Fortaleza at Athletico Paranaense

Updated

Fortaleza

25.8%28.4%45.7%
Fortaleza WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win
0.90Projected Goals 1.29
1Final Score 1

Athletico Paranaense

Last 5 Games

Fortaleza
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Flamengo
L 1-3 at Atletico Mineiro
L 0-2 at Bahia
L 0-1 at Vasco da Gama
W 2-3 vs America (MG)
Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
L 0-1 at Palmeiras
L 0-1 at Corinthians
T 1-1 vs Sao Paulo
W 2-3 vs America (MG)
W 2-1 at Gremio

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortaleza+295-+285+300+300+300+300+320.3
Athletico Paranaense+100-+100-103-103-103+100+107.1
Draw+240-+250+241+241+241+250+258.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortaleza-----+320.3
Athletico Paranaense-----+107.1
Draw-----+258.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortaleza: 20.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Fortaleza: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortaleza: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105-o2¼-112o2¼-115o2¼-115o2¼-115o2¼-112o2¼-104
Underu2¼-115-u2¼-108u2¼-105u2¼-105u2¼-105u2¼-105u2¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-104
Under-----u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.0%
 
No57.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.18%
Exactly 226.84%
Exactly 410.73%
Exactly 61.72%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.50%
Exactly 319.60%
Exactly 54.70%
Exactly 70.54%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 040.79%
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 216.40%
Exactly 34.90%
Exactly 41.10%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 027.42%
Exactly 135.48%
Exactly 222.95%
Exactly 39.90%
Exactly 43.20%
Exactly 50.83%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.27%
Exactly 218.66%
Exactly 41.60%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.31%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 066.02%
Exactly 127.41%
Exactly 25.69%
Exactly 30.79%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 054.93%
Exactly 132.91%
Exactly 29.86%
Exactly 31.97%
Exactly 40.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals8.71%
Wins by 3+ goals2.20%
Wins by 4+ goals0.43%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals21.02%
Wins by 3+ goals7.47%
Wins by 4+ goals2.12%
Wins by 5+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Fortaleza
Athletico Paranaense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal17.09%
Wins by 2 goals6.51%
Wins by 3 goals1.78%
Wins by 4 goals0.37%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal24.66%
Wins by 2 goals13.55%
Wins by 3 goals5.36%
Wins by 4 goals1.64%
Wins by 5 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.82%11.18%
1.564.32%35.68%
2.537.48%62.52%
3.517.88%82.12%
4.57.15%92.85%
5.52.45%97.55%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.21%40.79%
1.522.63%77.37%
2.56.23%93.77%
3.51.33%98.67%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.58%27.42%
1.537.11%62.89%
2.514.15%85.85%
3.54.25%95.75%
4.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.73%36.27%
1.526.95%73.05%
2.58.30%91.70%
3.51.99%98.01%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fortaleza
Athletico Paranaense
Score012345
0
11.18%
14.47%
9.36%
4.04%
1.31%
0.34%
1
10.03%
12.98%
8.40%
3.62%
1.17%
0.30%
2
4.50%
5.82%
3.76%
1.62%
0.53%
0.14%
3
1.34%
1.74%
1.13%
0.49%
0.16%
0.04%
4
0.30%
0.39%
0.25%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
Fortaleza
1-010.03%
2-04.50%
2-15.82%
3-01.34%
3-11.74%
3-21.13%
4-00.30%
4-10.39%
4-20.25%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-011.18%
1-112.98%
2-23.76%
3-30.49%
Athletico Paranaense
0-114.47%
0-29.36%
1-28.40%
0-34.04%
1-33.62%
2-31.62%
0-41.31%
1-41.17%
2-40.53%
3-40.16%
0-50.34%
1-50.30%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Fortaleza
Athletico Paranaense
Score01234
0
36.27%
21.73%
6.51%
1.30%
0.19%
1
15.06%
9.02%
2.70%
0.54%
0.08%
2
3.13%
1.87%
0.56%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.43%
0.26%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Fortaleza
1-015.06%
2-03.13%
2-11.87%
3-00.43%
3-10.26%
Draw
0-036.27%
1-19.02%
2-20.56%
Athletico Paranaense
0-121.73%
0-26.51%
1-22.70%
0-31.30%
1-30.54%
2-30.11%
0-40.19%
Fluminense at Internacional
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