Athletico Paranaense at Santos

Updated 599 days ago

12:00 AM • Sep 28, 2022

Athletico Paranaense

25.9%29.0%45.1%

Athletico Paranaense WinDrawSantos Win

0.88Projected Goals 1.25

0Final Score 2

Santos

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
T 2-2	9/18 vs Cuiaba
T 1-1	9/11 at Avaí
W 0-1	9/03 vs Fluminense
T 0-0	8/28 at Ceara
T 1-1	8/21 vs America (MG)

Santos		Money Line
L 0-1	9/18 at Palmeiras
L 1-2	9/10 at Ceara
L 2-1	9/05 vs Goias
T 0-0	8/28 at Cuiaba
W 0-1	8/21 vs Sao Paulo

Money Line Analysis

:3.6%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+285	-	+275	+295	+288	+295	+295	+309.1
Santos	+105	-	+110	+105	+103	+105	+110	+117.9
Draw	+225	-	+215	+225	+221	+225	+225	+237.1

	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+309.1
Santos	-	-	-	-	-	+117.9
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+237.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Santos: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%

Santos: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Santos: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Santos: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Santos ML

Over/Under Analysis

:3.8%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼-102	-	o2¼-102	o2¼-105	-	o2¼-105	o2¼-102	o2-131
Under	u2¼-118	-	u2¼-118	u2¼-115	-	u2¼-115	u2¼-115	u2+131

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2-131
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2+131

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	41.6%


No	58.4%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	11.94%
Exactly 2	26.96%
Exactly 4	10.15%
Exactly 6	1.53%
Exactly 8	0.12%


Exactly 1	25.37%
Exactly 3	19.11%
Exactly 5	4.32%
Exactly 7	0.46%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	41.72%
Exactly 1	36.47%
Exactly 2	15.94%
Exactly 3	4.64%
Exactly 4	1.02%
Exactly 5	0.18%

Exact Goals Scored - Santos
Exactly 0	28.61%
Exactly 1	35.80%
Exactly 2	22.40%
Exactly 3	9.35%
Exactly 4	2.92%
Exactly 5	0.73%
Exactly 6	0.15%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	37.37%
Exactly 2	18.10%
Exactly 4	1.46%


Exactly 1	36.78%
Exactly 3	5.94%
Exactly 5	0.29%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	66.72%
Exactly 1	27.00%
Exactly 2	5.46%
Exactly 3	0.74%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Santos
Exactly 0	56.02%
Exactly 1	32.46%
Exactly 2	9.40%
Exactly 3	1.82%
Exactly 4	0.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	8.60%
Wins by 3+ goals	2.14%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.40%

Santos
Wins by 2+ goals	20.28%
Wins by 3+ goals	7.03%
Wins by 4+ goals	1.94%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Santos

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	17.28%
Wins by 2 goals	6.47%
Wins by 3 goals	1.73%
Wins by 4 goals	0.35%

Santos
Wins by 1 goal	24.74%
Wins by 2 goals	13.26%
Wins by 3 goals	5.09%
Wins by 4 goals	1.51%
Wins by 5 goals	0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	88.06%	11.94%
1.5	62.69%	37.31%
2.5	35.73%	64.27%
3.5	16.62%	83.38%
4.5	6.47%	93.53%
5.5	2.15%	97.85%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	58.28%	41.72%
1.5	21.81%	78.19%
2.5	5.87%	94.13%
3.5	1.22%	98.78%

Total Goals Santos Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	71.39%	28.61%
1.5	35.59%	64.41%
2.5	13.19%	86.81%
3.5	3.84%	96.16%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	62.63%	37.37%
1.5	25.84%	74.16%
2.5	7.74%	92.26%
3.5	1.80%	98.20%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Santos

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11.94%	14.94%	9.35%	3.90%	1.22%	0.31%
1	10.43%	13.06%	8.17%	3.41%	1.07%	0.27%
2	4.56%	5.71%	3.57%	1.49%	0.47%	0.12%
3	1.33%	1.66%	1.04%	0.43%	0.14%	0.03%
4	0.29%	0.36%	0.23%	0.09%	0.03%	0.01%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	10.43%
2-0	4.56%
2-1	5.71%
3-0	1.33%
3-1	1.66%
3-2	1.04%
4-0	0.29%
4-1	0.36%
4-2	0.23%

Draw
0-0	11.94%
1-1	13.06%
2-2	3.57%
3-3	0.43%

Santos
0-1	14.94%
0-2	9.35%
1-2	8.17%
0-3	3.90%
1-3	3.41%
2-3	1.49%
0-4	1.22%
1-4	1.07%
2-4	0.47%
3-4	0.14%
0-5	0.31%
1-5	0.27%
2-5	0.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Santos

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	37.37%	21.66%	6.27%	1.21%	0.18%
1	15.13%	8.77%	2.54%	0.49%	0.07%
2	3.06%	1.77%	0.51%	0.10%	0.01%
3	0.41%	0.24%	0.07%	0.01%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	15.13%
2-0	3.06%
2-1	1.77%
3-0	0.41%
3-1	0.24%

Draw
0-0	37.37%
1-1	8.77%
2-2	0.51%

Santos
0-1	21.66%
0-2	6.27%
1-2	2.54%
0-3	1.21%
1-3	0.49%
0-4	0.18%

Avaí at Sao Paulo

Juventude at Fluminense

Athletico Paranaense at Santos