Athletico Paranaense at Sao Paulo

Updated

Athletico Paranaense

24.5%26.5%49.0%
Athletico Paranaense WinDrawSao Paulo Win
0.74Projected Goals 1.47
0Final Score 0

Sao Paulo

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Atletico Mineiro+600
L 1-2 at Internacional+260
W 1-2 vs Ceara-125
W 2-0 at Bragantino+270
T 2-2 vs Flamengo+220
Sao Paulo
Money Line
W 2-0 at Palmeiras+255
L 4-0 vs Flamengo+170
T 1-1 at Fortaleza+190
L 0-1 at Bahia+150
W 0-1 vs Internacional-135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense+350+390+300+405-+300+405+426.7
Sao Paulo-120-115-110-120--110-110-107.9
Draw+260+220+200+226-+200+226+243.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense+350----+400+400+426.7
Sao Paulo-130-----115-115-107.9
Draw+280----+220+220+243.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML
No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML
No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-112o2-105o2-105o2-103-o2-105o2-103o2+107
Underu2¼-108u2-115u2-115u2-112-u2-115u2-112u2-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+107
Under-----u2-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.3%
 
No59.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.95%
Exactly 226.78%
Exactly 410.92%
Exactly 61.78%
Exactly 80.16%
 
Exactly 124.22%
Exactly 319.75%
Exactly 54.83%
Exactly 70.56%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 047.79%
Exactly 135.29%
Exactly 213.03%
Exactly 33.21%
Exactly 40.59%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 022.91%
Exactly 133.76%
Exactly 224.87%
Exactly 312.22%
Exactly 44.50%
Exactly 51.33%
Exactly 60.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.91%
Exactly 218.83%
Exactly 41.65%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.43%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 071.04%
Exactly 124.29%
Exactly 24.15%
Exactly 30.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 050.55%
Exactly 134.49%
Exactly 211.76%
Exactly 32.68%
Exactly 40.46%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals5.28%
Wins by 3+ goals1.07%
Wins by 4+ goals0.14%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals28.01%
Wins by 3+ goals11.18%
Wins by 4+ goals3.57%
Wins by 5+ goals0.90%
Wins by 6+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense
Sao Paulo
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal13.35%
Wins by 2 goals4.21%
Wins by 3 goals0.93%
Wins by 4 goals0.14%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal26.65%
Wins by 2 goals16.83%
Wins by 3 goals7.61%
Wins by 4 goals2.66%
Wins by 5 goals0.75%
Wins by 6 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.05%10.95%
1.564.83%35.17%
2.538.05%61.95%
3.518.30%81.70%
4.57.38%92.62%
5.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.21%47.79%
1.516.93%83.07%
2.53.90%96.10%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.09%22.91%
1.543.33%56.67%
2.518.46%81.54%
3.56.24%93.76%
4.51.74%98.26%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.09%35.91%
1.527.31%72.69%
2.58.48%91.52%
3.52.05%97.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense
Sao Paulo
Score012345
0
10.95%
16.13%
11.89%
5.84%
2.15%
0.63%
1
8.08%
11.91%
8.78%
4.31%
1.59%
0.47%
2
2.98%
4.40%
3.24%
1.59%
0.59%
0.17%
3
0.73%
1.08%
0.80%
0.39%
0.14%
0.04%
4
0.14%
0.20%
0.15%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
Athletico Paranaense
1-08.08%
2-02.98%
2-14.40%
3-00.73%
3-11.08%
3-20.80%
4-00.14%
4-10.20%
4-20.15%
Draw
0-010.95%
1-111.91%
2-23.24%
3-30.39%
Sao Paulo
0-116.13%
0-211.89%
1-28.78%
0-35.84%
1-34.31%
2-31.59%
0-42.15%
1-41.59%
2-40.59%
3-40.14%
0-50.63%
1-50.47%
2-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense
Sao Paulo
Score01234
0
35.91%
24.50%
8.36%
1.90%
0.32%
1
12.28%
8.38%
2.86%
0.65%
0.11%
2
2.10%
1.43%
0.49%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.24%
0.16%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Athletico Paranaense
1-012.28%
2-02.10%
2-11.43%
3-00.24%
3-10.16%
Draw
0-035.91%
1-18.38%
2-20.49%
Sao Paulo
0-124.50%
0-28.36%
1-22.86%
0-31.90%
1-30.65%
2-30.11%
0-40.32%
1-40.11%
Atletico Mineiro at Palmeiras
Internacional at Fluminense