Gremio at Flamengo

Updated

Gremio

10.0%16.5%73.5%
WinDrawFlamengo Win
0.75Projected Goals 2.38
1Final Score 1

Flamengo

Last 5 Games

Gremio
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Ceara
W 3-1 at Atletico Mineiro
L 1-0 vs Sport Recife
L 0-1 at Fluminense
W 1-2 vs Fortaleza
Flamengo
Money Line
W 0-8 vs Vitoria
W 3-1 at Internacional
W 1-2 vs Mirassol
T 1-1 at Ceara
W 0-1 vs Atletico Mineiro

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio+945+1223+1200+1140+1240+1140+1240+1201.1
Flamengo-297-394-470-400-442-400-394-320.9
Draw+410+499+500+493+489+493+500+522.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio-----+1201.1
Flamengo------320.9
Draw-----+522.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Flamengo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Gremio: 20.0%
Flamengo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Gremio: 10.0%
Flamengo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Gremio ML
No Steam Moves On Flamengo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-112o2½-126o2¾-108o2¾+100o2¾-105o2¾+100o2½-126o2¾+109
Underu2½-104u2½+108u2¾-112u2¾-120u2¾-115u2¾-120u2¾-112u2¾-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+109
Under-----u2¾-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.0%
 
No52.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.38%
Exactly 221.43%
Exactly 417.48%
Exactly 65.70%
Exactly 81.00%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.70%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 510.94%
Exactly 72.55%
Exactly 90.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 047.07%
Exactly 135.47%
Exactly 213.36%
Exactly 33.36%
Exactly 40.63%
Exact Goals Scored - Flamengo
Exactly 09.30%
Exactly 122.09%
Exactly 226.23%
Exactly 320.77%
Exactly 412.33%
Exactly 55.86%
Exactly 62.32%
Exactly 70.79%
Exactly 80.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.49%
Exactly 224.65%
Exactly 44.31%
Exactly 60.30%
 
Exactly 134.03%
Exactly 311.90%
Exactly 51.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 070.55%
Exactly 124.61%
Exactly 24.29%
Exactly 30.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Flamengo
Exactly 033.30%
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 220.13%
Exactly 37.38%
Exactly 42.03%
Exactly 50.45%

Alternate Props

Spread

Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals2.66%
Wins by 3+ goals0.51%
Flamengo
Wins by 2+ goals50.47%
Wins by 3+ goals28.90%
Wins by 4+ goals13.88%
Wins by 5+ goals5.66%
Wins by 6+ goals1.97%
Wins by 7+ goals0.56%
Wins by 8+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Gremio
Flamengo
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal7.26%
Wins by 2 goals2.15%
Wins by 3 goals0.45%
Flamengo
Wins by 1 goal22.93%
Wins by 2 goals21.57%
Wins by 3 goals15.02%
Wins by 4 goals8.22%
Wins by 5 goals3.69%
Wins by 6 goals1.40%
Wins by 7 goals0.45%
Wins by 8 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.62%4.38%
1.581.93%18.07%
2.560.50%39.50%
3.538.16%61.84%
4.520.68%79.32%
5.59.74%90.26%
6.54.04%95.96%
7.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.93%47.07%
1.517.46%82.54%
2.54.10%95.90%

Total Goals Flamengo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.70%9.30%
1.568.61%31.39%
2.542.38%57.62%
3.521.61%78.39%
4.59.28%90.72%
5.53.42%96.58%
6.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.51%23.49%
1.542.48%57.52%
2.517.84%82.16%
3.55.94%94.06%
4.51.63%98.37%

Score Props

Correct Score

Gremio
Flamengo
Score012345
0
4.38%
10.40%
12.35%
9.78%
5.81%
2.76%
1
3.30%
7.83%
9.30%
7.37%
4.37%
2.08%
2
1.24%
2.95%
3.51%
2.78%
1.65%
0.78%
3
0.31%
0.74%
0.88%
0.70%
0.41%
0.20%
Gremio
1-03.30%
2-01.24%
2-12.95%
3-00.31%
3-10.74%
3-20.88%
Draw
0-04.38%
1-17.83%
2-23.51%
3-30.70%
Flamengo
0-110.40%
0-212.35%
1-29.30%
0-39.78%
1-37.37%
2-32.78%
0-45.81%
1-44.37%
2-41.65%
3-40.41%
0-52.76%
1-52.08%
2-50.78%
3-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Gremio
Flamengo
Score012345
0
23.49%
25.83%
14.20%
5.21%
1.43%
0.31%
1
8.19%
9.01%
4.96%
1.82%
0.50%
0.11%
2
1.43%
1.57%
0.86%
0.32%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.17%
0.18%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Gremio
1-08.19%
2-01.43%
2-11.57%
3-00.17%
3-10.18%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-023.49%
1-19.01%
2-20.86%
Flamengo
0-125.83%
0-214.20%
1-24.96%
0-35.21%
1-31.82%
2-30.32%
0-41.43%
1-40.50%
0-50.31%
1-50.11%