Fortaleza at Chapecoense

Updated

Fortaleza

47.6%26.9%25.6%
Fortaleza WinDrawChapecoense Win
1.44Projected Goals 0.78
2Final Score 1

Chapecoense

Last 5 Games

Fortaleza
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Gremio-115
L 3-0 vs Flamengo+210
W 2-0 at Fluminense+220
L 3-0 vs Atletico Goianiense-165
W 1-0 at Sport Recife+110
Chapecoense
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Athletico Paranaense+305
L 2-5 at Internacional+750
T 2-2 vs Atletico Mineiro+650
T 1-1 vs Sao Paulo+340
L 0-1 at Ceara+445

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortaleza-120-130-132-137-137-132-130-126.2
Chapecoense+350+390+360+419+385+360+419+437.7
Draw+260+260+240+277+261+240+277+290.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortaleza-115-----135-135-126.2
Chapecoense+330----+400+400+437.7
Draw+250----+260+260+290.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chapecoense: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortaleza: 0.0%
Chapecoense: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortaleza: 0.0%
Chapecoense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML
No Steam Moves On Chapecoense ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chapecoense: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortaleza: 0.0%
Chapecoense: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortaleza: 0.0%
Chapecoense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML
No Steam Moves On Chapecoense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115o2¼-112o2¼-109o2¼-113-o2¼-109o2¼-109o2¼-107
Underu2¼-105u2¼-108u2¼-111u2¼-101-u2¼-111u2¼-101u2¼+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-107
Under-----u2¼+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.3%
 
No58.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.85%
Exactly 226.76%
Exactly 411.00%
Exactly 61.81%
Exactly 80.16%
 
Exactly 124.10%
Exactly 319.81%
Exactly 54.89%
Exactly 70.57%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 023.59%
Exactly 134.07%
Exactly 224.61%
Exactly 311.85%
Exactly 44.28%
Exactly 51.24%
Exactly 60.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Chapecoense
Exactly 046.01%
Exactly 135.72%
Exactly 213.86%
Exactly 33.59%
Exactly 40.70%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.76%
Exactly 218.91%
Exactly 41.67%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 36.48%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 051.23%
Exactly 134.26%
Exactly 211.46%
Exactly 32.55%
Exactly 40.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chapecoense
Exactly 069.81%
Exactly 125.09%
Exactly 24.51%
Exactly 30.54%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals26.62%
Wins by 3+ goals10.43%
Wins by 4+ goals3.26%
Wins by 5+ goals0.81%
Chapecoense
Wins by 2+ goals6.01%
Wins by 3+ goals1.34%
Wins by 4+ goals0.23%

Exact Winning Margin

Fortaleza
Chapecoense
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal26.27%
Wins by 2 goals16.19%
Wins by 3 goals7.16%
Wins by 4 goals2.45%
Wins by 5 goals0.68%
Chapecoense
Wins by 1 goal14.12%
Wins by 2 goals4.68%
Wins by 3 goals1.11%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.15%10.85%
1.565.05%34.95%
2.538.29%61.71%
3.518.48%81.52%
4.57.48%92.52%
5.52.59%97.41%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.41%23.59%
1.542.34%57.66%
2.517.74%82.26%
3.55.89%94.11%
4.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals Chapecoense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.99%46.01%
1.518.27%81.73%
2.54.41%95.59%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.24%35.76%
1.527.46%72.54%
2.58.56%91.44%
3.52.08%97.92%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fortaleza
Chapecoense
Score01234
0
10.85%
8.42%
3.27%
0.85%
0.16%
1
15.68%
12.17%
4.72%
1.22%
0.24%
2
11.32%
8.79%
3.41%
0.88%
0.17%
3
5.45%
4.23%
1.64%
0.43%
0.08%
4
1.97%
1.53%
0.59%
0.15%
0.03%
5
0.57%
0.44%
0.17%
0.04%
0.01%
Fortaleza
1-015.68%
2-011.32%
2-18.79%
3-05.45%
3-14.23%
3-21.64%
4-01.97%
4-11.53%
4-20.59%
4-30.15%
5-00.57%
5-10.44%
5-20.17%
Draw
0-010.85%
1-112.17%
2-23.41%
3-30.43%
Chapecoense
0-18.42%
0-23.27%
1-24.72%
0-30.85%
1-31.22%
2-30.88%
0-40.16%
1-40.24%
2-40.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Fortaleza
Chapecoense
Score0123
0
35.76%
12.85%
2.31%
0.28%
1
23.92%
8.60%
1.55%
0.19%
2
8.00%
2.88%
0.52%
0.06%
3
1.78%
0.64%
0.12%
0.01%
4
0.30%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Fortaleza
1-023.92%
2-08.00%
2-12.88%
3-01.78%
3-10.64%
3-20.12%
4-00.30%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-035.76%
1-18.60%
2-20.52%
Chapecoense
0-112.85%
0-22.31%
1-21.55%
0-30.28%
1-30.19%