4%39.1%
Ceara WinDrawCoritiba Win
0.94Projected Goals 1.10
0Final Score 1

Coritiba

Last 5 Games

Ceara
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Sao Paulo
W 1-2 vs Santos
T 1-1 at Flamengo
T 0-0 vs Athletico Paranaense
T 1-1 at Bragantino
Coritiba
Money Line
L 0-2 at Botafogo RJ
W 0-2 vs Atletico Goianiense
L 0-2 at America (MG)
W 0-1 vs Avaí
L 2-5 at Fluminense

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ceara+200+248+225+248+246+248+248+261.8
Coritiba+150+125+130+123+116+123+130+136.7
Draw+205+224+210+217+228+217+228+232.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ceara-----+261.8
Coritiba-----+136.7
Draw-----+232.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ceara: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Coritiba: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ceara: 20.0%
Coritiba: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ceara: 0.0%
Coritiba: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Ceara ML
No Steam Moves On Coritiba ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+108o2-142o2¼+102o2¼-103-o2¼-103o2-142o2-122
Underu2¼-128u2+120u2¼-122u2¼-117-u2¼-117u2¼-117u2+122
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-122
Under-----u2+122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.6%
 
No59.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 013.05%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 49.35%
Exactly 61.29%
 
Exactly 126.57%
Exactly 318.37%
Exactly 53.81%
Exactly 70.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Ceara
Exactly 039.27%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 217.16%
Exactly 35.35%
Exactly 41.25%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Coritiba
Exactly 033.23%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 220.17%
Exactly 37.41%
Exactly 42.04%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.95%
Exactly 217.31%
Exactly 41.28%
 
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 35.44%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ceara
Exactly 064.87%
Exactly 128.08%
Exactly 26.08%
Exactly 30.88%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Coritiba
Exactly 060.04%
Exactly 130.63%
Exactly 27.81%
Exactly 31.33%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ceara
Wins by 2+ goals10.79%
Wins by 3+ goals2.86%
Wins by 4+ goals0.58%
Coritiba
Wins by 2+ goals15.89%
Wins by 3+ goals4.88%
Wins by 4+ goals1.14%
Wins by 5+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Ceara
Coritiba
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Ceara
Wins by 1 goal19.65%
Wins by 2 goals7.93%
Wins by 3 goals2.28%
Wins by 4 goals0.50%
Coritiba
Wins by 1 goal23.16%
Wins by 2 goals11.01%
Wins by 3 goals3.73%
Wins by 4 goals0.97%
Wins by 5 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.95%13.05%
1.560.38%39.62%
2.533.32%66.68%
3.514.95%85.05%
4.55.60%94.40%
5.51.79%98.21%

Total Goals Ceara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.73%39.27%
1.524.03%75.97%
2.56.87%93.13%
3.51.52%98.48%

Total Goals Coritiba Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.77%33.23%
1.530.16%69.84%
2.59.99%90.01%
3.52.59%97.41%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.05%38.95%
1.524.32%75.68%
2.57.01%92.99%
3.51.57%98.43%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ceara
Coritiba
Score012345
0
13.05%
14.38%
7.92%
2.91%
0.80%
0.18%
1
12.20%
13.44%
7.40%
2.72%
0.75%
0.16%
2
5.70%
6.28%
3.46%
1.27%
0.35%
0.08%
3
1.78%
1.96%
1.08%
0.40%
0.11%
0.02%
4
0.42%
0.46%
0.25%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Ceara
1-012.20%
2-05.70%
2-16.28%
3-01.78%
3-11.96%
3-21.08%
4-00.42%
4-10.46%
4-20.25%
Draw
0-013.05%
1-113.44%
2-23.46%
3-30.40%
Coritiba
0-114.38%
0-27.92%
1-27.40%
0-32.91%
1-32.72%
2-31.27%
0-40.80%
1-40.75%
2-40.35%
3-40.11%
0-50.18%
1-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Ceara
Coritiba
Score01234
0
38.95%
19.87%
5.07%
0.86%
0.11%
1
16.86%
8.60%
2.19%
0.37%
0.05%
2
3.65%
1.86%
0.47%
0.08%
0.01%
3
0.53%
0.27%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Ceara
1-016.86%
2-03.65%
2-11.86%
3-00.53%
3-10.27%
Draw
0-038.95%
1-18.60%
2-20.47%
Coritiba
0-119.87%
0-25.07%
1-22.19%
0-30.86%
1-30.37%
0-40.11%