Gremio at Sport Recife

Updated

Gremio

31.6%31.3%37.1%
Gremio WinDrawSport Recife Win
0.92Projected Goals 1.03
4Final Score 0

Sport Recife

Last 5 Games

Gremio
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Fluminense
W 2-3 vs Palmeiras
L 2-3 at Botafogo RJ
W 0-2 vs Vasco da Gama
T 2-2 at Fortaleza
Sport Recife
Money Line
L 0-2 at Bahia
L 0-3 at Santos
L 3-1 vs Vitoria
L 2-3 at Botafogo RJ
L 5-1 vs Flamengo

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio-126--112-120-120-120-112-105.5
Sport Recife+315-+290+325+325+325+325+351.5
Draw+280-+255+255+255+255+255+277.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio------105.5
Sport Recife-----+351.5
Draw-----+277.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sport Recife: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Gremio: 0.0%
Sport Recife: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Gremio: 0.0%
Sport Recife: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Gremio ML
No Steam Moves On Sport Recife ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-108-o2¾-110o2¾-110o2¾-110o2¾-110o2¾-110o2¾+100
Underu2¾-112-u2¾-110u2¾-110u2¾-110u2¾-110u2¾-110u2¾+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+100
Under-----u2¾+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.6%
 
No61.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 014.26%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 48.55%
Exactly 61.08%
 
Exactly 127.78%
Exactly 317.56%
Exactly 53.33%
Exactly 70.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 039.76%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 216.91%
Exactly 35.20%
Exactly 41.20%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Sport Recife
Exactly 035.87%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.85%
Exactly 36.44%
Exactly 41.65%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 040.59%
Exactly 216.50%
Exactly 41.12%
 
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 34.96%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 065.25%
Exactly 127.86%
Exactly 25.95%
Exactly 30.85%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sport Recife
Exactly 062.20%
Exactly 129.53%
Exactly 27.01%
Exactly 31.11%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals11.15%
Wins by 3+ goals2.94%
Wins by 4+ goals0.59%
Sport Recife
Wins by 2+ goals14.30%
Wins by 3+ goals4.14%
Wins by 4+ goals0.92%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Gremio
Sport Recife
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal20.43%
Wins by 2 goals8.22%
Wins by 3 goals2.35%
Wins by 4 goals0.51%
Sport Recife
Wins by 1 goal22.72%
Wins by 2 goals10.16%
Wins by 3 goals3.23%
Wins by 4 goals0.78%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.74%14.26%
1.557.96%42.04%
2.530.91%69.09%
3.513.35%86.65%
4.54.80%95.20%
5.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.24%39.76%
1.523.57%76.43%
2.56.66%93.34%
3.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals Sport Recife Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.13%35.87%
1.527.36%72.64%
2.58.50%91.50%
3.52.06%97.94%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.41%40.59%
1.522.81%77.19%
2.56.31%93.69%
3.51.35%98.65%

Score Props

Correct Score

Gremio
Sport Recife
Score01234
0
14.26%
14.62%
7.50%
2.56%
0.66%
1
13.15%
13.49%
6.91%
2.36%
0.61%
2
6.06%
6.22%
3.19%
1.09%
0.28%
3
1.86%
1.91%
0.98%
0.33%
0.09%
4
0.43%
0.44%
0.23%
0.08%
0.02%
Gremio
1-013.15%
2-06.06%
2-16.22%
3-01.86%
3-11.91%
3-20.98%
4-00.43%
4-10.44%
4-20.23%
Draw
0-014.26%
1-113.49%
2-23.19%
3-30.33%
Sport Recife
0-114.62%
0-27.50%
1-26.91%
0-32.56%
1-32.36%
2-31.09%
0-40.66%
1-40.61%
2-40.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Gremio
Sport Recife
Score0123
0
40.59%
19.27%
4.57%
0.72%
1
17.33%
8.23%
1.95%
0.31%
2
3.70%
1.76%
0.42%
0.07%
3
0.53%
0.25%
0.06%
0.01%
Gremio
1-017.33%
2-03.70%
2-11.76%
3-00.53%
3-10.25%
Draw
0-040.59%
1-18.23%
2-20.42%
Sport Recife
0-119.27%
0-24.57%
1-21.95%
0-30.72%
1-30.31%