Atletico Mineiro at Cruzeiro

Updated 35 days ago

12:00 AM • May 3, 2026

Atletico Mineiro

21.7%27.5%50.8%

Atletico Mineiro WinDrawCruzeiro Win

0.81Projected Goals 1.39

3Final Score 1

Cruzeiro

Last 5 Games

Atletico Mineiro		Money Line
L 4-0	4/26 vs Flamengo
L 0-2	4/19 at Coritiba
L 0-1	4/11 at Santos
W 1-2	4/05 vs Athletico Paranaense
W 4-0	4/02 at Chapecoense

Cruzeiro		Money Line
W 0-2	4/18 vs Gremio
W 1-2	4/12 vs Bragantino
L 1-4	4/04 at Sao Paulo
W 0-3	4/01 vs Vitoria
T 0-0	3/22 vs Santos

Money Line Analysis

:4.0%

	Open Line	3et	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	+300	-	+380	+365	+365	+365	+380	+388.2
Cruzeiro	-107	-	-122	-123	-123	-123	-122	-110.7
Draw	+235	-	+225	+253	+253	+253	+253	+270.6

	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	-	-	-	-	-	+388.2
Cruzeiro	-	-	-	-	-	-110.7
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+270.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Cruzeiro: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 10.0%

Cruzeiro: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Cruzeiro: 10.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Cruzeiro: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

No Steam Moves On Cruzeiro ML

Over/Under Analysis

:3.1%

	Open Line	3et	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼-110	-	o2-128	o2-123	o2-123	o2-123	o2-123	o2-112
Under	u2¼-110	-	u2+108	u2+103	u2+103	u2+103	u2+108	u2+112

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2-112
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	41.6%


No	58.4%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	11.09%
Exactly 2	26.82%
Exactly 4	10.81%
Exactly 6	1.74%
Exactly 8	0.15%


Exactly 1	24.39%
Exactly 3	19.66%
Exactly 5	4.75%
Exactly 7	0.55%

Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	44.70%
Exactly 1	35.99%
Exactly 2	14.49%
Exactly 3	3.89%
Exactly 4	0.78%
Exactly 5	0.13%

Exact Goals Scored - Cruzeiro
Exactly 0	24.81%
Exactly 1	34.58%
Exactly 2	24.11%
Exactly 3	11.20%
Exactly 4	3.90%
Exactly 5	1.09%
Exactly 6	0.25%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	36.12%
Exactly 2	18.73%
Exactly 4	1.62%


Exactly 1	36.78%
Exactly 3	6.36%
Exactly 5	0.33%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	68.88%
Exactly 1	25.68%
Exactly 2	4.79%
Exactly 3	0.59%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cruzeiro
Exactly 0	52.44%
Exactly 1	33.85%
Exactly 2	10.92%
Exactly 3	2.35%
Exactly 4	0.38%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals	6.68%
Wins by 3+ goals	1.53%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.27%

Cruzeiro
Wins by 2+ goals	24.86%
Wins by 3+ goals	9.44%
Wins by 4+ goals	2.86%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.69%
Wins by 6+ goals	0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Mineiro

Cruzeiro

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal	14.97%
Wins by 2 goals	5.14%
Wins by 3 goals	1.27%
Wins by 4 goals	0.24%

Cruzeiro
Wins by 1 goal	25.92%
Wins by 2 goals	15.42%
Wins by 3 goals	6.58%
Wins by 4 goals	2.17%
Wins by 5 goals	0.58%
Wins by 6 goals	0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	88.91%	11.09%
1.5	64.53%	35.47%
2.5	37.71%	62.29%
3.5	18.05%	81.95%
4.5	7.24%	92.76%
5.5	2.49%	97.51%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	55.30%	44.70%
1.5	19.31%	80.69%
2.5	4.82%	95.18%

Total Goals Cruzeiro Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	75.19%	24.81%
1.5	40.61%	59.39%
2.5	16.51%	83.49%
3.5	5.31%	94.69%
4.5	1.40%	98.60%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	63.88%	36.12%
1.5	27.10%	72.90%
2.5	8.37%	91.63%
3.5	2.01%	97.99%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Mineiro

Cruzeiro

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11.09%	15.46%	10.77%	5.01%	1.75%	0.49%
1	8.93%	12.45%	8.68%	4.03%	1.41%	0.39%
2	3.59%	5.01%	3.49%	1.62%	0.57%	0.16%
3	0.96%	1.34%	0.94%	0.44%	0.15%	0.04%
4	0.19%	0.27%	0.19%	0.09%	0.03%	0.01%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	8.93%
2-0	3.59%
2-1	5.01%
3-0	0.96%
3-1	1.34%
3-2	0.94%
4-0	0.19%
4-1	0.27%
4-2	0.19%

Draw
0-0	11.09%
1-1	12.45%
2-2	3.49%
3-3	0.44%

Cruzeiro
0-1	15.46%
0-2	10.77%
1-2	8.68%
0-3	5.01%
1-3	4.03%
2-3	1.62%
0-4	1.75%
1-4	1.41%
2-4	0.57%
3-4	0.15%
0-5	0.49%
1-5	0.39%
2-5	0.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Mineiro

Cruzeiro

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	36.12%	23.32%	7.52%	1.62%	0.26%
1	13.47%	8.69%	2.81%	0.60%	0.10%
2	2.51%	1.62%	0.52%	0.11%	0.02%
3	0.31%	0.20%	0.06%	0.01%	0.00%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	13.47%
2-0	2.51%
2-1	1.62%
3-0	0.31%
3-1	0.20%

Draw
0-0	36.12%
1-1	8.69%
2-2	0.52%

Cruzeiro
0-1	23.32%
0-2	7.52%
1-2	2.81%
0-3	1.62%
1-3	0.60%
2-3	0.11%
0-4	0.26%

Gremio at Athletico Paranaense

Bahia at Sao Paulo

Atletico Mineiro at Cruzeiro