Athletico Paranaense at Palmeiras

Updated 48 days ago

09:30 PM • Apr 19, 2026

Athletico Paranaense

15.4%21.5%63.1%

WinDrawPalmeiras Win

0.81Projected Goals 1.91

0Final Score 1

Palmeiras

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
W 0-2	4/12 vs Chapecoense
L 1-2	4/05 at Atletico Mineiro
L 0-3	4/01 at Bahia
W 1-4	3/29 vs Botafogo RJ
W 0-2	3/22 vs Coritiba

Palmeiras		Money Line
T 0-0	4/12 at Corinthians
W 2-1	4/05 at Bahia
W 1-2	4/03 vs Gremio
W 1-0	3/22 at Sao Paulo
W 1-2	3/18 vs Botafogo RJ

Money Line Analysis

:4.8%

	Open Line	3et	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+505	-	-	+510	+528	+528	+528	+559.4
Palmeiras	-177	-	-	-170	-170	-170	-170	-149.8
Draw	+307	-	-	+290	+283	+283	+283	+302.1

	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+559.4
Palmeiras	-	-	-	-	-	-149.8
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+302.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Palmeiras: 20.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Palmeiras: 20.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Palmeiras: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Palmeiras: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML

Over/Under Analysis

:4.5%

	Open Line	3et	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2½-105	-	-	o2¼-113	o2¼-113	o2¼-113	o2¼-113	o2¼-103
Under	u2½-115	-	-	u2¼-107	u2¼-107	u2¼-107	u2¼-107	u2¼+103

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2¼-103
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2¼+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	47.5%


No	52.5%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	6.57%
Exactly 2	24.35%
Exactly 4	15.04%
Exactly 6	3.72%
Exactly 8	0.49%


Exactly 1	17.89%
Exactly 3	22.10%
Exactly 5	8.19%
Exactly 7	1.45%
Exactly 9	0.15%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	44.19%
Exactly 1	36.09%
Exactly 2	14.74%
Exactly 3	4.01%
Exactly 4	0.82%
Exactly 5	0.13%

Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 0	14.87%
Exactly 1	28.34%
Exactly 2	27.01%
Exactly 3	17.16%
Exactly 4	8.18%
Exactly 5	3.12%
Exactly 6	0.99%
Exactly 7	0.27%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	28.35%
Exactly 2	22.52%
Exactly 4	2.98%
Exactly 6	0.16%


Exactly 1	35.74%
Exactly 3	9.47%
Exactly 5	0.75%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	68.52%
Exactly 1	25.91%
Exactly 2	4.90%
Exactly 3	0.62%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 0	41.37%
Exactly 1	36.51%
Exactly 2	16.11%
Exactly 3	4.74%
Exactly 4	1.05%
Exactly 5	0.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	4.62%
Wins by 3+ goals	1.04%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.18%

Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals	37.82%
Wins by 3+ goals	18.36%
Wins by 4+ goals	7.32%
Wins by 5+ goals	2.43%
Wins by 6+ goals	0.65%
Wins by 7+ goals	0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Palmeiras

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	10.77%
Wins by 2 goals	3.57%
Wins by 3 goals	0.86%
Wins by 4 goals	0.16%

Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal	25.15%
Wins by 2 goals	19.46%
Wins by 3 goals	11.03%
Wins by 4 goals	4.89%
Wins by 5 goals	1.77%
Wins by 6 goals	0.53%
Wins by 7 goals	0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	93.43%	6.57%
1.5	75.54%	24.46%
2.5	51.19%	48.81%
3.5	29.09%	70.91%
4.5	14.05%	85.95%
5.5	5.86%	94.14%
6.5	2.14%	97.86%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	55.81%	44.19%
1.5	19.72%	80.28%
2.5	4.98%	95.02%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	85.13%	14.87%
1.5	56.80%	43.20%
2.5	29.79%	70.21%
3.5	12.63%	87.37%
4.5	4.46%	95.54%
5.5	1.34%	98.66%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	71.65%	28.35%
1.5	35.92%	64.08%
2.5	13.39%	86.61%
3.5	3.93%	96.07%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Palmeiras

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6.57%	12.52%	11.93%	7.58%	3.61%	1.38%
1	5.36%	10.23%	9.75%	6.19%	2.95%	1.12%
2	2.19%	4.18%	3.98%	2.53%	1.20%	0.46%
3	0.60%	1.14%	1.08%	0.69%	0.33%	0.13%
4	0.12%	0.23%	0.22%	0.14%	0.07%	0.03%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	5.36%
2-0	2.19%
2-1	4.18%
3-0	0.60%
3-1	1.14%
3-2	1.08%
4-0	0.12%
4-1	0.23%
4-2	0.22%
4-3	0.14%

Draw
0-0	6.57%
1-1	10.23%
2-2	3.98%
3-3	0.69%

Palmeiras
0-1	12.52%
0-2	11.93%
1-2	9.75%
0-3	7.58%
1-3	6.19%
2-3	2.53%
0-4	3.61%
1-4	2.95%
2-4	1.20%
3-4	0.33%
0-5	1.38%
1-5	1.12%
2-5	0.46%
3-5	0.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Palmeiras

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	28.35%	25.02%	11.04%	3.25%	0.72%	0.13%
1	10.72%	9.46%	4.17%	1.23%	0.27%	0.05%
2	2.03%	1.79%	0.79%	0.23%	0.05%	0.01%
3	0.26%	0.23%	0.10%	0.03%	0.01%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	10.72%
2-0	2.03%
2-1	1.79%
3-0	0.26%
3-1	0.23%

Draw
0-0	28.35%
1-1	9.46%
2-2	0.79%

Palmeiras
0-1	25.02%
0-2	11.04%
1-2	4.17%
0-3	3.25%
1-3	1.23%
2-3	0.23%
0-4	0.72%
1-4	0.27%
0-5	0.13%

Atletico Mineiro at Coritiba

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Athletico Paranaense at Palmeiras