Ceara at Sao Paulo

Updated

Ceara

18.5%25.0%56.4%
WinDrawSao Paulo Win
0.80Projected Goals 1.59
1Final Score 0

Sao Paulo

Last 5 Games

Ceara
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Bahia
T 2-2 at Vasco da Gama
L 1-0 vs Juventude
T 0-0 at Gremio
W 0-1 vs Bragantino
Sao Paulo
Money Line
L 0-1 at Santos
W 0-1 vs Botafogo RJ
L 0-1 at Cruzeiro
W 0-2 vs Atletico Mineiro
T 2-2 at Sport Recife

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ceara+516+510+500+535+522+535+535+567.4
Sao Paulo-157-147-154-155-154-155-147-137.2
Draw+275+255+245+250+252+250+255+267.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ceara-----+567.4
Sao Paulo------137.2
Draw-----+267.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ceara: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ceara: 10.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Ceara: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ceara: 10.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Ceara ML
No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-126o2-108o2-102o2-108o2-107o2-108o2-102o2+102
Underu2+108u2-108u2-118u2-112u2-113u2-112u2-108u2-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+102
Under-----u2-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.6%
 
No56.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.21%
Exactly 226.19%
Exactly 412.42%
Exactly 62.36%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 121.96%
Exactly 320.82%
Exactly 55.92%
Exactly 70.80%
Exact Goals Scored - Ceara
Exactly 045.29%
Exactly 135.87%
Exactly 214.21%
Exactly 33.75%
Exactly 40.74%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 020.32%
Exactly 132.38%
Exactly 225.80%
Exactly 313.70%
Exactly 45.46%
Exactly 51.74%
Exactly 60.46%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.14%
Exactly 220.21%
Exactly 42.05%
 
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 37.44%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ceara
Exactly 069.30%
Exactly 125.41%
Exactly 24.66%
Exactly 30.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 047.82%
Exactly 135.28%
Exactly 213.01%
Exactly 33.20%
Exactly 40.59%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ceara
Wins by 2+ goals5.56%
Wins by 3+ goals1.25%
Wins by 4+ goals0.21%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals30.30%
Wins by 3+ goals12.86%
Wins by 4+ goals4.43%
Wins by 5+ goals1.26%
Wins by 6+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Ceara
Sao Paulo
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Ceara
Wins by 1 goal12.97%
Wins by 2 goals4.31%
Wins by 3 goals1.03%
Wins by 4 goals0.19%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal26.09%
Wins by 2 goals17.44%
Wins by 3 goals8.43%
Wins by 4 goals3.17%
Wins by 5 goals0.97%
Wins by 6 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.79%9.21%
1.568.84%31.16%
2.542.65%57.35%
3.521.82%78.18%
4.59.40%90.60%
5.53.48%96.52%
6.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals Ceara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.71%45.29%
1.518.83%81.17%
2.54.63%95.37%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.68%20.32%
1.547.29%52.71%
2.521.49%78.51%
3.57.79%92.21%
4.52.33%97.67%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.86%33.14%
1.530.26%69.74%
2.510.05%89.95%
3.52.61%97.39%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ceara
Sao Paulo
Score012345
0
9.21%
14.67%
11.69%
6.21%
2.47%
0.79%
1
7.29%
11.62%
9.25%
4.92%
1.96%
0.62%
2
2.89%
4.60%
3.67%
1.95%
0.78%
0.25%
3
0.76%
1.21%
0.97%
0.51%
0.20%
0.07%
4
0.15%
0.24%
0.19%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
Ceara
1-07.29%
2-02.89%
2-14.60%
3-00.76%
3-11.21%
3-20.97%
4-00.15%
4-10.24%
4-20.19%
4-30.10%
Draw
0-09.21%
1-111.62%
2-23.67%
3-30.51%
Sao Paulo
0-114.67%
0-211.69%
1-29.25%
0-36.21%
1-34.92%
2-31.95%
0-42.47%
1-41.96%
2-40.78%
3-40.20%
0-50.79%
1-50.62%
2-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Ceara
Sao Paulo
Score01234
0
33.14%
24.45%
9.02%
2.22%
0.41%
1
12.15%
8.97%
3.31%
0.81%
0.15%
2
2.23%
1.64%
0.61%
0.15%
0.03%
3
0.27%
0.20%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Ceara
1-012.15%
2-02.23%
2-11.64%
3-00.27%
3-10.20%
Draw
0-033.14%
1-18.97%
2-20.61%
Sao Paulo
0-124.45%
0-29.02%
1-23.31%
0-32.22%
1-30.81%
2-30.15%
0-40.41%
1-40.15%
Flamengo at Corinthians
Juventude at Atletico Mineiro