Gremio at Bahia

Updated

Gremio

21.2%24.6%54.2%
Gremio WinDrawBahia Win
0.92Projected Goals 1.64
0Final Score 4

Bahia

Last 5 Games

Gremio
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Sao Paulo
L 0-1 at Bragantino
T 1-1 at Santos
W 1-3 vs Vitoria
T 1-1 vs Botafogo RJ
Bahia
Money Line
L 1-2 at Vitoria
W 0-1 vs Flamengo
L 1-2 at Botafogo RJ
W 0-1 vs Palmeiras
L 1-3 at Vasco da Gama

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio+344+390+370+393+390+393+393+417.8
Bahia-117-131-131-134-142-134-131-119.9
Draw+261+272+255+264+272+264+272+282.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio-----+417.8
Bahia------119.9
Draw-----+282.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bahia: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Gremio: 0.0%
Bahia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Gremio: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Gremio: 0.0%
Bahia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Gremio ML
No Steam Moves On Bahia ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+124o2½-109o2½-108o2½-107o2½-107o2½-107o2½-107o2½+103
Underu2½-146u2½-107u2½-112u2½-113u2½-113u2½-113u2½-107u2½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+103
Under-----u2½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.6%
 
No51.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.72%
Exactly 225.32%
Exactly 413.85%
Exactly 63.03%
Exactly 80.36%
 
Exactly 119.77%
Exactly 321.62%
Exactly 57.10%
Exactly 71.11%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 039.73%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 216.93%
Exactly 35.21%
Exactly 41.20%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Bahia
Exactly 019.42%
Exactly 131.83%
Exactly 226.08%
Exactly 314.25%
Exactly 45.84%
Exactly 51.91%
Exactly 60.52%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.54%
Exactly 221.48%
Exactly 42.52%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.22%
Exactly 38.50%
Exactly 50.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 065.22%
Exactly 127.87%
Exactly 25.96%
Exactly 30.85%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bahia
Exactly 046.82%
Exactly 135.53%
Exactly 213.48%
Exactly 33.41%
Exactly 40.65%

Alternate Props

Spread

Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals7.09%
Wins by 3+ goals1.80%
Wins by 4+ goals0.35%
Bahia
Wins by 2+ goals29.22%
Wins by 3+ goals12.54%
Wins by 4+ goals4.39%
Wins by 5+ goals1.27%
Wins by 6+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Gremio
Bahia
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal14.05%
Wins by 2 goals5.29%
Wins by 3 goals1.45%
Wins by 4 goals0.30%
Bahia
Wins by 1 goal24.95%
Wins by 2 goals16.68%
Wins by 3 goals8.15%
Wins by 4 goals3.12%
Wins by 5 goals0.97%
Wins by 6 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.28%7.72%
1.572.52%27.48%
2.547.20%52.80%
3.525.58%74.42%
4.511.73%88.27%
5.54.63%95.37%
6.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.27%39.73%
1.523.60%76.40%
2.56.67%93.33%
3.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals Bahia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.58%19.42%
1.548.76%51.24%
2.522.67%77.33%
3.58.43%91.57%
4.52.59%97.41%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.46%30.54%
1.533.24%66.76%
2.511.75%88.25%
3.53.26%96.74%

Score Props

Correct Score

Gremio
Bahia
Score012345
0
7.71%
12.64%
10.36%
5.66%
2.32%
0.76%
1
7.12%
11.67%
9.56%
5.23%
2.14%
0.70%
2
3.29%
5.39%
4.41%
2.41%
0.99%
0.32%
3
1.01%
1.66%
1.36%
0.74%
0.30%
0.10%
4
0.23%
0.38%
0.31%
0.17%
0.07%
0.02%
Gremio
1-07.12%
2-03.29%
2-15.39%
3-01.01%
3-11.66%
3-21.36%
4-00.23%
4-10.38%
4-20.31%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-07.71%
1-111.67%
2-24.41%
3-30.74%
Bahia
0-112.64%
0-210.36%
1-29.56%
0-35.66%
1-35.23%
2-32.41%
0-42.32%
1-42.14%
2-40.99%
3-40.30%
0-50.76%
1-50.70%
2-50.32%

Correct Score - First Half

Gremio
Bahia
Score01234
0
30.54%
23.17%
8.79%
2.22%
0.42%
1
13.05%
9.90%
3.76%
0.95%
0.18%
2
2.79%
2.12%
0.80%
0.20%
0.04%
3
0.40%
0.30%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Gremio
1-013.05%
2-02.79%
2-12.12%
3-00.40%
3-10.30%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-030.54%
1-19.90%
2-20.80%
Bahia
0-123.17%
0-28.79%
1-23.76%
0-32.22%
1-30.95%
2-30.20%
0-40.42%
1-40.18%
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