Atletico Mineiro at Vasco da Gama

Updated 119 days ago

07:00 PM • Aug 10, 2025

Atletico Mineiro

36.3%30.1%33.6%

Atletico Mineiro WinDrawVasco da Gama Win

1.07Projected Goals 1.01

1Final Score 1

Vasco da Gama

Last 5 Games

Atletico Mineiro		Money Line
W 1-2	8/03 vs Bragantino
L 0-1	7/27 at Flamengo
L 2-3	7/20 at Palmeiras
L 1-2	7/13 at Bahia
W 0-2	6/13 vs Internacional

Vasco da Gama		Money Line
L 2-3	8/02 at Mirassol
T 1-1	7/27 at Internacional
T 1-1	7/19 vs Gremio
L 2-0	7/12 vs Botafogo RJ
W 3-1	6/13 at Sao Paulo

Money Line Analysis

:3.3%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	+198	+185	+180	+179	+171	+179	+185	+193.2
Vasco da Gama	+161	+183	+175	+183	+186	+183	+186	+197.4
Draw	+212	+198	+200	+195	+196	+195	+200	+210.0

	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	-	-	-	-	-	+193.2
Vasco da Gama	-	-	-	-	-	+197.4
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+210.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atletico Mineiro: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Vasco da Gama: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Vasco da Gama: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atletico Mineiro: 10.0%

Vasco da Gama: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Vasco da Gama: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

No Steam Moves On Vasco da Gama ML

Over/Under Analysis

:3.2%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2-121	o2-111	o2-112	o2-117	o2-113	o2-117	o2-111	o2-106
Under	u2+103	u2-105	u2-108	u2-103	u2-107	u2-103	u2-103	u2+106

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2-106
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	41.7%


No	58.3%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	12.51%
Exactly 2	27.03%
Exactly 4	9.73%
Exactly 6	1.40%
Exactly 8	0.11%


Exactly 1	26.01%
Exactly 3	18.72%
Exactly 5	4.04%
Exactly 7	0.42%

Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	34.47%
Exactly 1	36.71%
Exactly 2	19.55%
Exactly 3	6.94%
Exactly 4	1.85%
Exactly 5	0.39%

Exact Goals Scored - Vasco da Gama
Exactly 0	36.29%
Exactly 1	36.78%
Exactly 2	18.64%
Exactly 3	6.30%
Exactly 4	1.60%
Exactly 5	0.32%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	38.20%
Exactly 2	17.69%
Exactly 4	1.37%


Exactly 1	36.76%
Exactly 3	5.67%
Exactly 5	0.26%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	61.07%
Exactly 1	30.11%
Exactly 2	7.42%
Exactly 3	1.22%
Exactly 4	0.15%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vasco da Gama
Exactly 0	62.55%
Exactly 1	29.35%
Exactly 2	6.89%
Exactly 3	1.08%
Exactly 4	0.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals	14.25%
Wins by 3+ goals	4.23%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.96%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.14%

Vasco da Gama
Wins by 2+ goals	12.67%
Wins by 3+ goals	3.60%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.78%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Mineiro

Vasco da Gama

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal	21.93%
Wins by 2 goals	10.02%
Wins by 3 goals	3.27%
Wins by 4 goals	0.82%
Wins by 5 goals	0.14%

Vasco da Gama
Wins by 1 goal	20.87%
Wins by 2 goals	9.07%
Wins by 3 goals	2.82%
Wins by 4 goals	0.67%
Wins by 5 goals	0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	87.49%	12.51%
1.5	61.48%	38.52%
2.5	34.45%	65.55%
3.5	15.73%	84.27%
4.5	6.00%	94.00%
5.5	1.96%	98.04%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	65.53%	34.47%
1.5	28.81%	71.19%
2.5	9.26%	90.74%
3.5	2.32%	97.68%

Total Goals Vasco da Gama Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	63.71%	36.29%
1.5	26.92%	73.08%
2.5	8.28%	91.72%
3.5	1.98%	98.02%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	61.80%	38.20%
1.5	25.04%	74.96%
2.5	7.35%	92.65%
3.5	1.68%	98.32%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Mineiro

Vasco da Gama

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	12.51%	12.68%	6.43%	2.17%	0.55%	0.11%
1	13.32%	13.50%	6.84%	2.31%	0.59%	0.12%
2	7.10%	7.19%	3.64%	1.23%	0.31%	0.06%
3	2.52%	2.55%	1.29%	0.44%	0.11%	0.02%
4	0.67%	0.68%	0.34%	0.12%	0.03%	0.01%
5	0.14%	0.14%	0.07%	0.02%	0.01%	0.00%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	13.32%
2-0	7.10%
2-1	7.19%
3-0	2.52%
3-1	2.55%
3-2	1.29%
4-0	0.67%
4-1	0.68%
4-2	0.34%
4-3	0.12%
5-0	0.14%
5-1	0.14%

Draw
0-0	12.51%
1-1	13.50%
2-2	3.64%
3-3	0.44%

Vasco da Gama
0-1	12.68%
0-2	6.43%
1-2	6.84%
0-3	2.17%
1-3	2.31%
2-3	1.23%
0-4	0.55%
1-4	0.59%
2-4	0.31%
3-4	0.11%
0-5	0.11%
1-5	0.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Mineiro

Vasco da Gama

Score	0	1	2	3
0	38.20%	17.93%	4.21%	0.66%
1	18.84%	8.84%	2.07%	0.32%
2	4.64%	2.18%	0.51%	0.08%
3	0.76%	0.36%	0.08%	0.01%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	18.84%
2-0	4.64%
2-1	2.18%
3-0	0.76%
3-1	0.36%

Draw
0-0	38.20%
1-1	8.84%
2-2	0.51%

Vasco da Gama
0-1	17.93%
0-2	4.21%
1-2	2.07%
0-3	0.66%
1-3	0.32%

Fluminense at Bahia

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Atletico Mineiro at Vasco da Gama